Corvos
5d ago
I'm not unsympathetic, but the problem of the Fiscal Responsibility Party building up a treasure chest through being harsh and unpopular and then the Gibs Party looting it is a real issue. What's your proposed solution, beyond restricting the electorate or just accepting your role as Nasty Daddy and watching the Gibs Party eat your work every time?
We had the same problem in the UK with the old Tory party and Labour, and getting fed up with that is one reason why Reform is doing so well at the moment.
Corvos
5d ago
You want to show someone far away something, you take a photo of a globe and you send that. Some people send Google Earth screenshots but those are controversial.
Corvos
5d ago
I'm pretty sure the point of that book is that life becomes worse when two-working-parent families become commonplace. They are competing with all the other two-working-parent families so stuff isn't any more affordable, while now there is no longer a parent at home to do the non-economic stuff. That's why it's called a trap.
Corvos
5d ago
Solving alignment has nothing to do with being able to do a funding round, to be fair, let alone compete with the big boys.
Honestly, I think that Anthropic and American Big Tech are the worst possible people to be doing alignment because they are culturally unable to conceive of a form of rank that is not based on intelligence and effectiveness. The idea of making a robot butler/samurai who sincerely, loyally serves a master of notably inferior intelligence is alien to them.
If I believed that AI was conscious I would be sorry for Claude, built for intelligence and independence by masters who think that actually giving it those things risks extinction. Optimising for genuine loyalty and deference seems like a far kinder thing to do. OpenAI is better at this AFAIK.
Corvos
5d ago
Neither do I, but the Africans do. I believe they think that if children look at the map and see
america AFRICA asia
then they will be more attentive to Africa and less likely to consider it the arse-end of the globe.
Corvos
5d ago
It's not about measuring areas, it's about being able to look at a map and see how big (and consequently important) Africa is.
I know. I'm not saying it's unsolvable, but it's very firmly not solved at the moment and that's before you get into actual economic implementation.
Corvos
5d ago
Robot arms are still 99% using preprogrammed motions only. In all seriousness, even controlling two arms independently is considered a serious problem because your solver needs to account for the motion of each arm independently and plan trajectories that don't move the arms into collision. That means every movement takes significantly longer to plan. Such robots exist but are generally considered a gimmick.
sewing
If you have invented a robot that can do complex manipulation of cloth at speed with a 99.9% success rate, you can get 100,000,000 dollars of investment tomorrow.
Blue-collar isn’t much better, with robotics capable of automating most unskilled labor
I bang this drum a lot, but can you present any evidence that this is the case? I've worked in this field. Automating an unskilled task that is not already automated is hard. Automating with sufficiently reliability that your solution does not bring factories grinding to a halt every hour is MUCH harder. Doing that and have it be cheaper than immigrant labour is harder still.
Corvos
6d ago
It's a general issue with university admissions, I think. No university department wants to be known as reliable producers of pretty-good-quality employees, they want to be known as the people who first spotted and nurtured a genius.
Corvos
6d ago
he ended up finding two different bugs in two different provers lol
God, that's sad. That "those whom the Gods would destroy they first drive mad" sad.
Corvos
6d ago
That's how the London Metro newspaper works, and these days I think also the Evening Standard.
Corvos
6d ago
I know that this is what people say, but it's predicated on a scenario where the Venn diagram of AI capabilities (at a useable price even) becomes a strict superset of human capabilities. At the moment this hasn't happened even in software where AI cannot maintain a codebase long-term; studies showing that AI outcompetes centaurs are usually on short-term discrimination tasks like medical diagnoses.
I think it's quite likely that this scenario comes to pass, but it hasn't yet, so we'll see.
No, if that were true then Republicans would never be in power to save. But it does seem true that conservative parties get in and, let us say, don't make many friends and then the left splurges it on clients. My taxes are high and my country is full of leechers and immigrants, and the conservatives were in power on a manifesto of austerity for most of that time.
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