wayfarer
19hr ago
Do you want to explain what you are talking about?
Dean did it better than I would do.
And why a single failure nullifies a career of generally decent reporting?
Because it was utter failure and he seems to be sliding down into rabbit hole of some kind? Also, it is one where I looked into and was really disappointed about quality of their claims. I am less familiar with their earlier work that was supposedly decent/really good.
Why do you say failure?
https://www.themotte.org/post/2269/culture-war-roundup-for-the-week/348794?context=8#context explains better than I would do
Who do you think blew up the pipeline?
I expect that German conclusion that pipeline was blown up by Ukrainians is correct.
I would bet on Ukrainian state - country at war with Russia, risking far less from detection/failure and far more motivated to do so. And demonstrated both capacity and willingness for some zany schemes that worked.
But I leave some space that it was someone else. But if it was USA then it was not done in way claimed by Seymour Hersh.
And Poland is still more likely than USA, if it was not Ukraine.
wayfarer
23hr ago
due to fear of torture by Pinochet, then he was a communist
you are claiming that Pinochet regime tortured solely communists, which is a false claim
wayfarer
23hr ago
Anything that could stop the conflict without getting Poland encircled.
War in Ukraine would need to go truly badly to end with Russian Germany. Or at least Russian-occupied Czech Republic and Slovakia.
wayfarer
23hr ago
because the Russians would be sitting right on the Polish border
and how it would be supposed to be changing things?
Kaliningrad is a thing, Belarus is effectively absorbed as far as military staging goes.
Elections in Ukraine are cancelled indefinitely with US State Department approval
US State Department is not adding here much, elections are suspended in accordance of Ukrainian constitution on account of having a war
wayfarer
23hr ago
to levels that their drones will be able to strike the whole country
interceptor drones are appearing on larger scale and turning out to be quite useful
wayfarer
23hr ago
Seymour Hersh claims
why you quote him given his hilarious failure on pipeline story?
is your sourcing for this post equally atrocious for other things you mention?
wayfarer
23hr ago
There's nothing valuable in the Baltics whatsoever.
are you arguing that Russia will definitely not invade or that whether Baltics will be invaded or not does not matter at all?
wayfarer
7d ago
Also, believing that does not block "CIA is watching me 24 hours a day by satellite" anyway.
If I am not captured by CIA visual/radio/etc monitoring continuously, with breaks between captures measured in minutes not days or hours (over a typical day) then I would be deeply surprised.
Non-bizarre delusions are potentially possible, although extraordinarily unlikely. For example: “The CIA is watching me 24 hours a day by satellite"
you are missing "targeting specifically me", otherwise it is not really a delusion
and in some cases it would be still true even with amendment
wayfarer
8d ago
Note that it is about small subset of "aliens". It is supposed to be:
- aliens capable of Weird Stuff
- detected by USA military
- coverup done by US military for long time
- not detected by others or they joined coverup
- all released evidence is clearly faked, unconvincing or dubious
- and so on
If FTL is possible then I expect to aliens be undetectable or just trample over us.
Not fit in weird area required for stories by UFO enthusiasts to be true at all.
I entirely believe in existence of elephants. But if my aunt starts claiming that he has herd of twenty elephants in her house, then last thing I would expect to be there is herd of living elephants.
wayfarer
8d ago
As to why the DoD/USG decided to plant misinformation in a subset of the troops and release them in to the general population to spread their stories, this was never clear.
as a joke?
Either it was entirely deliberate to end with them confused and sincerely believing aliens.
Or more likely someone was too nosy, got "I research aliens, now fuck off" as a joke and has not realized that it was a joke.
wayfarer
8d ago
Maybe I am not a human, but I dropped it as not worth watching quite soon. By first or second episode?
I watched "Your Name" and it was pretty but pity that all this animation effort has not went toward something more worth it. Maybe modern audience does not care about plot at all, but I am not obligated to spend time on stuff like that.
wayfarer
11d ago
are historically used to them and because fear of foreign threat is an emotionally powerful motivator.
also, because it is quite hard to find alternative solution (other than "I guess we surrender if we end in a serious war") but states with such approach tend to disappear for obvious reasons
do you really advocate that some people are property?
personally I will take transing fans, russian agents, antifa and flat earthers over slavery enthusiasts*
anyone that advocates for slavery or considers it as acceptable is worse that serious communists (conscription being a special case, I guess - if you want to argue it is a form of slavery)
*not that I would want either in position of authority or within 100 000 km from me
wayfarer
11d ago
Despite what Western media reporting might have you believe, the rate of petty crime in India is surprisingly low. People rarely get pick-pocketed or robbed. Do you know why?
what you mean by that? Out of lets say 25 people you know - how many were pick-pocketed within last year? How many were robbed?
If answer for first is greater than 1 and for second greater than 0, then it is "surprisingly low" only because people had low expectations from India.
(and while petty crime is annoying - what about more serious crime? Lets say that woman goes alone during night though city - is it likely that something bad will happen to her?)
wayfarer
11d ago
Is the point of your analogy that the endeavor of developing military doctrine is simply fallacious from the get-go?
no, it is that obvious solution like "just eat less" or "just militarily destroy enemy" are both true, and often not sufficient in practice as achieving them may be hard/nearly impossible
wayfarer
11d ago
OK, I got confused given that it was in thread about serious abuse (or maybe serious abuse).
wayfarer
11d ago
I guess that separate accounts and being rich may be enough to explain this.
Still, for Twitter/Reddit tales I would assume that all are faked, unless proof exists.
wayfarer
11d ago
In this case it seems particularly evident that the issue with drugs that trick you into not feeling hunger at your normal rate is that it becomes that much harder to operate normally without them.
well, the problem here is that people in the first place were unable to operate normally without them, so it is not making worse
Unlike OP, I think a world where people can only solve their problems by becoming addicted to complex and expensive drugs is a bad one.
I agree, but superior over one where the same problems are unsolvable
When people call something "a crutch" they refer to the specific chronic problems they cause in long term use, and in particular that you can get habituated to them in a way that stops you from taking the harder steps required to get back to walking normally.
which is quite idiotic phrase, given that crutches are not causing this at all AFAIK
wayfarer
11d ago
Sorry, what? You're just off the mark.
Maybe "But don't tell people that utterly destroying enemy doesn't work, because it does." would be better?
Aside from the inherent differences between adversarial processes and other dynamic processes.
trying to not overeat vs extreme marketing of hyperpalatable foods is an adversarial process
wayfarer
11d ago
May I introduce you to our lord and savior, prescription stimulants?
I am risk-avoider (at least in this variety of risk) that they do not seem safe enough for me, or would be really hard to get or are unlikely to work.
But maybe it is procrastination talking.
wayfarer
11d ago
But I wager it's far more likely to be true than not.
I am quite unusual at how much I look into where my money goes, but how you do not notice "tens of thousands of dollars" part?
And for Twitter/Reddit tales I would assume that all are faked, unless proof exists.
That bit was a joke.
ah, makes sense (motte breaks my sarcasm meter)
I would say that it hardly counts as encirclement. Maybe encircled by standards of Youtube's "Ukrainians/Russians encircled in Whatewergrod" spam.
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