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functor


				

				

				
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joined 2023 January 12 12:56:52 UTC
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User ID: 2069

functor


				
				
				

				
1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2023 January 12 12:56:52 UTC

					

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User ID: 2069

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I am going to laugh quite bitterly if this whole Iranian adventure turns out to have as a promary purpose being the least-PR-unfriendly method of ending the Houthis: by removing their sponsor and letting the Saudis take care of them out of the public eye, as rooting them out via US boots on the ground would create remarkably negative photos for the domestic crowd.

twelve years of bombing Houthis did nothing. The US lost its largest naval operation since world war 2 against houthis that have no navy.

Iran has way more capable systems in far larger numbers when it comes to disturbing shipping and way better geography.

The US public doesn't want this war and there is a reason why Trump ran on America first and opposition to war rather than neoconservatism.

The republican position is that these wars are a giant waste, lead to massive refugee waves, cost trillions, kill Americans and grow the surveillance state. There is a reason why Matt Walsh, Nick Fuentes, Thomas Massie and Tucker are going hard against this war. It is a war for big government that kills typically red coded voters.

Israel is currently occupying parts of Syria after bombing Syria and backing jihadists for years. They are currently expanding their territory on the west bank. The few thousands of jews who lived there can stay. The Eastern Europeans can go live somewhere else.

There have been christians there for 2000 years so why aren't all christians allowed to move there?

Yet people who haven't lived there for 2000 years are allowed to move to Israel.

Israel is continuing to attack its neighbours, continuing to steal land and continuing to attack christians.

The goal is to wreck the middle east and keep all other players weak. The goal in Syria wasn't a prosperous democracy, it was to shatter the country into pieces with no functional economy or cohesion. The goal isn't to "liberate" Iran, it is to weaken its leadership, keep the country poor and keep it in a constant state of turmoil. This is great for Israel, expensive and bad PR for the US, horrific for the middle east and brings blow back for Europe.

Israel failed to control Gaza in two years of war and Hamas is still running it. 70 000 dead people and they couldn't control an area the size of a small county with closed off borders.

How has controlling Yemen gone with relentless bombing for 12 years?

Just bombing until they give up worked so well in Vietnam. Afghanistan and Yemen have been bombed relentlessly. It didn't work.

The US isn't going to control the middle east by just bombing.

Libya was completely destroyed 15 years ago. This war shows that drones and cheap missile technology has leveled the playing field. Gadaffi couldn't really do anything. Drones and loitering munitions have made a repeat of operation desert storm infeasible as fast maneuver warfare is substantially harder today. Meanwhile the US bases are getting pummeled with rockets and shipping through Hormuz has ground to a halt.

Fundamentally Israel failed in Gaza. They couldn't ethnically cleanse it.

Israel was pushing hard for sanctions and destablization in Syria. Israel backed jihadists in Syria, bombed Syria and were actively trying to undermine it.

The big refugee wave from Israel's warmongering was Syria. It was a disaster for Europe. Luckily Ben Gvir failed and we did not get a major exodus from Gaza. Fundamentally Israel got stuck in a forever war it can't win. They aren't really managing to expel large numbers of people or win. They are stuck in a permanent state of emergency. Israel today is like the French in Algeria 70 years ago. They can't really win, they kill a lot of people and they are burning political capital at a high rate.

Israel is not going to collapse any time soon. Untenable states can hang on for some time. With that said a country that small can't be stuck in a permanent state of emergency and function. Rhodesia, South Vietnam and French Algeria seemed stable and were stable for a long stretch of time even though they had no way of functioning in the long term. Hamas isn't seizing Tel Aviv next month and Iran isn't going to eliminate them with missiles. It is going to be a slow long grind.

The more wars and the more chaos we have in the middle east the harder it is to repatriate migrants and the higher the risk of migrant flows is. We need stable regimes in the middle east, not forever wars.

This war was not popular before the war

The wars in the middle east tend to age like milk with steadily declining once they start running into problems. Trump is attempting to achieve in weeks what the US failed to do in 20 years in Afghanistan with trillions wasted. It isn't going to work. Oil prices will rise and the media will be full of pictures of war and disaster. Trump really shot himself in the foot.

How popular do you think dragging the middle east into a major war is? People hate Israel from the start, now their tourist business in Dubai is shut down because of Israel.

Various Somalis are in no way an existential threat to Jews and they would rather live in an area with some Somalis than an all white area.

The people in the middle east are not going to like Israel more after another Israeli war of aggression. Meanwhile the rest of the world gets a continued reminder of what a warmongering and alien state Israel is. More Americans supported Palestine than israel in a poll for the first time in the US. That number is going to take a big jump.

Their neighbors have been pushed back as Israel has stolen land and driven millions of people off it. Many of them are now in Europe.

In multiple ways. The US population is tired of these wars.

The US military is dumber, smaller, and worse equipped than before.

The US is stuck feeding a black hole of a war in Ukraine while trying to keep pace with China even though China is far more cost efficient and has a larger industrial base. A repeat of the Iraq war wouldn't be possible today.

The US failed miserably in Yemen. The US managed a kidnapping in Venezuela, not regime change. The US is bombing Iran because they can't actually invade countries anymore.

What winning?

The policy of expanding Israel, attacking their neighbours and helping migrants get to Greece. Israel is a major refugee smuggler into Europe. Meanwhile they push millions of arabs out of their homes.

It really isn't.

Wanting to genocide a population that largely consists of children because of LGBTQXYZ issues is beyond extreme.

Israel's policy of trying to ethnically cleanse Gaza and move millions of refugees to Europe isn't popular with a decent portion of the gay community in Europe.

A genocide of persians.

Do I think a homogenous society is more difficult for ethnic minorities than diverse societies? Absolutely.

Also the worst times for jews have been in all white societies.

Jews have been kicked out of 110 countries. They have been in conflict with Europeans since the roman times. The jews were not happy in catholic spain and worked with the muslims. Jewish communists killed millions of christians in Eastern Europe. They were regularly banned from various European countries.

They do prefer a jewish ethnostate to diversity.

Much rather than live in a homogenous state where there culture and ethnic background sticks out. They are a naturally cosmopolitan people and naturally gravitate to the most diverse parts of the US and Europe. They are mainly afraid of white homogenous societies, not individual immigrants who might go a bit bonkers. The diversity has never really done any serious harm to jews.