ajuuiomml
2mo ago
Looks like trade with the US is ~20% of Canadas GDP. Imports are also sizeable. This will not end well for Canada - my sincere apologies from the US. I honestly wonder what Trump is after.
ajuuiomml
2mo ago
What odds do you place on this causing local depressions or a global recession?
I’d go for at least single digit.
ajuuiomml
2mo ago
That is not our beef with China. China runs a market closed to American business - it forces the transfer of ownership and IP, while our market is relatively open. China systematically spies on American businesses and academia to steal IP for the purpose of competition (not national security). China was the main supplier of synthetic opioids to the US.
Ukraine is not an ally of the US. We have entered no treaty as such and have no obligations. We have shipped them armaments to the tune of 100-250 billion dollars out of mutual interest. If the US is attacked by Canada today, tomorrow, or ten years from now, Ukraine is not sending troops, arms, or aid. Ukraine is not entitled to our money.
Russia is a hostile nation, a rogue state, and our geopolitical adversary, but it is not our enemy. We are not at war with Russia and owning Putin is not our goal.
Our actual European allies, NATO or otherwise, are not entitled to our money on behalf of the defense of Ukraine. If Europe wants to indefinitely fund a stalemate, go for it, but fund it too well and risk a nuclear war. Just because we have crossed 5 red lines with no consequence doesn’t mean they don’t exist.
ajuuiomml
2mo ago
Won’t we just switch to funding the lab directly instead of indirect taxation?
ajuuiomml
2mo ago
Enforcement is an exercise for Congress, not the courts. We have been exactly in the presumptive, possibly apocryphal, here before: “Marshall has made his decision; now let him enforce it”.
What crisis?
ajuuiomml
5mo ago
This would bankrupt pretty much every non-ivy inside of a few years. Higher ed operates on razor thin margins. I want to burn down the system, but this is too much fire.
ajuuiomml
5mo ago
Private parties wouldn’t give out loans for worthless degrees and bad students when the degree is the collateral.
ajuuiomml
5mo ago
SFB took a swing at the king, Dollars, and missed. Trump just threatened 100% tariffs against BRICS for the same potential transgression. Don’t create a competitor to the dollar built on fraud is my take.
ajuuiomml
5mo ago
Protectionism in Argentina is off the charts. Maybe it doesn’t register as such by their standards.
ajuuiomml
5mo ago
Does the crown have the authority to pardon, or perhaps parliament itself?
ajuuiomml
6mo ago
Winning the popular vote provides enormous legitimacy. This won’t happen.
Israel has hundreds of nuclear weapons including long range missiles and probably ICMBs and nuclear armed subs. They will without a doubt use them in the event that they are overrun on their own soil. Pardon the consensus building, but does anyone reasonably doubt they wouldn’t put them to use both preemptively and offensively to glass Iran, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria in that case? Israel isn’t fighting wars of choice in which it can pack up and go home. There is no winning condition for their enemies, only death for everyone.
ajuuiomml
7mo ago
For now on the concrete side. We have new processes in the works. At the end of the day, new technology is the only feasible solution.
ajuuiomml
8mo ago
I agree this is directionally true, at least in feeling. How true is it if we do the math? One counter example was women falling out of the workforce during Covid. Although that was decentralized decision making.
The question you posed is much more interesting than the actual topic.
No, I don’t believe that. China making it zero sum is throwing fuel on the fire though.
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