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mr_bailey


				

				

				
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joined 2023 June 14 14:26:38 UTC

				

User ID: 2497

mr_bailey


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2023 June 14 14:26:38 UTC

					

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User ID: 2497

I live near a large memory care facility, we get a lot of Silver Alerts from it. I'm ok with a text level of notification, but the actual alarm should be reserved for evacuation orders.

There were probably just memorable and your brain converts being able to remember multiple storms as meaning they must have happened often. Most parts of CA really don't get major thunderstorms all that often. Once every 1-3 years sounds about right for where I'm at for ex.

Yeah, a straight subsidy is better then whatever price controls CA keeps flirting with. There's a real risk that of breaking the property insurance market with those sorts of moves.

His math is right:

"80 deaths 80 QALYS lost 365 2460 = 11 QALMS (Quality adjusted life minutes)"

80 deaths * 80 QALYS (generous, statistically prob. more like 60-70) lost * 365 * 24 * 60 / 330,000,000 => 10.19 (rounds up to 11 minutes)

Whether the population of the US is the right denominator is potentially debatable, but is not a priori crazy.