There's a latam conspiracy theory that the IDF is scouting for a plan b settlement in western argentina. Maybe that's why Peter Thiel is looking to get an argentinian citizenship, he's trying to get on the ground floor of Neo Jerusalem 2.
The Israelis had a ton of international support after 10/7,
But they didn't. There were pro-palestine protests two weeks after 10/7, before Israel had even started to really move on Gaza. I think that was actually the wake up call for Israel, the reason they are acting like they are, they realized that europe is rapidly islamizing and they need to go now.
The US violated international law by attacking Iran. Iran predictably retaliated by suspending innocent passage through Hormuz, which is also a violation of international law. What exactly should a law-abiding European nation do?
Still believe in international law in 2026? That's marginal right?
Israel realized that they are going to disappear within the next 50 to 100 years and are trying to make every big play available to them.
I mean that pax americana was closing is clear but that will hasten it
I get the impression that it ended in 2023 with the Houthis restricting passage through the red sea. The poorest country in the middle east standing up to the USA and europe means there is no pax americana. Hormutz is just a repeat of that, except us europeans didn't even bother trying this time around.
Saying that this peace deal puts an end to american supremacy makes it seem vibes based when I see it more as fact based. It makes me think that "sunken cost fallacy" is a misnomer, it's just as much a logical error as it is socially enforced. We should call it "sunken cost marriage".
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I was talking about europe not the us, still I congratulate myself on remembering the 2 weeks timespan correctly. The "moderate the tones" thing, it's not so much that they got near instant backlash over retaliating, what I'm saying is that they realizedd they have no constituency left going forward, it logically doesn't exist. If you don't believe me look at the +65 lines and the Democrats lines on that survey: what do you think it's going to happen when the 65+ die and the Democrats have power? And this is the US, the country that is going to be most favorable to israel going forward.
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