ajuuiomml
6d ago
I don’t trust them to be right, either, but I do trust them to not be that wrong. What does it say about the world if that’s the case?
ajuuiomml
10d ago
The greatest weakness in the hypothesis is that it predicts that a higher male:female ratio should increase commitment (marriages, having children, buying houses together) and all those things are declining.
If everything else were equal, sure, but that’s really not the case at all. The shift in the social status of the average man vs woman skews the comparison (with no numbers to back it up). We systematically damaged or destroyed every status granting or meaning generating institution for men and half heartedly replaced them with therapy culture (perhaps besides the military?). If women are after relative status, we shifted the entire bell curve effectively reducing the population. I largely agree with your hypothesis if not your prediction.
Obviously this is not the opinion of the electorate. Consider, also, there are probably a dozen single issue issues that have piled up against Trump, creating a new issue - the war, inflation, gas, Ukraine, Israel, corruption, Doge, Musk, immigration, abortion, the ballroom, rhetoric/decorum, … This election was well earned.
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