PokerPirate
16d ago
Typical GDP growth in the US is about 2%/year. That means just waiting 4 years doing normal stuff gets you ~10% productivity improvement. ChatGPT was released just about 4 years ago.
There's a lot of subtleties in the economic figures. But my back-of-the-napkin math above argues that we would have had this 10% permanent productivity gain without any investment in AI.
PokerPirate
29d ago
They don't; it's all informal. AAAI is the closest thing and has a lot of overlap. Basically no one is a member if IEEE or ACM.
The claim that North Korea has fewer military provocations now than before Trump's 2017-2018 negotiations is false. We've previously discussed this. I'm reposting my response below for the benefit of other readers:
My semi-insider understanding [of North Korea's provocations is that they] are far more in number and severity than before. For example:
If you are seeing less provocations in the news, I think that's just your media diet.
More options
Context Copy link