ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
No bio...
User ID: 626
I really think we should just nuke votes. I think they can serve as a sink for low quality comments ("I agree!", "I disagree!"), but it's better to just hand out tempbans for low quality.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2yr ago
I don't know why you're so skeptical of Starship? They've clearly been making tons of progress on it. Hell, they even launched a failed test.
Why am I supposed to get so excited about a failed test? Give me a fraction of the money Musk got, and I'll do a failed test too. As a bonus, I'll do none of the damage to the infrastructure, and environment that Musk did!
Electric cars? Yep
I'll stick to my Volkswagen, thanks.
Electric trucks? Yeah
Complete garbage that will never operate on anything close to the economy of a normal diesel truck.
Charging network? Yeah
Tons of battery manufacturing? Yeah
What's supposed to be so fancy about either of those, and where does Solar City fit into these?
Orbital Rocket? Yeah
Like I said, it's a decent rocket, but hardly mindblowing.
Reusable Orbital Rocket? Yeah
Reusable Heavy Orbital Rocket? Yeah
Reusability is way overblown, and I haven't seen much evidence it brings all that much (any?) savings.
LEO satellite internet? Yeah.
That's the thing he was crying about in the leaked email that is unprofitable, and why he needs Starship to make money.
Tunnels under every city? No.
Tunnels are an ancient technology, and his aren't any better. Also while we're here, let us meditate on how insane the idea of "hyperloop" is, and how it didn't go anywhere despite all the hype.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3yr ago
I cannot imagine Christians getting away with anything like this
Yeah, neither can I, but I don't see how that's the fault of Hasids, nor do I see what good is supposed to come out crushing their community. Their culture isn't my cup of tea, and I also have more sympathy for the Amish, but the Hasids are at least Human which is more than I can say for what the regime has in store for us.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2yr ago
It's pretty funny how badly Meghan Murphy got stuck in your had. That debate was months ago, time to move on man.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2yr ago
I'd be careful picking SpaceX or anything Elon does as a positive example of 'move fast and break things', the whole thing might very well end up like OceanGate.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3yr ago
and I kind of assume it is bordering on a social contagion.
I suppose sharing your opinion over the internet, and backing it up with arguments is how social contagion works, so I guess you're right on this one.
A fraud in what way?
In the way he presents himself as someone he's not, and promises things he can't deliver.
I have a Tesla model Y. It is by far the best car I’ve ever driven, and I’ve driven many many cars that are substantially more expensive than this one.
That's cool. I never drove one, and I'm not into cars, so I can't judge, but I find it extremely unlikely it's so good that it justifies valuing the company more than all other auto manufacturers combined.
I have a starlink and use it. It works, and when compared to its competitors, absolutely embarrassed them. They aren’t competitors.
How well does it compare to a mid-range fibre-optic connection?
SpaceX is clearly a real company which absolutely revolutionized space launches, and has eviscerated anybody who could reasonably claim to be a competitor. It isn’t even close.
No it hasn't. The Falcon 9 is ok, but not mind blowing. The stuff that would be impressive is still just a promise that hasn't materialized.
As far as self driving: yeah actually my model Y does self drive, and I use it every single day. The “well actually it’s not self driving and it crashes into pedestrians!” YouTube hoaxes are 100% of the time people using autopilot as if it were self driving. It isn’t, and those people shouldn’t be doing that.
Ok, hold up. They're hoaxes, because they're using a product called "Full Self Driving" as if it were capable fully driving he car by itself? You really don't see that as a tiny bit fraudulent?
Also Elon was promising us robotaxis by now. And whatever happened to the Tesla Truck that was supposed to beat rail on costs in a convoy scenario. How doesthe Hyperloop make any goddamn sense at all, and why did he lie about inventing it?
I feel like "Impressive" is a motte-and-bailey. Musk regularly makes entire series of predictions and promises, and people give him an amount of praise I'd consider valid, if he actually managed to fulfill said promises. But since he hasn't we retreat to acting like the things he accomplished are what earned him the amount of praise he's getting. I heard, on several occasions that "rapid reusability" means rockets turned around as fast, and as often as airplanes. When I see that, I'll be writing my apology letter to Daddy Musk.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2yr ago
Is it because so many people have lost faith in both liberalism and liberal Christianity that they no longer care.
Speaking only for myself: yes. I'll take the Taliban over the current batch of western elites.
I'm European.
So... an American vassal?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3yr ago
We’ve been through this enough times that you’ll have to define humanity.
Can we not do play this postmodernist game?
-
What's your definition of X?
-
Oh, how about ABCD?
-
Oh yeah? What about edge case E? Is it X or is it something else?! You see! X does not exist you fool! Anything could be X!
Or are you genuinely having trouble understanding what a human is, or what fundamental human experiences could be?
Edge cases, and fuzzy boundaries aside, can we agree that by the time we've genetically modified ourselves to be a blob of flesh with hundreds of appendages, neuralinked ourselves into a hivemind, or uploaded our consciousness to the cloud, we are no longer recognizably human?
Why exactly must transhumanism be destroyed?
Because it's an existential threat to the human species? It openly wants us to transcend our very nature? It's right their in the freaking name!
How do you post here so long, and keep trying to come up with these gotchas without your brain presenting you canned responses like "my rules applied consistently > your rules applied consistently > your rules applied inconsistently" that you must have seen a thousand times before?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3yr ago
notable policy backflips
Yes, who could possibly predict, that protests won't have impact on resuming gas delivery from Russia.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3mo ago
That's odd, I'm pretty sure I said what happened to you was evil too. I guess thinking that your argument was not relevant is past redemption.
I am non-ironically excited for the possibility that Blue Origin's upcoming second attempt to accomplish a booster landing is about to succeed. It's unlikely to have any more significant delays (we're just a few days out from the first launch window), and so long as it has no delays worse than have already occurred, their landing attempt will come slightly before the ten year anniversary of SpaceX accomplishing the same. It is awesome that the leading team among SpaceX's most serious long-term competition may now be less than a decade behind them!
Uh-huh. How did the competition "being behind" Tesla detract from Cybertruck, Semi, Robotaxi, FSD, and Optimus being dumpster fires, and the Chinese offering as good or better cars for cheaper? How does "being ahead" supposed to magically help Starship?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
8mo ago
Based.
Also, you did approximately nothing all winter.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1yr ago
So your only issue with what Trump did is that he didn't pack the court yet?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2yr ago
I can't see how SpaceX is anything but an unqualified success in every single way.
If it's a hype bubble, you're not going to see how it's a failure until it crashes.
As soon as Starship is flying
Yeah... that's a big if. Care to take a guess when we might see it in orbit? I'll be happy to take the "no it won't" side of that prediction.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2yr ago
I was saying that there's way more hype than substance in them.
Please define "acting more rationally"
"Acting proportionally to an aggression" for a start.
What specifically is it about of the US, Israel, and the Gulf States recent dealings with the Islamic Republic of Iran and the IRGC that you view as "irrational"
The bombing campaign in itself far exceeds anything Iran has done against US or Israel, and threatening to bomb their civilian infrastructure was psychotic.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
4mo ago
The second problem is that Europe’s trade with China is increasingly unbalanced. Europe is not trading services for the flood of electric cars, solar panels, and so on that China is sending. Instead, Europe is writing IOUs. That’s what a trade deficit is — the writing of IOUs in exchange for imports. Robin Harding of the Financial Times recently warned about this unbalanced trade, in an eloquent article entitled “China is making trade impossible”:
Huh? Isn't that the supposedly pea-brained Austrian Economist take? Why are neolibs copying other people's homework now?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1yr ago
have you seen orbital launch graphs?
Yes, most of them are for themselves. If Starlink doesn't cover their costs, and there's not data to show that either way, this number doesn't mean anything. Though there's a wildcard here, where the whole Starlink thing might turn out to be a front for some Pentagon and/or CIA black-op, which would money is not an issue, but there's no way to tell with publicly available information.
launch cost graphs?
I straight-up don't believe them.
reducing costs with reusable rockets was a joke before spaceX
I think it still is.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1yr ago
Since I'm not American my only two options are to go with the official numbers or give some credence to other people's subjective reports. At the end of the day this is a purely intellectual exercise for me.
I think you're making a mistake by saying this is political. Haven't surveys been showing pretty handy majorities concerned about inflation?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1yr ago
Speed is hardly the only important factor for an internet connection. HughesNet has latency in the 600-800ms range,
Yeah, I know. My question is, do I really need gaming-rate latencies, when I'm in the middle of literal nowhere? I'm sure there are cases where the answer is a resounding "Yes!". Drone operators probably hate being fragged as much as gamers, and it's only so many times that your CO is going to take "lag" as an excuse. This is why I'm also willing to believe there is a lot more money in it, than a naive analysis of the civillian market would let on, and possibly how SpaceX was sustained for so long.
But for everyone else? Bro, move somewhere close to a cell tower. I don't know how things are in the US, but in Europe you pretty much have to go underground to escape cell coverage.
Either that or live with the lag, and that's the whole question here. How many people absolutely need to low latencies, because if they don't the ISP's that are in geo-synchronous orbit are going to slaughter you on costs. For every one of their satellites, you're going to need... scores? hundreds?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2yr ago
Which is one of the reasons I think we might see him, and his companies, faceplant soon-ish. There's no way someone in his position doesn't know these aren't the people you're supposed to court if you want to stay on the good side of the establishment. It's either "I gotta found someone to rally around me when the chickens come home to roost" or it (and here I mean everything he's doing with Twitter rather than just signal boosting the right) is a parting FU on his way down.
Mine's a bit rusty. For example, I don't remember your username attached to a lot of commentary about woke-era pressure campaigns, or George Floyd, as they were happening. Care to refresh it?
More options
Context Copy link