aardvark2
1mo ago
Thanks! Maybe you'll mind answering two questions: About using local models, can it be tweaked so it doesn't forget context so easily? Maybe using learning runs on previous conversations? How does chatGPT retains context? I understand it does multiple processings for each prompt, and does lossy compression of previous chat history. How to simulate in in API?
aardvark2
1mo ago
A thought was pursuing me for a long time, and visited me during Scott's poll again. What if we polled a large number of people about their SMV (e.g on 1 to 10 scale) and their SO SMV, and then check those whose estimates match estimates made by another people. It's very well known that people of both genders greatly overestimate their SMV. What if amongst people with no SMV self-bias we could find some people who are superforecasters without them having to spend tens of hours to play a game. And if you want answer to some difficult ethical question, it might be wise to ask them, they are more likely to give correct answer than people who can write long texts with links to "peer reviewed" articles.
aardvark2
1mo ago
Certainly obesity is a factor, but black females have other traits reducing SMV: those that are considered masculine: prognatism and dark skin (remember that ancient Egyptians drew their women white and men brown). With this, Black males partially offset their SES disadvantage in SMV.
aardvark2
1mo ago
I am not worrying about Ukraine here, I'm hoping loss in Ukraine would show the West they're doing something bad. I poorly phrased this.
aardvark2
1mo ago
one of reasons I wish Russia win over Ukraine (if closely aligned with EU&US they will get this too, eventually)
aardvark2
1mo ago
Ok, lobbying for unrestricted (or barely restricted) usage of blockers and hormones by youth can be seen as libertarian and transhumanist. But others? The same people push for obligatory pronouns and orwellian phrase "gender affirmative therapy" referring to transition. They make to fight for trans represenation. If I implant a multispectral camera in my body so I could enhance my vision, there people would be amongst the first for me to be punished.
aardvark2
1mo ago
I use the scare quotes and distinguish "African"
Thanks for clarification.
I don't quite understand what QuickMatch means.
"black" men rated "black" women about the same as other women
You can say that, or you can say that for every single year between 2009 and 2014 black men rated black women below both Asian and Latina women and that Black men are the only group of men who didn't not rate their women positively.
If you scroll down page to DateHookup data, it is worse for Black women: here Black men prefer White women over Black.
I guess reply rates, female sender is closer to actual rather than stated preference, black males respond only to 37% messages from black females, and 46..57% to other categories, it's not even close.
aardvark2
1mo ago
The old OKCupid data showed a huge effect of non-African men finding African women less attractive, but it didn't apply to African men.
Look at the numbers again, it did apply.
aardvark2
1mo ago
I think Scott Alexander once sarcastically mentioned genetic testing for recessive disease(s) in Israel something along the times "yes, a nazi thing... practised as XYZ in Isreal". I fail to find the reference. What is the name and is it obligotary? Will some or all rabbi require testing before marriage?
aardvark2
1mo ago
most interracial relationships involving black people involve a black man and white woman.
this is evidence that black women have very large troubles attracting anyone rather than "black men have no trouble attracting white women in the west"
aardvark2
1mo ago
This also ties into the general phenomenon of men driving themselves crazy trying to attract the small minority of highly promiscuous women (who, sure, are going to be pretty superficial) and then extrapolating their behaviour to everyone else.
There are no large dating apps/sites for non-superficial people. So probably non-promiscuous women are about as superficial as promiscuous.
aardvark2
1mo ago
My experience with Bumble that women write a emoji or "Hi" then it's same as Tinder, they expect you to make a move. Don't use any of these, try meatspace
aardvark2
1mo ago
I don't like this fact, and think it would be amazing if earth was less dense and had only 2 m/s^2
Earth would have had no air, then.
aardvark2
1mo ago
I find such large discrepancy hard to believe. If so, why front moves very slowly? Russians have more artillery, but Ukraine has access to American intel & sattelite data.
aardvark2
1mo ago
I believe the current transgender advocacy, on the reverse, requires trans individuals to be recognized as such even without surgery and/or HRT, Laws requiring surgery and/or HRT, sterliziation are widely seen as transphobic.
This isn't just my interpretation or extrapolation of my opponents' position, this idea is written down in manifestoes
I don't think this has anything to do with mainstream.
aardvark2
1mo ago
Clarence Thomas? He is noticeably more light-skinned than average US black. So the result would be whitening, too.
aardvark2
1mo ago
then it would boost the AADOS IQ.
Yes. However, for some cases it will increase AADOS IQ but decrease USA IQ.
Regression to the mean doesn’t happen that quickly.
All (or most) regression happens in 1st generation.
aardvark2
1mo ago
That's a violation of common sense and shows that something's obviously wrong with the HBD idea.
Why? Beyonce owns a sweatshop in Bangladesh that makes clothes and shoes. There are lots of modern industrial productions, including state of art modern electronics, in poor South East Asian countries. AFAIK there are none in sub-Saharan Africa. It's all minerals and crops. When intl megabrand grows something in Kenya, they don't really need local workforce, they need soil and climate. My common sense says that "mentally retarded" is accurate if they can't even sew shoes.
As for immigration, I'd say "regardless of any arguments about regression to the mean, nobody in the West is giving race-based preferential immigration to Asians.
The 5 IQ point advantage for East Asians is much smaller than 20 point IQ genotypic gap with most Africans. It makes entire sense to ignore 5 points gap while consideing 20 points gap. Also, East Asians countries strangely underperform in scientific output compared to their IQ. The 5 IQ gap is about Chinese, Japanese and Koreans. Malaysia, Philipines and Indonesia are much lower.
aardvark2
1mo ago
The only reason we fetishize IQ is because it predicts academic performance and we use academia as the filtering mechanism for our elites.
how did you get from this to this??
But virtually none of the smartest people in the world are in charge of much of anything.
aardvark2
1mo ago
The way for average black IQ to rise is for black women to choose intelligent black men to father their children. This is not impossible.
sounds even less likely that mass genetic editing. Also, making male fertility eugenic might be not enough if female fertility is dysgenic
aardvark2
1mo ago
As for black people they are useful for the system. A black lesbian woman with a rainbow flag is ideologically loyal. There is no risk that she will turn against the system or be disloyal, she truly believes in the liberal project.
Sounds pretty much like dictatorship allocating chief positions for loyalty over competency.
Blacks are not neccessarily loyal to liberal project. Blacks have highest transphobia amongst US race groups, in opposite what you could think if you just voted on them voting R vs D. There are more of such issues.
aardvark2
1mo ago
Do I think left wingers are generally worse about it than right wingers?
there were polls on how likely a person would be unfriend those politically opposite views, so big yes.
A part of answer might be that USSR early gave equal rights to high IQ Jews which partially offset the inefficiency of planned economy, then after creation of Israel most Jews eventually left and economy became less free in 1960th-s. In some things, it wasn't (unironically) real communism:
abortion banned by Stalin
education in schools after 7th year was paid
...I could even speculate that if Stalin had better health and lived longer, he'd change mind on genetics too...
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