BANNED USER: terrible poster who never improves
sliders1234
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User ID: 685
Banned by: @Amadan
Hanania has basically taken a view that politicians should just adopt views to win elections. That sounds truthy but it also means you abdicate leadership.
Abortion is certainly one issue with this. It might be an election loser but Pro-life seems a very good policy and a cultural view that is extremely good if I want my society to be strong and growing. If you look at the entire pro-life package it’s better than the opposite which is sub replacement level fertility in core American ethnicities behind American success. Having people just accept they got pregnant at 20 is a good thing on both the male and female side. The male well is expected to go bust his ass for the next 20-40 years and settle down. Long-term they likely end up happy. And our nation grows. A fertility cult is much better than a “I need to find myself” cult.
On HBD the right needs an argument against open borders and it’s really the only thing that is intellectually solid. All the evidence points to low IQ countries being politically unstable. They haven’t developed into functional lower class populations with functional upper classes still leading society forward.
I do not believe I could make a strong anti-immigration argument without using HBD. The best I could do is believe in HBD and make arguments based on things I don’t believe (like the Chinese are sending in military age men to conquor America internally)
With the explosion of population in Africa it seems clear to me Europe won’t exists in 70-90 years and is going the route of S Africa. The US I thought was relatively protected but now it seems like a lot of migrants on our southern border aren’t coming from just the America’s.
It looks like it fits.
Msnbc host still saying it’s never happened before.
Regardless this would still fall under blatant lawfare. And I don’t see 600 million in damages.
You quoted shrek before but there was clear fraud there and investors did lose though I believe he made them while elsewhere.
And NY lost that case. So the charge was brought but the Judge acted properly.
You actually misspelled Cal with Stanford. Which is sort of curious because even though I’ve heard Stanford is no fun now her son would have seem connected enough to get into Stanford with a mere mortals test scores. I would assume 99% of people who get into Stanford and Cal go to Stanford.
sliders1234
1yr ago
“Democracy outperforms” actually feels weakly proven to me. Lots of great empires and golden ages were not Democracies. A lot of Englands peak was hybrid. Augustus period of Rome wasn’t Democracy.
Singapore wasn’t a Democracy.
Peter Thiel of course believes in Monarchy.
Democracy also seems to work very poorly in low IQ countries. Even if you could make a strong argument that Democracy works best for Western European people you would still struggle with Democracy is best in sub-Saharan Africa. Saudi Arabia I feel like would be worse if Democracy between the historical religious and a likely fight over oil spoils.
It seems as though the key thing to government is having a great deal of individual agency below the government and buy in by the people.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Yes when I say OD are an order of magnitude (or close to that) bigger issue it was adjusting for life expectancy loss.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Weirdly I would say rich young people want cocaine to be expensive. If you could buy coke at 7-eleven for the price of a Red Bull it wouldn’t be a status symbol having the coke in the club/after-party but a lower class stimulant.
sliders1234
1yr ago
I wish someone would explain what’s up with my math and 3% rate. My extrapolation feels right but something not jiving with the lower percent of deaths.
I don’t buy the prescription opioids to fentanyl theory but can’t prove it. Any user I know of (young people) don’t have any reason for pain meds. Even someone I’m thinking of who did prescription meds was also just in the scene and doing both. If anything it would feel like an adderall as a kid to party scene pipeline.
“People who overdose on drugs don’t have long lifespans” - obviously because they died from an overdose. Absent substance abuse a 24 year old drug overdose would have lived to old age. There isn’t an underlying medical condition that would have killed them young absent.
I’m not sure what health care reform has to do with substance abuse. Data I have seen already have Americans doing more prescription drugs so better health insurance/single payer and more money spent on health care wouldn’t seem to shrink the amount of pharmaceuticals American are using. Now if you meant targeted reform like stricter limits on prescribing then it would likely do some good.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Believable to me. It’s small in size so you could easily sneak it in. But I have no expertise. It’s a nice narrative for anti-immigration to connect the two.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Generally providing a summary of the case etc are considered proper form.
Assuming you are providing an equivalent case that would mean it’s been used twice - once to target an oil company which is a blue tribe political enemy and once to target Donald Trump a blue tribe political enemy.
sliders1234
1yr ago
There is like 30 pdf in there. Explain relevance and how it applies.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Seriously what is the steelman for Biden wanting to be POTUS?
Winning once makes sense. You go down as an emperor of Rome during its golden age. Winning twice if he’s in decline as much as said sounds awful compared to a nice beach house retirement.
Only thing I can think of is a one term POTUS is viewed as a failure but I think that is lessened if you’re followed by your own party. Then you are the guy who beat Trump.
This will probably get some play and is a bit of a different topic. Former CEO of YouTube CEO Susan Wojcicicki son died of a drug freshman year of college at Cal.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/former-youtube-ceos-son-found-dead-uc-berkeley-rcna139355
The obvious implications is he took something laced with fentanyl. Culture war wise concerns about fentanyl are red coded though issues with fentanyl seem apparent in both red and blue states and people.
Overall I feel like this issue has lost its place in the news cycle. A quick google overdose deaths topped 112k in 2023 an all-time record. I am seeing a current U.S. population of 334 million. So to put this in perspective 112k multiplied by an average lifespan of 80 years is like 9 million deaths. Or close to 3% of US population at current rates will die by a drug overdose. I think I can fairly say it’s a huge issue even if you disagree with how I’m calculating the average persons risks of OD at around 3% in their lifetime.
Quick analysis of the kid he looks in shape for a 19 year old and was majoring in math so he’s the dream of any parent. Odd thing is he was found unresponsive at 4:23 pm on a Tuesday. That is going to be weird and details will come out as that time frame is more of an addict death. Versus I expected a weekend OD and he did some fentanyl laced coke/Molly during the weekend.
From people I’ve talked to opioids are amazing. I do not know if I’ve ever done them. They have to be if people do them. I’ve done molly/coke/mushrooms in the past. The big thing to me is I’m paranoid I’m doing something laced now and have largely cut out doing anything now.
The midtwit take is that dealers either sell both and cross contaminate or lace other drugs to get people addicted. Personally opinion and perhaps a difference without a difference is it’s probably lacing just so people say it’s the good shit.
Sorry for their loss.
Culture war issues
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Plays into the immigration debate of not controlling the border
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Blue states seem to be adopting a let it happen and treat but it doesn’t seem to be working
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War on drug topics. I don’t think the old war on drugs ever dealt with the death rate we have now but war on drugs doesn’t seem stupid when it’s a 3% population level lifetime death rate which is far higher than COVID and killing people with high life expectancy
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Other policy considerations. Some would say things like legalize drugs to kill fentanyl and people get “safe” drugs. Some conservative arguments that something’s should just be illegal. Opioids probably are fantastic but the death rate for someone who tries opioids seems extremely high.
My numeracy tells me this is a big problem and I believe an order of magnitude bigger problem than COVID. I don’t think it’s quite as hard coded in culture wars.
Key words “had he”. But he did not. And this is after he made adjustments to his statements.
sliders1234
1yr ago
https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/28/politics/deutsche-bank-trump-fraud-trial-testimony/index.html
Fairly direct testimony by Deutsche Bank that they weren’t defrauded. I’d like someone to show another fraud trial where the victim actively said no fraud.
sliders1234
1yr ago
If you are going to keep making this claim you need to show another victimless fraud case that occurred that had zero pressure from an victim pushing for prosecution.
We can avoid discussing whether Trump did fraud. Just show me a victimless fraud case in NYC.
sliders1234
1yr ago
I mean California is the obvious example that does this explicitly. I believe Cali assessed tax value is based on approximately last sale value.
Two identical properties next door each other will have vastly different assessed values. If house 1 was last sold in 1955 it’s value will be like $10k for taxes even if the identical house next door sold in 2023 has a tax assessed value of $3 million.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Desantis won against Disney.
sliders1234
1yr ago
There is no functional difference between taking a company and liquidating and just taking 450 million of their money as fine.
But I will repeat show me one similar case prosecuted this way. (They’ve never been prosecuted).
Did you read the article?
“AP’s review of nearly 150 reported cases since New York’s “repeated fraud” statute was passed in 1956 showed that nearly every previous time a company was taken away, victims and losses were key factors. Customers had lost money or bought defective products or never received services ordered, leaving them cheated and angry.“
A very key point “customers” so these were frauds targeting retail people where real losses occurred not institutional investors like banks especially ones who did not lose money.
Ignoring actual debating “fraud” as there is no other similar case that has ever been prosecuted under this statute which even the AP admits is true.
So yes this has never been done before.
sliders1234
1yr ago
I feel like this place would have difficulty finding someone to argue the strong election hypothesis of votes changed but also have trouble finding anyone to argue against a Trump victory in 2020 if the election was ran on 2016 rules. Both seem to be very difficult positions to take.
More interesting and entirely difficult to prove would be whether the Democrats could have won in 2020 if they didn’t go full tds. TDS I believe was a root cause of COVID lockdown excesses and the severity of the 2020 “everything is racists” and riots. If the Dems stayed normies and didn’t go full scorched earth and just ran on a milder Trump is unstable type of campaign. If the Dems do mass mail-in voting and avoid the riots they win in a landslide in 2020. If they avoid the riots but have closer to 2016 rules it would be quite interesting. One could also say the same thing about the 2024 lawfare attempts as actually boosting Trump despite it obviously be an election strategy for the left.
sliders1234
1yr ago
The gap between “never been pursued before” and this is the worst thing in the world and punishable by “350 million fine” is absurdly large.
Affirmative sure. There’s a great deal of estimation being done in these deals.
For the securities industry Elon Musks “420 tweet” is considered a bigger deal. Because it targets retail investors versus institutions.
We still have a lot of 2020-2021 market fraud that hasn’t been prosecuted. The whole AMC/GME pump and dump violated a ton of securities law and lost retail investors a lot of money.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Sarcasm?
I respect you for being the resident leftist. We probably actually share some personality traits of liking to play in difficult terrain. For me that’s posting in any non explicitly leftist Reddit sub.
I’ve worked in finance. I’ve done some academic work in real estate finance. I see nothing here. I’ve posted more on this case in prior threads but a few things stand out.
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No one has ever been prosecuted before for this
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It’s a wealth statement for the personal guarantee. Not the direct loan docs for the exact property/asset securing the loan. IMO if he has a loan for 250 million and claims he’s worth 5 billion but is really worth 2 billion it doesn’t really matter to the bank. So he didn’t profit at all.
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The judge is already on the record doing really stupid things. Confusing tax appraisal with market value and claiming Mar-a-Lago is worth $15 million
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For the most part he didn’t sign anything that lied about the particular assets. (Some debate condo was doubled in size). He owns Mar-a-Lago. The asset he said he owns he does in fact own and the rest is a valuation question.
This case is almost a litmus test for me on am I talking to a partisan or talking to someone who will say they are just playing games but for media consumption will play the game.
sliders1234
1yr ago
I am not sure it’s that easy to shield money. Russia couldn’t shield money from the long reach of dollar hegemony and U.S. financial regulator capacity. No bank can operate without being in good grace with Washington. On Alex Jones best I know he was actually bankrupt.
Criminal almost seems easier to get away with. Just need Desantis to tell a NY warrant to fuck off.
This just means that human level intelligence is exactly sitting around a Great Filter. And variations between the “inbreds” range from can form “Hunter gathering tribe” complexity to can make “rockets that leave earth” complexity.
I have no doubt if I took subsaharan Africans and filtered them for 500 years for IQ that I could arrive at Ashekenazi level Jewish average IQ.
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