DirtyWaterHotDog
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User ID: 625
compel or attempt to compel a student … to adopt
What comes before is relevant. It is not about convincing, it is about being compelled to believe something.
Mandatory DEI trainings do that. Forcing students to write a diversity statement before applying does that.
might be the most misleading graph I have ever seen
I urge folks to take a look at this graph. Peak comedy.
The simple answer for women who makes such lists is : "If you cared that much, you would've found someone 10 years ago."
Truth is, her interests are so niche, that she could do a stake out in a couple of known locations and easily find the man she is looking for. Bay Area ACX meetups & AI conferences are chock full of these kinds of men. Most importantly, these kinds of men will be found almost no where else. So why make a twitter post about it ? It's like planting cameras around the world for kangaroos to expand your likelihood of getting a hit, when you're already in Australia. Hers is such a sub-optimal strategy, that any "man with good judgement" is immediately going to run in the opposite direction. It might work, but not because it's well advised. It's the Bay Area ! A woman could fart in a general direction, and there would be a line of men waiting to smell her fragrance.
Women also fail to understand what 'poly' means. A man needs to do a ton of work to successfully convince a bunch of women to have a non-committed sexual relationship with him. Winner take all situations with men, mean that a man who can regularly have sex with >2 women (esp. in the bay area) can just as easily have sex with >10 women too. On the other hand, a man who juts barely landed a committed partner, has no chance of finding casual partners. Additionally, there isn't much of a middle ground. So there are only 3 kinds of happy bay-area men in poly relationships. Cucks, Chads who fuck everything that moves, and swingers where each partner helps bring prospective mates for their primary partner. (ie. she has to help find sexual partners for him). Chads have much higher standards, which mean that unless she is the kind to help find mates for her poly partner, she will be stuck with a cuck.
She wrote a whole lot, without saying anything.
Honesty
Interest in making the world better
Potential for close and collaborative relationship
Good judgment
Yeah duh. Name one person who doesn't want that in a half-decent partner............
If she is that forward, then the one question she should answer is : "Why have you been unsuccessful in finding someone for so long?"
Every single one of my non-ugly, smart, tech-nerdy female friends found an excellent long term tech guy partner who would meet all the requirements that Katja mentions. All within a few months of graduating from grad school. These women are every bit as direct, quirky and nerdy as Rats. But, they are smart enough to go through their networks, and quickly found a fully-vetted single guy within their Bay Area community.
No it actually works. I know because I had to turn if off, because it was so effective.
I often have to work very late hours, and my phone would turn gray at 11pm. I found that starting at it in grayscale for a while made me really sleepy quickly. Now, I am one of the rare cases were this is undesirable because I have to stay up late.
So yeah, it worked even when I was making a conscious effort to not let it affect me.
I often wonder about what percent of my peers are taking PEDs like Adderall. (If it enhances performance, it enhances performance. Not going to be too pedantic about the context in which that exact term is usually used). It seems like everyone in tech has ADHD or uses ADHD medication , and the productivity of certain people does make me feel like something is amiss.
It is extra ironic because I haven't met a more ADHD-esque person than me (I'm diagnosed), but I am too scared of the unknown impacts of the prescription, so I have held off on medication personally.
There should be a term for the opposite of 'Gellman Amnesia' : "You don't realize how blind you're to brainwashing in a hivemind, until you're outside the hivemind."
The BBC seems 'independent' because it is occasionally critical of the British govt and will often give a platform to those who wish death to the western civilizational consensus. But, there is a '50 Stalins' aspect to that criticism and there are certain 'sacred cows' which can never so much as be mentioned, let alone criticized or analyzed. Al Jazeera appears similarly liberal, critical and rational as long as they are talking about things that do not relate to Qatar.
The BBC appears independent, because we who live within the hivemind of the west do not notice the absence of a type of criticism that we do not know exists.
I have been getting instagram ads for a flat folding cable machine + bench arrangement. Something like a peloton for weight lifting.
Don't remember the name, but that might work for you.
These laws are clearly counter-productive and a case of "missing the forest for the trees". The easiest way to reduce demand for petroleum cars, is not to target the petroleum, but to target the cars.
The discussion has to begin with overturning obvious loopholes. The zero cost changes include:
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Remove the "light truck" exception. All cars smaller than a semi/ RV must meet the same emissions requirements.
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Allow 'electric subsidies' to be used for all electric vehicles. Including e-bikes & e-scooters.
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Allow all hybrids of a certain range to be eligible for electric subsidies. (It can be as simple as extra tariffs not applying, or using median-emission numbers to apply tariffs)
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Universal removal of zoning regulations within walking distance of transit centers
When it comes to things that cost $$, Infrastructure investments are simply more effective than 1 time car subsidies. The electric car subsidies would soon reach the 100s of billions if we keep seeing electric car adoption.
- Use the billions to build BRT bus lanes instead. Cheap, effective and much much lower energy consumption. It pairs excellently with the universal removal of zoning regulations suggestion above.
Indirect dis-incentivization can also be done through long overdue good-faith mechanisms.
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Road safety regulations must include safety outcomes for all people involved in a collision. Including pedestrians and the secondary vehicle.
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Liability coverage should be mandatory nationally, and cover all costs medical or otherwise for those in the car crash.
There is so much that can be done, before draconian 'petrol cars are illegal' laws ever have to be passed.
consumers get stuck with an inferior substitute and the alleged crisis never seems to actually get solved. It's always just a prelude for the next demand
Yes ! It is hard to tell what the true cause of this is. (lobbyists ?) But it is seems to pervade all American society.
I mean, if the Democrats put forth a competent moderate who can beat Trump, then I'd be happy. I don't have any particular allegiances to the Republicans. But look at the alternative democratic candidates now... they're in disarray. Obama wasn't a candidate until the very last minute. So a miracle might happen. But, it doesn't look like the demos have a popular leader they want to band around. I like Pete Buttigieg and Marty Walsh. No nonsense moderates. But they seem to putting their weight behind Biden.
This means it will likely be Biden vs Republicans, and he will not fare well in debates against anyone.
he wouldn't even win Ohio let alone Wisconsin
Democrats won 2020 because they came out in droves to beat Trump, not vote for Biden. De Santis can force a lot turnout in Democrats, and energize enough Republicans to take it.
MAGA is about aesthetics, not the issues.
The issues will stay the same. The aesthetics are going from institutional kamikaze (Trump) to institutional capture (DeSantis / Rufo).
Trump is the only candidate which has a chance
We aren't talking about Jeb or Ted as the alternative. DeSantis has shown himself to be a competent public speaker that has united coastal and urban florida voters.
There really is no winning with Trump.
Both Democrats and Republicans seem to be their own worst enemies this time around. Democrats can't figure out 1 decent candidate because of the infighting and senile old man. Trump out here making it impossible for a Republican politician to move on from MAGA while at the same time being unelectable.
Not scare quotes at all. I meant to point towards exactly what you pointed out in your comment. That car-free cities are only nominally car-free. Car-free just means low-car, which is both an achievable and desirable future.
Temporarily embarrassed liberal elite
Wish I would've thought of this one first :\
No candidate has greater potential to derail DeSantis than Trump. He clings onto the hardcore vote and takes them with him, sets fire to his opponents in the primaries, and renders them worse general candidates.
I hope Trump actually gets convicted, irrespective of the validity of his crimes, just to render him ineligible. Even if De Santis loses in the generals, seeing him as the opponent will force democrats to prefer a moderate candidate.
The others have covered most points. But here's a few more:
Modern civilization doesn't need to sustain the current status-quo eternally. Nuclear Fusion has been 5 years away for a good century, but it is reasonable to expect it to get there within the next century. Nuclear fusion is infinite energy. So, we only need to survive for 100 years. Piece of cake.
However this is not very applicable in cars
The young are increasingly anti-car, and many cities are slowly but surely, moving away from the 60s-highway-maximalist approach to living. The nature of capitalistic lobbying and collective delusion might make it difficult to uproot cars from our lives. But, it is NOT civilization ending. Car "free" cities ARE a future that is qualitatively better than what we currently have in North-America.
I cannot digest Jacob Collier at all despite being a self-professed inaccessible wanker-music fan (prog of all kinds, Indian classical, exteme metal, avant garde), he stands out as someone I uniquely struggle to empathize with.
For me, you've hit the nail on the head. Complex music is by definition inaccessible. But, eventually you decode it, and it turns into a heart-to-heart. Behind it all, there has to be emotion.
The most extreme examples of this for me are : BTBAM's Coma Ecliptic and Viljhartha's Den Helige Anden . Took me months of finding the music inaccessible, until one day it clicked. And now if it finds me in the right mood, then at least goosebumps and at time tears are to be expected.
I have tried very very hard to find the heart behind Collier's music, and I simply haven't been able to find any. Compare him to his fellow virtuosic youtube wierdos (Ben Levin, Louis Cole, Animals as Leaders, Tigran, Snarky Puppy) and they all have heart. Even non-sensical live bands like Neely's Sungazer still have an element of fun to it all, that Jacob's music just doesn't have.
Jacob Collier to me, is the uncanny valley of music.
Tangential, but related.
Rick Beato ended up doing a fairly rigorous experiment with the datapoint of 1 on his own child for developing perfect pitch. It used to be thought that you're born with it, can't be learned and is exceedingly rare. While a datapoint of 1 is low, the likelihood of a very-low-probability positive outcome being noise, is also fairly low.
It ties in well with learning seemingly-impossible skills and early age neuro-plasticity at large.
Yep, about 1 hr ago
If I was a billionaire, I'd love to fund a study on social contagion base-rate.
What percent of an adolescent population with adopt 'anything' as a genuine belief, given sufficient conditioning ? What percentage can fully drop those beliefs once the social norms change, and what does the rate of adoption/abandonment look like ?
Talking about anything having to do with sociology is what medieval doctors must've felt like : all intelligent men, strongly concerned about the well being of people, with a bunch of anecdotes and rules-of-thumbs. At the same time, there was no goo way to know when to believe a result, because experiments were nigh impossible to run as RCTs. In a similar vein, I wonder if our discussions are similarly futile. It's not like a consensus will mean a better truth, just a bunch of blind people agreeing on which direction to collectively move in.
That being said, one consistent inference that can be drawn from all under-researched fields is : "avoid irreversible damage". Let's not blood-let, lobotomize, or chop off genitals if we don't know any better.
about 5% of young people identify as trans or nonbinary.
This statement might take the cake for the biggest rift between most defensible motte vs least defensible bailey.
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minimum non binary: someone who does not perfectly fit into the locally & temporally defined boxes of male & female.
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max_trans : someone who feels so uncomfortable in their body, so as to under-go surgical mutilation of their most sensitive body parts to avoid suicide
I could be convinced that 100% of a population is non-binary. Afterall, no one perfectly fits into the definition of male or female gender roles. On the other hand, we would have seen significantly higher suicide rates by feminine men and butch women in preceding eras if the rate of trans-ness ever exceeded 1%. (even 1% is very ambitious).
Combining Trans and non-binary identities (no matter how fake or real) makes zero sense. You could defend a vanilla version of the non-binary claim for eternity for any slice of the population. On the other hand, most claims about 'medical intervention necessitating' trans people fall apart the second you see integer numbers in the base population.
Landlords are evil because the system enables them to be evil. The profession will still exist. But transition to a service profession. Similar to agents who manage properties for people.
If housing stops being an asset, it becomes a commodity. People who manage commodities still exist.
Fair enough.
landlords have uniform behavior
At this point every new-urbanist has made so many videos about this, that I thought the point was obvious enough. 1 2
"Show me the incentives and I will show you the outcome."
The current incentives force landlords to behave the way they do. If I was a landlord, I'd be a selfish dick too. Afterall, the system actively promotes it.
Doctors are evil
Full disclosure, I am still working on this thought right how. Not entirely sure if I believe it myself or I am trying to be transgressive for the sake of being transgressive.
But my underdeveloped argument goes as follows:
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Programmers are idiots
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Status and wealth of a profession is tied to limiting access
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Doctors by and large populate all medically relevant structures - from hospitals, to NIH, to Medical university depts, to Govt. health secretary roles
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They have made no effort to make it easier to be a doctor
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Introducing AI / tech / new ideas / pathways to be a doctor are limited, not because it keeps medicine safer, but because it keeps doctors a rare commodity
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GPT-4 is already a better doctor than most
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Lawyers are very similar, but they conceded control on the university side of things, and their profession has lost a lot of prestige and wealth since
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Programmers are idiots, we make ourselves obsolete, we make it easy to access our profession, we don't gatekeep and then wonder why it is so competitive
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Doctors are evil, doctors are effective at extracting all value from their profession, even if it means worse healthcare
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Be like doctors.
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Selfless people are idiots
what's to keep anyone from undercutting them
Why do you think Blackrock keeps buying every open lot with somewhat permissive zoning and converting it into apartment buildings. This is them trying to undercut the SFH mafia. However, it is in their interest for zoning laws to not get tooo permissive. Because they would suddenly have to be competitive, instead of just being marginally better than a SFH landlord.
As of now, it is illegal to build in most parts of the US. The US has only 1 dense city and that's Manhattan. Include the 5 boroughs, and NYC is remarkably underbuilt for its demand. Who controls if building is legal ? -> the landlords for that locale. (It is not that simple, but I'm skipping over a lot of nuance to make my tl;dr point). That's why I call it a colonial extraction racket.
Pretty much nobody in modern America is that poor, fortunately.
Yep.
My point still stands, it is a terrible term. Up there with dynamic programming for phrases that do more to mislead than provide clarity.
I resent the lack of creativity in choosing new terms, more than I do the deprecation of old ones.
edit: I have been overruled. The limited yet overwhelming majority on here seems to find control_plane to be perfectly descriptive of its task. I won't concede on the terribleness of the term dynamic programming though.
Natalie is digging her own grave by making this argument.
She is effectively saying that : "All historic change is was a result of coordinated bullying, and that the coordinated bullying of JK Rowling is justifiable as the next step towards social change desired by a subsection of the population." Natalie does not spend any time talking about the merits of her stance or the social social change she desires. (other than circular logic).
Power trumps all. Convincing someone or productive debate are for plebs like Megan Phelps-Roper.
This is what a ringing endorsement of Ron DeSantis sounds like. The new right has taken exactly this approach to politics. Who needs intellectuals who spend all their time convincing, when we can simply employ the most effective collective bullying technique in a democracy : elections. Just as once side can force you to use pronouns, the other now forces you not to.
In a desperate fight between soft-power (twitter cancellations, university tenure, hiring decisions) vs hard-power (supreme court, local govts), hard power always wins. Soft-power fares much better in an era that favors convincing over bullying, because hard power always feels like bullying. But in a world where bullying is ok, hard power can run rampant. Republicans are clueless about soft-power in 2023 (with the decline of the Church), but they sure know how to get themselves some hard-power.
“Never wrestle with pigs. You both get dirty and the pig likes it.”
I personally still have some hope for good-faith negotiators.
The use of hard-power or hardened-soft-power to achieve goals feels unfaithful to the spirit of the US. However, in practice, Natalie is indeed right. Social change is often forced down our throats before we're willing to digest it. But with equal odds, Natalie might just find herself with a bitter pill being forced down her own proverbial throat.
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