SerialStateLineXer
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User ID: 1345
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
I don't think she would be considered black in the US, except by people who have an ideological interest in her being considered as such.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
He looked like a man in the perp walk video. Not in a failing-to-pass way, but literally like a very average man making no attempt whatsoever to look like a woman. Either his earlier coming-out was just a grift, or he's had a change of heart since.
Actually, that's not a perp walk. The article says that they were put on home detention. That seems really weird for someone accused of trying to sell secrets to Russia.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
There are, broadly speaking, two types of growth:
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Extensive growth is where you increase outputs by increasing inputs.
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Intensive growth is where you increase outputs through process improvements that allow you to produce more or higher-quality outputs with the same inputs.
In recent decades, economic growth in wealthy countries has been heavily skewed towards intensive growth. For example, carbon emissions per capita peaked in the 70s in the US, and total emissions peaked just before the GFC. Growth is coming mainly from producing better stuff, not from producing more stuff. Computing technology is the ultimate example of this: Computers are orders of magnitude more powerful than they were in the 80s, but use the same materials in the same quantities, more or less.
The socialist claim that capitalism requires infinite growth (it doesn't, although increases in per-capita GDP are certainly desirable) and therefore requires infinite growth in resource consumption is simply false. We have had quite a lot of intensive growth, and can continue to do so indefinitely. In theory, there may be some optimal state of the economy beyond which no improvements are possible, but that's so far removed from the status quo that it's a purely theoretical concern.
The point of growth is that it increases material standards of living. That aside, there's a cognitive bias where people perceive slow growth as regression. This is how you get people like Bernie Sanders and his followers on Reddit insisting that real incomes have collapsed when all the evidence says otherwise. Living in a high-growth economy just feels better than living in a low-growth economy.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
Order a custom orange shirt with an appropriate quote from Havel printed on it.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
One thing that changed is that there has been an excavation of 33 GPR hits at a former hospital site in Camsell. It turned up zero actual bodies.
But that's probably not what prompted the pope's visit. The the best of my knowledge, no actual human remains have been found yet as a result of the GPR canvassing. Why risk it?
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
Here's a historical chart of the monthly quit rate for accommodation and food service. It's unusually high, but only about half a point higher than 2006-2007, and unemployment was higher then. And it's headed downwards. It's possible that the spike we saw last year was just "filling in the hole" from 2020, as people who had been waiting for a good time to quit their jobs took advantage of the opportunity. Also, total employment in these industries is still rising. A lot of the people quitting those jobs are quitting for other jobs in the same industry.
Quiet quitting is just a new term for an old phenomenon. I remember seeing an article recently pointing to survey data showing that self-reported levels of engagement at work had decreased only slightly, so I think it's probably overhyped.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
You're not going to get much calcium out of cream, anyway. There's yogurt. The other main source is bones, e.g. from canned sardines. After that, you have green vegetables. See here:
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
Canned fish is the main source of edible bones. The canning process makes them brittle and easy to chew. You want ones that haven't been completely deboned.
I imagine there's something you could do to get the calcium out of bird or mammal bones, but it's probably a lot of work. You might as well just take supplements.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
The problem is that no one has $1bn plus in cash, gold, or liquid assets that can be accessed without distorting the market.
The total market cap of all listed US stocks is in the tens of trillions. Pulling out a billion dollars isn't going to tank the market. Bezos and Musk each sold $10 billion in stock last year.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
HBD is important because it's a refutation of the myth that low black and indigenous achievement is due to racism. It's also a refutation of antisemitic conspiracy theories about high Jewish achievement.
You point out the effects of genetics denialism on education, but it goes far beyond that. It also results in nonsensical ideas about and policies to address underrepresentation in cognitively demanding occupations, earnings and wealth gaps, incarceration rates, and even a literal blood libel about the causes of racial disparities in police shootings.
Note that although race gets all the attention, there's also class HBD, i.e. differences in average genetic potential for academic and professional achievement that break down along class lines, which is the main reason why even within races we see that children of successful parents tend to do better in school and earn more than children of poor parents. Because of genetics denialism, we get pants-on-head stupid discourse about "mobility" premised on the ridiculous idea that intergenerational income elasticity can be entirely attributed to rich parents buying advantages for their children and poor children having no chance to get ahead.
A lot of people, mistakenly believing that HBD is racist, nevertheless don't buy into the idea that racism causes racial achievement gaps, instead attributing the gaps to culture. There's probably a grain of truth here, but the very small effect of shared environment on adult IQ in twin studies is hard to reconcile with SES or culture explaining more than a small portion of the gap.
Aside from the fact that it appears to be wrong, I don't like the fact that this hypothesis adds insult to injury. Why blame people for something they can't help.
As for the dysgenic effects of welfare combined with low fertility among the cognitive elite, I do worry about this and would certainly be in favor of, e.g. sterilization of convicted violent criminals or making welfare eligibility contingent on use of long-term birth control, but I'm counting on genetic engineering to save us from the long-term consequences of the dysgenics program the government has been running.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
Connecticut has a strict limit on punitive damages, so the damages are all compensatory. Given the implausibility of the idea of actual damages being that high (for comparison, OJ Simpson was ordered to pay only $8.5 million in compensatory damages for killing two people), I think it's pretty clear that the jury is trying to do an end run around the punitive damages cap.
If juries are allowed to award arbitrary punitive damages as long as they call them compensatory, then there is, in effect, no cap on punitive damages. An activist judge may allow this to stand, but it seems pretty clearly illegal to me.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
8 episodes released over six weeks (two episodes the first week).
There is no clear theoretical way to "gradually" introduce it and dampen the blow, as any long term plan if factored into market price will bring long term land value down to nothing.
Because of discounting, phasing in an LVT gradually will reduce the present value of a plot of land by less than imposing it immediately will.
Think about a plot of land generating $25k per year with 5% discounting. The net present value of an infinite stream of $25k annual payments is $500k. If you impose a 100% tax on rental value right now, all those future payments are zeroed out, and the land's value drops to zero.
If you phase the tax in over a period of ten years, that will definitely reduce the land's net present value, but since it still generates some rental income for the owner, the NPV is positive.
I'll work out the math later when I'm at a computer.
Edit: I forgot about this. At 3% discounting, a 50-year phase-in will cut the current value of the land in half. At 5%, a 50-year phase-in will reduce the value by 35%, and a 30-year phase-in will cut it in half. At 8%, a 30-year phase-in will cut the value by 35%.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
There are tons of people in the US who don't care at all about politics. Find them. Or find like-minded people in the US and move to where they are.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
If it makes you feel any better, both major parties are pretty hard at work on ruining the US, so it may not be the best place to live for much longer.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
I think you're overlooking a simpler explanation: You don't need recruiters if you're not hiring. As for HR, I'm not sure about this, but I suspect that they spend a wildly disproportionate share of their time dealing with onboarding new employees. So there's less need for that during a lull in hiring as well. Plus companies that laid off engineers have fewer existing employees to manage.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
I occasionally dip into Cyberpunk 2077 to marvel at the production quality
Huh. That's not a sentence I expected to see based on what I've heard.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
The founder of Vdare (I forget his name)
Peter Brimelow?
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
I don't know. Switzerland, maybe? Low taxes, high wages, smart people, and excellent graphics. Singapore seems cool, too. Taiwan has low wages, but would otherwise be a pretty swell place if not for the threat from China.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
Well the results for 2022 have just been released and people who answered "not at all" for trust in mass media is at 38%.
While these are mostly Republicans, a substantial minority are Democrats and "liberal" independents who don't trust the media because they aren't shilling hard enough for the left. The enemy of my enemy is not necessarily my friend.
The level of partisanship required to vote for Fetterman at this point simply boggles the mind.
In general Congressional elections, most people don't vote for candidates. They vote to give their party control of the House or Senate. Showing up and voting the party line is 95% of the job. Fetterman demonstrated that he can do that; anything more is gravy.
Same deal with Oz. He's a garbage candidate, but a vote for him is a vote to block a Democratic trifecta, and that's literally all I care about in this election. If I lived in Pennsylvania, I'd vote for him.
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
Are Canadian Muslims high achievers like in the US, or an underclass like in Europe?
SerialStateLineXer
1yr ago
"Twit" is used commonly in American English. I've made the same joke myself.
This is a problem that I don't think has a good solution. For example, consider the principle of academic freedom. On the one hand, there are major benefits to academics having the ability to conduct research without being constrained by the government. On the other hand, this can also go horribly wrong, as in the current situation where we have entire fields that have flushed rigor down the toilet and are just churning out straight-up propaganda. It's not clear to me that there's a way to have the benefits of academic freedom without the pitfalls.
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