Tarnstellung
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User ID: 553
Tarnstellung
16hr ago
I don't understand. If they're all "out on the far point of the curve for the greater population", doesn't that imply they have a higher mean?
Tarnstellung
1d ago
Lifted pickup trucks. Nobody drives off-road. Nobody. It's not a real thing people do at the scale where you would need any kind of rig to do it beyond a Subaru Outback with good tires. But I can't go anywhere without seeing trucks that have been lifted to the point where they handle like hell, at a cost of thousands of dollars.
The widely accepted theory is that it's to compensate for a small penis.
Tarnstellung
1d ago
At least in Alameda County.
Yeah, that would do it!
Tarnstellung
1d ago
children regress to the mean somewhat even with highly-filtered parents
If you select a subpopulation from a population, the children of the subpopulation will regress to the mean of the subpopulation, not the entire population.
Tarnstellung
1d ago
an Palestinian majority in Israel would turn the country into a failed state
What makes you say that? I know you're not into HBD, and Palestinians aren't a low-IQ population anyway – Palestinian Christians in Israel are more successful than Jews. If the concern is that they'd path-dependence their way into an Egypt/Algeria-type situation, presumably the preexisting institutions inherited from Israel would prevent that.
and result in a genocide
Can be prevented by an international peacekeeping force deployed to keep things in control until they stop hating each other.
Tarnstellung
1d ago
Meanwhile, the Palestinians don't want it, because... I'm not sure if you've noticed, but the Palestinians hate the Jews.
The Palestinians' current hatred for the Jews is a product of Israel's actions for the past 80 years. In 1948, Palestinians were advocating a one-state solution, and the Zionists were opposed to it. There is no reason to believe anything bad would have happened to the Jews if the Palestinians had got their way, given that Arabs had already coexisted peacefully with Jews for over a millennium. The Zionists just wanted a Jewish state as an ideological axiom.
One of the reasons why Israeli Jews don't want a one-state solution is because they - still correctly - believe that the most likely result of that would be a lot of dead Jews.
It's doable with an international peacekeeping force to keep things in control until they stop hating each other.
Pritt, 36, is a public school teacher who represents the 50th District in Fayette County. He served as assistant majority leader prior to his arrest. (...)
The complaint said that Pritt began communicating with the girl when she was in eighth grade in 2024 through the online game Roblox then later on Snapchat. (...)
Pritt also sent sexually explicit photos of himself and requested that the girl send nude photos of herself through Snapchat. (...)
The complaint said that Pritt later initiated a physical relationship with the minor and requested that she meet him in his classroom at Oak Hill High School to engage in sexual activity at least five to ten times.
The comments on Reddit are gloatingly pointing out that Pritt is neither trans or otherwise LGBT, nor a drag queen, but a father of four married to a woman, and, of course, a Republican.
What is interesting is that Pritt was initially elected as a Democrat in 2022, switched to the Republican Party in 2023, and was re-elected in 2024 as a Republican. Someone commenting on his recent arrest on Reddit described him as "the same asshole that switched parties and platforms after getting elected", apparently not realizing that, for the Democrats, this was, in retrospect, a most beneficial move.
One thing that is unclear is that he "requested that she meet him in his classroom at Oak Hill High School to engage in sexual activity at least five to ten times". People on Reddit are reading this as saying that they met up and had sex five to ten times, but it could also be interpreted as saying that he was just pushy about meeting up, but that they didn't actually meet up. Am I being autistic with this reading or what? Not that asking an eighth-grader for sex and her refusing is any better than having sex with her.
Tarnstellung
1d ago
Also, I find it very odd how many smart people I know don’t reread good books or rewatch good films or tv shows.
I don't have the time to read and watch all the things I'm interested in once.
Tarnstellung
15d ago
Honestly, despite the impressive age of your account, you don't seem very adept at handling disputes. With all due respect, what were you expecting to achieve by posting on the talk page? No one is going to see your comment and get inspired to edit the article. The proper way to do this is to go in guns blazing: boldly make your edit and then explain it on talk. (I know you're aware of WP:BOLD, but I'm linking it for the benefit of any other potential readers.) Then the onus is on them to dispute it. (There was no clear preexisting consensus which you would be going against – the discussion from 2025 is ambiguous.) Instead, you got three replies, in order: one non sequitur, one agreeing with you and one disagreeing with you. Now there is no consensus either way, and you may have spoiled your chance to make the edit. You can still try, but it's going to be harder to justify now.
I speak from years of experience fighting excessive wokeness on Wikipedia. (While I acknowledge that the policy of not including the former names of people who weren't notable before transitioning may be regarded as "woke", I don't consider it excessive.) Yes, you're supposed to assume good faith, but in reality, when it comes to controversial topics like this, few people are actually editing because of a disinterested desire to spread knowledge. It's agendaposting all the way down.
You also didn't cite the guideline I quoted above, with the bolded bit, but apparently found another gender identity guideline? Not sure why there are two and they seem to disagree with each other. (There's a third one, too??? They need to get this sorted.)
The language of the guideline I quoted plainly supports keeping "Jack". I suppose you could dispute what it means to be "known under" a name, but if it's their legal name and is widely used in reliable sources, I would say they are "known under" that name. The guidelines talk about former names, but by all accounts, "Jack" was the current name at the time of reporting.
Maybe for some people gender dysphoria goes away, but for many it never does. "John 50" is a meme for a reason. I mean, the claim that it will go away eventually is unfalsifiable, but at some point you can be reasonably confident. Do you think there's some kind of fancy psychotherapy, or maybe medication of some kind, that could free more people of dysphoria, that is being slept on?
You don't need to tell me that; I arguably was one.
Define "never". Took over a decade for me.
I'm going to need you to clarify what exactly your condition was, because "phantom-limb gender dysphoria" doesn't mean anything. In any case, I can provide anecdotes of people "repping" (repressing) for over a decade until they gave in.
We are doing transitions with transition therapy as it really exists, not Culture Cycle clarketech. If transition therapy as it really exists doesn't help actual life outcomes, then it shouldn't be the standard of care (with obvious knock-on effects regarding public funding for it, regarding medical advice to dysphoria sufferers, regarding letting minors do it, and regarding family-court judgements).
It's imperfect now, but it's going to improve as technology advances, and it's only going to improve if we keep doing it. The fact that it's imperfect now and doesn't work for everyone is no reason to give up, otherwise we wouldn't have most of modern medicine.
Tarnstellung
17d ago
I meant during Trump's first term, which was the point of comparison in the article.
Tarnstellung
19d ago
No, they didn't. They just fraudulently counted people turned away at the border as "deportations".
Did they not do the same under Trump?
Tarnstellung
20d ago
Okay, I looked into it and there was actually an increase in the number of illegal immigrants staying long-term, but this was not due to relaxed enforcement, but due to an increase in the number of people attempting to enter illegally. They actually deported more during Biden's last year in office than in any year of Trump's first term. Regarding asylum:
President Biden issued an executive order that sharply limited asylum which along with Mexico's help led to a decrease in illegal border crossings.
The Wikipedia article Immigration policy of the Biden administration also has some interesting bits:
On June 4, 2024, Biden signed A Proclamation on Securing the Border to shut down the border if illegal crossings reached an average of 2,500 migrants a day in a given week.[15] Migrant encounters subsequently dropped down to 2020 levels.[16][17]
In February 2024 and again in May 2024, Republicans in the Senate blocked a bipartisan border security bill Biden had pushed for to reduce the number of migrants who can claim asylum at the border and provide more money for Customs and Border Protection officials, asylum officers, immigration judges and scanning technology at the border. (...) It was negotiated in a bipartisan manner and initially looked like it had the votes to pass until Donald Trump opposed it, citing that it would boost Biden's reelection chances.
So it seems he tried to curtail the influx, but it was too late.
Did Biden have an open borders policy? My understanding was that the policy was to turn away people trying to enter illegally, and deport them if they entered (recent arrivals, not people with established lives in the US), and there was no surge in the number of illegal immigrants entering and staying long-term.
Edit: I was wrong, see below.
Tarnstellung
20d ago
Well, then I guess we'll never know.
I found your post on Wikipedia talk:No Nazis, and I don't see why it was hatted when the surrounding threads were allowed. In case you were suggesting your post was deleted, it wasn't; it was archived, as is standard practice on talk pages with lots of activity.
Regarding the lab leak hypothesis, the consensus in the mainstream media early on during the pandemic was that it was baseless, so that's what Wikipedia reported. Wikipedia isn't really set up to deal with instances of the mainstream media lying. The entire thing is based on the assumption that they are reliable. See: Wikipedia:Verifiability, not truth. (Not that they I'm saying they were lying – I don't have a strong opinion on the lab leak hypothesis.) Your only hope is that eventually the media will correct the record. Sometimes the principle fails and the media do lie, but what's the alternative? Trusting random Substacks? If you're going to suggest evaluating the evidence yourself, it's worth noting that the publicly available evidence for the lab leak hypothesis is largely circumstantial or speculative, like the alleged implausibility of this happening right to the next virology institute.
Tarnstellung
20d ago
So, I mean, Alzheimer's is a specific condition, it's associated with elevated amyloid-beta levels, and aducanumab reduces amyloid-beta levels. We should rush out and give all the Alzheimer's patients aducanumab, right? No need for testing!
Except, wait, they did the testing and it shows that aducanumab doesn't actually slow cognitive decline, which is the outcome we actually care about. Turns out that having an explanation for how something could work doesn't necessarily mean that that explanation is correct or that it does work.
Incongruous genitalia or secondary sexual characteristics aren't associated with gender dysphoria, they are gender dysphoria. Gender dysphoria is the symptom to be treated, unlike in Alzheimer's, where dementia is the symptom to be treated, and it was thought that targeting amyloid-beta would treat it.
The statistics on transsexuals that transition are awful. It is possible that they're slightly less awful than the statistics for would-be transsexuals that are prevented from transitioning.
It's not realistic to expect trans people to be as happy as cis people on average. Trans women generally don't want to be trans women, they want to be cis women, they want to pass and have functioning reproductive systems, etc. But this is the best we can do with current technology. It is perfectly reasonable for someone to be unhappy about this. Ugly or infertile cis women are often unhappy, too.
I dunno, because TTBOMK nobody's actually done the RCT. Doing the RCT would be really hard due to trans activists sabotaging the control group, sure. That doesn't make not having it done less of a problem.
IIRC the Cass Review suggested an RCT on puberty blockers. Not sure what's going on with that, or what their stance is on proper HRT, or if any of this is relevant to adult patients.
I will note that I had full phantom-limb gender dysphoria and (mostly) grew out of it; it's not obvious to me that the "would benefit from transition" group can actually be distinguished from the "would be harmed by transition" group.
Again, many anecdotal reports of people who tried ignoring their dysphoria and it never went away.
Tarnstellung
22d ago
I've looked at the relevant policies and I see nothing that would preclude "Jack" from being included, especially if it is widely used in the press. If it's still her legal name, it's obviously acceptable, and if it was her legal name at the time of the arrest, a footnote a la Elliot Page would surely be acceptable. Have you tried adding it, ideally accompanied by an explanation on talk that cites this bit?
Former names under which a living person was notable should be introduced with "born" or "formerly" in the lead sentence of their main biographical article. Name and gender matters should be explained at first appearance in that article, without overemphasis. In articles on works or other activities of such a person, use their current name by default, and give another name associated with that context in a parenthetical or footnote, only if they were notable under that name.
I can help with the markup if you want. (I'm not going to do it myself because I don't want to link my Wikipedia account to this account.)
Tarnstellung
22d ago
Why does it matter if they're Black? Yes, a large portion would be Black, but presumably you'd want to neutralize the criminals of other races, too.
Tarnstellung
23d ago
almost certainly linked to the Biden migrant wave.
How? Is it not a disease that primarily affects livestock?
Tarnstellung
23d ago
I would say most of that falls under "disorder". Flowers may be removed due to vandalism, toilets may be closed and benches removed due to the homeless/drug addicts, etc. Most of this would be solved if you just locked 'em up: criminals in prison (harsher sentences), crazies in mental hospitals, drug addicts in rehab (and prison for repeat offenders). The rest is just a lack of funding, which is generally attributed to wealthier people moving to the suburbs and decreasing the city's revenue.
Regarding public transport specifically, most suburbs have terrible or nonexistent public transport, so that's certainly not a reason people move there. Denser cities generally have some kind of public transport, even if it's filled with people smoking every substance imaginable.
Tarnstellung
23d ago
Africans well are on video saying kill the boer and want to expel whites from S Africa.
Not the majority view in South Africa, even among Blacks.
And hey look we still see distinct voting patterns by ethnicities decades and centuries after they came here.
What point are you making exactly? The Irish, Italians and Germans shouldn't have been allowed in?
Tarnstellung
23d ago
Here I am. I believe modern American suburban living is terrible for the health of both people and the planet, but I understand that it's largely a reaction to unbearable crime rates and disorder in densely-populated areas, and that addressing them is the only way to get American families with children (as opposed to young adults who can put up with more) back in cities.
(Note: I'm not American.)
Tarnstellung
23d ago
How convenient that Blacks are too rowdy and criminal, Asians too boring and presumably not criminal enough, and your own race is just right.
Tarnstellung
23d ago
Singapore is by no means homogeneous. There were race riots in the 1960s. Malays are economically less successful than the Chinese, and probably more prone to crime. Housing has racial quotas to ensure every building is in line with the national makeup. None of this stops them from living densely.
It does mean exactly that. A subpopulation with that one individual will have a mean equal to that individual's value. A subpopulation with one individual 3 SD above the mean and one 2 SD above the mean will have a mean of 2.5 SD above the mean. And so on when adding more individuals.
This is assuming the datapoints are simple numbers. Are you aiming for some kind of more complicated causal process?
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