BahRamYou
23d ago
Yeah, this. You can get massively rich on anything with enough leverage. Like what WallStreetBets calls "Faggot's Delight" options- very far out the money options with short expirations. You have to completely nail the timing and price point to make any money that way at all, its not enough to just say "turmoil in the mideast will make oil prices go up."
They may as well just put a huge disclaimer on their site "we reserve the right to void any market for any reason we deem fit
Isn't that basically what the insurance companies are doing now with Force Majeure? But yes, i agree that sites like Polymarket are at a pretty low level of respectability right now. Its like gambling in some underground mafia-owned casino.
BahRamYou
24d ago
a bit of a small amount of a fuckton of money
I'm a bit confused whether you're just being humble here and downplaying it, or if you're just talking about a relatively modest gain. The stock market has been going gangbusters for the past 10 years, so lots of people have made great returns as long as you're not panic selling everything.
BahRamYou
26d ago
They would probably start tolling/restricting ships like they are now, and then it would very directly be Europe's problem, except that nukes would make direct action a lot more complicated. They might also start to support militant Islamic groups in Europe, because that's just what they do. North Korea is a lot more isolationist.
BahRamYou
26d ago
To add fuel to the fire: Greenland's independance party just won its first seat in Denmark's parliament and it's apparently a critical swing vote in the struggle to form a coalition there. This is still a developing story.
BahRamYou
26d ago
Is postmodern literature
real? and actually any good?
It's basically just literature that's very self-aware and meta about being fictional, like characters who break the 4th wall in a TV show to make fun of the show. Like you've got the old traditional classics that follow a structure, sometimes a very specific structure like the 3 volume novel, and often draw heavily on the same themes of greek myths and christian morals. Then you've got the modern literature, which blows up a lot of the old rules and is often kind of nihilistic in the wake of the world wars, but its still pretty readable as a novel with plot, characters, themes, etc. The post-modernist stuff assumes you've already read a lot of that stuff, and is sort of a meta-commentary. Like, catch-22 assumes you've already read a lot of war stories, both the heroic kind and the tragic kind, so it's just trying to show the madness and petty nonsense of war in a way that might not make logical sense. Slaughterhouse Five is similar, throwing in a weird time-travel plot that doesn't exactly make logical sense but does convey the madness. Infinite Jest is more about addiction and modern entertainment- what's the point of writing a novel when we're constantly being bombarded by other stimula that are way more entertaining? What's the experience of reading like when we're constantly being distracted? What do we remember, and what do we forget?
TLDR: it's any kind of literature that has blatant plot holes and it doesn't matter.
BahRamYou
27d ago
Bear in mind that Robert Kagan is a never-Trumper who publically endorsed Hillary Clinton in 2016. Since then, he's had no real government positions, so he's just an unimportant newspaper pundit now. Hes been wildly against everything Trump has ever done. Most of the other Neocons strongly support the Iran war- indeed, many have noted that they seem to have convinced Trump to get into it when he was strongly isolationist in his first term.
One possibility: Trump lost his edge after being banned from Twitter. He used to be legitimately great at writing funny tweets, even if you don't agree with him. But Twitter is an ecosystem, and a skill, TruthSocial just isn't the same (I don't think I've ever seen anyone share a post from there that wasn't Trump). He's basically just talking to himself there, so his Tweeting skills are getting rusty.
His live standup insult comedy act is still top form, though. Did you see his meeting with the Japanese PM and journalists? Hilarious. He told an extremely crass joke with no hesitation or shame, off the cuff, and made it work.
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