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greyenlightenment

investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

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joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC

blog https://greyenlightenment.com/

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greyenlightenment


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

				
				
				

				

					2 followers  

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					joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC
				


				
					

					
blog https://greyenlightenment.com/



				

				

				

				

				

					

					

					
					
					

					
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 10, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
good for you


				

				

						

							

								
    
									
									
									
									
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 10, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
It makes no sense to pump excess power uphill and then run it it downhill because the act of elevating water also consumes energy.


				

				

						

							

								
    
									
									
									
									
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 19, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Yet it was also clear that it was a lawless shithole, abandoned by all but the hardiest pedestrians for point-to-point car transfers. And even then, they seemingly increasingly avoided the urban core. This is what marks the biggest difference between Seattle and places like Johannesburg; there, in the poor and violent downtown, one can see that the material situation is dire.






More than anything else, though, the trip underscored just how much of a farce the extreme urban decline of West Coast cities has been. Other countries have real problems. When their cities become hellholes, it's because their economies have collapsed, or because they've been taken over by extremely well-organized criminal gangs funded with cartel money in a nation too poor to pay for honest police, or because they're locked in years-long siege situations with militarized gendarmerie, or because they recently imported millions of people from cultures that hate them and don't care about their rules. But on the West Coast the shithole city problem wasn't the fault of any of those things, not even mass immigration (certainly not of the legal kind, although honestly very few of the hobos appeared to be Latino). Nor was it a grand act of clear-headed sadomasochism, amusing as that would be, because I can't really say most of the people I met there were happy about what had happened.




Having lived in 'Blue' and 'Red' cities, I had the opposite experience and assessment. The Red city despite a Republican leadership was/is full of homelessness and tents. Being hit up for money is a daily experience . I got vibes of it being unsafe at night, and I had to be mindful  of my surroundings.  The Blue cities  are orderly to a fault. None of the looting and lawlessness that one frequently encounters on social media as being supposedly  representative of those areas. I noticed a few tents by a freeway and a single homeless man passed out in front of a 7-11, but otherwise nothing indicative of widespread decay.


If one was a street criminal , the Red city is a better target compared to the Blue one ,despite the Second Amendment, only because in the former  people seem more atomistic and no one is keeping an eye out on each other, unlike in the Blue cities, in which people seem more mindful of each other.


It's evident that the social problems blue areas face are as prevalent in red areas too, even worse, at least from  my own experience. Like everything else in life, ymmv.


Just because a modern big-city downtown  does not look like a picturesque scene from 1900 Paris with dapper Parisians sipping on coffee and making small chatter, on the tiny chairs on the cobblestone, does   not mean it's a hellhole or decayed.


				

				

						

							

								
    
									
									
									
									
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 10, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I learned algebra as a child. so what. people learn different things at different ages.


				

				

						

							

								
    
									
									
									
									
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 30, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Yes business owners do kill themselves when their business fails. Capitalism does have brutal aspects.




yeah this is why if you  have a decent net-worth, just park it in tech stocks (like QQQ or maybe add some leverage to the mix) and get a nice 20-40% yoy return. Or maybe real estate. No need to take the extra risk with high rate of failure with small biz or start-ups.  For every Facebook, there are many failures. Entrepreneurship so expensive, too much failure, and too much work.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 10, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of December 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
a presidential election is of national interest too. It looked like the FBI was investigating possible voter fraud or something amiss. they are understandably vigilant about this sort of thing. There was a 2016 campaign on twitter regarding fake dates https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/social-media-influencer-charged-election-interference-stemming-voter-disinformation-campaign


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				The Motte and the future
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Seriously, have you ever gone back and tried to read an old weekly culture war thread with its thousands, potentially tens of thousands of comments? It is an unnecessary slog if you are looking for something and don't have a link. And sometimes you 'continue reading' and go back only to find that you've lost your place. It just makes you say, "I blue myself."




How much of old stuff is worth reading? Do we want to be reminded of coivd and lockdowns again or Russia takes which aged poorly? I want to move on.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of December 19, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Even I am stary to wary of the black crime narrative, although I strongly oppose Saylor being suspended for the tweet. Yeah, maybe it's true in terms of smaller crime or property crime or drug crime, but blacks are not creating madoff, theranos, or FTX-sized crimes. Look at the people involved in FTX...not a black among them. Caroline Ellison,  Bankman-Fried , and Gary Wang...real black-sounding names, huh. Look at the FBI most wanted list..no blacks among them, although it's quite diverse. Look at the race of people who commit investor fraud or identity  theft, no blacks, even though those crimes have way more victims and damage. A single hacker can compromise thousands of identities, steal millions of dollars. It's like there is no one group or race that is immune to doing crime. It's just that different races more more likely  to engage in different types of crimes, which affect people in different ways. Financial fraud affects a lot of people at once, often involving a lot of money, whereas  murder  is way worse for the victim, but only a single victim. Hell ,even the Amish commit crime https://www.fbi.gov/news/stories/16-sentenced-in-amish-beard-cutting-case


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 19, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
People assume that height is correlated with skill, but the best basketball players tend to not be the tallest, especially for free throws. Short basketball players can be quite good and have roles in which their shortness is not liability but actually a benefit. Basketball is dynamic enough to have uses for people of all sorts of body types...tall people for blocking, short people for speed , big people for centers, etc. Long-distance running however is much more dominated by one body type.. very skinny people between 5'6 to 5'11.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
He was choked. estimates vary between  6-15 minutes which could easily be fatal if his airway was constricted.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of December 18, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


In any case, it should be noted that the vast majority of violent crime is intraracial (committed by a person of one race against a person of the same race), not interracial, in nature.




A better retort to counter the 13/50 stat  would be something like '90% of fraud in the US is perpetrated by whites'. Different races are more inclined to engage in different  types of crime. for blacks, it is violent crime.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of December 18, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
This is why AI will not threaten lawyers' jobs. lawyers have to deal with  the unexpected, like this, which means reevaluating and reassessing  the law in new ways.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Book Review: Elon Musk[Scott Alexander]
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
On twitter I have seen the likes of Cernovich and others claim Elon is among the smartest people on earth, if not the smartest. He's smart, no doubt, but to be among the smartest would put him in the company of Fields Medalists, math Olympiad and Putnam winners, math and physics doctorates, etc. Possible  but very improbable, imho. He's smart but not that smart. He benefited from luck and good business savvy and intuition about markets, all necessary ingredients for business success.  The Twitter Blue verification system did not stop spam, as I and others correctly predicted (when scammers can make $1000s in a day  , how is $8 a deterrent). Maybe he was not smart enough to see that, or he did not care.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 10, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The last notable incident in US was in 1920, the Wall Street bombing. It's not like anarchism just went away but the violence did.  There were some incidents in the 60s and 70s but limited property damage and no injuries and casualties. It's as if they tried to avoid causing bodily harm.  These are easily outnumbered by other types of extremism over the past century. So what can explain the end of anarchist violence. Maybe anarchists saw they could no  longer win on that front and instead focused more on other means of change.




Where are you coming up with "maybe 2-3 far-left incidents in the US over an 80 year stretch with no casualties?"




The 80-year stretch is from 1920 to 2000.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


it's not that "Trump supporters" or "American conservatives" don't want "empire," it's that they don't want an "empire" which means getting their sons killed and them impoverished to make Kabul, Baghdad, and Tehran safe for Pride parades all the while making people who hate them fabulously wealthy




I would not be so sure about this. War has generally been a a popular platform for the right . first-order patriotism/nationalism takes precedent over second-order questions like who profits or whose interests are served. An empire by definition means being global and enforcing its interests abroad.




two, "American conservatives" and Trump supporters are not the same group of people.




If trump were replaced by someone else, his replacement would get probably the same # of votes, so for all intents and purposes  they  are the same people .  Even if you vote for Trump grudgingly, that still is a show of support.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 18, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
there are hundreds of people being charged or having been charged. there are bound  to be some cases which deviate from the norm in terms of sentencing, duration of trial, etc.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of April 10, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


And the violence that emerged from this movement was breathtaking. Anarchists pursued “propaganda of the deed,” or expressing their philosophy through acts of violence. Bombings became standard fare across the western world, claiming scores of victims - up until the 1990s World Trade bombing, the anarchist bombing of Wall Street in 1920 was the bloodiest act of terrorism in the US. The Palmer Raids, often focused on for their anti-socialist agenda, were in just as large part about expelling anarchists following the Galleanist bombing campaigns.




Not sure about that..to call it breathtaking is a stretch.  Excluding Wall Street in 1920, we're talking maybe 2-3 far-left incidents in the US over an 80 year stretch  with no casualties  , such as Earth Liberation Front attacks, which caused property damage. These are easily dwarfed or matched by far-right and Islamic violence. If you include the Unabomber as an anarchist, that is all according to Wikipedia, for a total of three deaths over an 80 year stretch.   The 1993 WTC bombing was not motivated by anarchist thought  ( I would not lump islamic terrorism with anarchism).


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Domestic_terrorism_in_the_United_States


anarchists are more into writing books and pamphlets and less about violence


As for why anarchism fell out of favor, it's obvious that the far-left , which has assimilated/become   the state is incompatible with an ideology that rejects the state.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 14, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
But the average American high school graduate cannot read or write well either . I know people who have never written anything in their adult lives , even with degrees. Reddit, people who spend a lot of time online is not representative of the general population. If you compare his credentials to someone like even George W. Bush, who graduated from Yale and whose SAT scores confer an IQ of around 125, there is probably a 20 point IQ difference, so 100, give or take 5, sounds right, which is average.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 26, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The fed govt. it seems can look for any excuse to indict someone. Sharing health info  somehow threatens national security.




If convicted, the defendants face a maximum sentence of five years in federal prison for the conspiracy, and a maximum of 10 years in federal prison for each count of disclosing IIHI.  Actual sentences for federal crimes are typically less than the maximum penalties.  A federal district court judge will determine any sentence after taking into account the U.S. Sentencing Guidelines and other statutory factors.




Usually the counts are wrapped as one, so the worst case would likely be 10 years.




However the baffling thing is, why is an openly trans officer willing to spy for Russia which is widely known for its anti-LGBT policies.




Because in spite  of such polices, Russia is known for having progressive cultural elements too it (literature, chess, ballet, figure skating ,etc.) Sans Putin, it's not that conservative of a country.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 19, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


This culture of feeling pleasure over the misfortune of the hated Lindell promoted by such media and such echochambers might be influencing your happiness at his misfortune.




it is hard to frame him as a victim, imho. Mike profits from pillow sales by generating media attention. Likewise, the mainstream profits from ad revenue despite also being wrong a lot. The incentives encourage lies and sensationalism on both sides. There is no downside for  the media being wrong. They book the ad revenue profit, issue retraction after the damage has been done and ad revenue realized, and move on and people forget.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 2, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


One common pattern of argument you often see from people who have not been doing too well in life is that they often blame rich/powerful interests for why they have not been successful, or alternatively why a certain social institution does not seem to work in the best interests of all of society. Their thinking is that to fix the problem, all we need to do is bring these rich/powerful people to heel. The problem according to such people is that fundamentally these small interest groups are disproportionately sucking up value from society and to fix this, they need to be punished.




This is seen   in regard to blaming the FDA and peer review for impeding progress of new ideas and treatments. The FDA does not impede progress and peer review does not stop news ideas. Treatments that fail the FDA are not denied because  of bureaucracy, but because they simply do not work, not because there is some conspiracy by  rich people, drug companies, or governments to deny treatments.  That is what a clinical trial does. But very few experimental drugs yield a successful treatment, especially for cancer. it does not even make business sense for a drug company to 'horde' treatments  given that the government is paying for it anyway under Medicare or Medicaid. Regarding peer review, the process is not to block new ideas but block things which are unscientific to begin with, poor fit for the journal, or not written in a logically coherent  way.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of May 15, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
agree. I am not sure this distinction matters . Neely would otherwise be alive if not for the altercation. Maybe Penny's team can argue that the force was not excessive, because Neely died later.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of March 27, 2023
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
At this point it's impossible to tell if anything is a joke anymore


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 7, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
bitcoin will never return anything