wayfarer
9hr ago
Walking a significant distance to and from the location
how you would see it?
- Visiting the location multiple times in one night
- Visiting the location alone
- Visiting the location with their wife and all 7 of their kids
- Buying lots
- Talking a lot
- Talking very little
- Making good eye contact
- Making little eye contact
- Slurring their words
- Having proper diction
- Talking to other coincidental visitors (strangers to you) at the location
heavily depends on a location (for each I think I can imagine location where given thing would be entirely normal or indication of horrible life choices or worse)
- Buying little
how it can be weird/problem?
wayfarer
9hr ago
Go to a tattoo convention
that is going to select for people with tattoo obsession/fascination
Tattoos are a way of giving a piece of your body, permanently to a tattooist. He is literally branding your body, and it is permanent.
wait, people are getting tattooed without selecting what they will get?
wayfarer
10hr ago
And also for anyone who would be falsely accused. (not familiar how often it was happening under Pinochet, though I bet that "never" is not the answer)
wayfarer
11hr ago
everybody else will work for me and I can do nothing, and the rightist fantasy is: I will be able to do as much work as I want to.
various warlord/king fantasies seem to be of "everybody else will work for me and I can do nothing" variety in right-wing decoration, combined with fantasy of being able to execute people you do not like
with no indicator that they know how much effort it would take to be warlord/king or warlord king
very often these people would very clearly fail at being either (and frankly, competition to be a successful warlord would be so strong that person managing it would be at least some minor CEO or sport star or celebrity in our society)
“I will be a warlord” is a very different type of fantasy than “I will be a poet”. Both fantasies, both silly, but silly in different ways.
poet one is not really "I can do nothing"
wayfarer
11hr ago
is the only reason you hold your political views because you expect to personally benefit?
not only, but it is surely one of crucial parts
and I do not see it as a really bad thing
Even assuming that this is true, could they really have done it without support or at least acquiescence+aftercare from the US?
yes
in similar way as they blow up long-range bombers in airfields deep in Russia
The way the adjacent Baltic states froze Germany out of the investigation and conclusions seems implausible if it was a Ukrainian solo gig that they were not appraised
why Baltic states would need USA pressuring them to approve of Nord Stream being destroyed?
Poland and/or Baltic states outright running "lets blow up Nord Stream" is relatively reasonable, happy obstruction of German investigation is my default expectation here.
I expect that Poland was not running/helping outright but I would not be surprised if operation was detected and deliberately ignored.
Or maybe they had so low opinion of Germany that they forwarded warning expecting that Germany will fail to stop it anyway.
(or was not detected at ll by them)
wayfarer
11hr ago
I assure that not only communists have reason to fear if people in power can execute/imprison random people with "they were communists" excuse
In the same way not only anti-communists or capitalists had reason to fear communists - they executed some actual communists under one pretext or another. Or how not all people accused of rape, murder, antisemitism or racism actually were guilty.
(if people in power can execute/imprison people under some pretext, then you WILL get some people going "this woman is pretty, I will tell her to fuck me and threaten to execute her family under $PRETEXT if she refuses" or doing some other kind of abuse, which reasonable people will try to escape)
If you expect that all people are guilty of what they got accused - are you a Japanese judge?
wayfarer
11hr ago
Ukraine may have had single digits of people with the right expertise to dive 100m down in a strong current
I suspect that country at war may be quite motivated to locate or otherwise obtain experts on relevant topics - even if you have just few of them
or just train them
after all, how many experts were at start of war in Ukraine with expertise at thing like counter-drone drones, long range torpedoes (often called naval drones) or F-16 pilots?
also, someone claiming stuff with poetry/tall-tales like
The Americans have these small unmanned submarines that can solve any task
should not be overly trusted about their accuracy
there were some ships with switched-off radio
are these supposed ships visible on satellite images taken at that time? or is there at least curious stop in coverage at that time from USA-controlled suppliers or any other confirmation of that story, such as logs of rescue service going to ships with switched-off radios? BTW, how these ships with switched-off radio were supposed to be detected?
wayfarer
3d ago
I would say that it hardly counts as encirclement. Maybe encircled by standards of Youtube's "Ukrainians/Russians encircled in Whatewergrod" spam.
wayfarer
4d ago
Do you want to explain what you are talking about?
Dean did it better than I would do.
And why a single failure nullifies a career of generally decent reporting?
Because it was utter failure and he seems to be sliding down into rabbit hole of some kind? Also, it is one where I looked into and was really disappointed about quality of their claims. I am less familiar with their earlier work that was supposedly decent/really good.
Why do you say failure?
https://www.themotte.org/post/2269/culture-war-roundup-for-the-week/348794?context=8#context explains better than I would do
Who do you think blew up the pipeline?
I expect that German conclusion that pipeline was blown up by Ukrainians is correct.
I would bet on Ukrainian state - country at war with Russia, risking far less from detection/failure and far more motivated to do so. And demonstrated both capacity and willingness for some zany schemes that worked.
But I leave some space that it was someone else. But if it was USA then it was not done in way claimed by Seymour Hersh.
And Poland is still more likely than USA, if it was not Ukraine.
wayfarer
4d ago
due to fear of torture by Pinochet, then he was a communist
you are claiming that Pinochet regime tortured solely communists, which is a false claim
wayfarer
4d ago
Anything that could stop the conflict without getting Poland encircled.
War in Ukraine would need to go truly badly to end with Russian Germany. Or at least Russian-occupied Czech Republic and Slovakia.
wayfarer
4d ago
because the Russians would be sitting right on the Polish border
and how it would be supposed to be changing things?
Kaliningrad is a thing, Belarus is effectively absorbed as far as military staging goes.
Elections in Ukraine are cancelled indefinitely with US State Department approval
US State Department is not adding here much, elections are suspended in accordance of Ukrainian constitution on account of having a war
wayfarer
4d ago
to levels that their drones will be able to strike the whole country
interceptor drones are appearing on larger scale and turning out to be quite useful
wayfarer
4d ago
Seymour Hersh claims
why you quote him given his hilarious failure on pipeline story?
is your sourcing for this post equally atrocious for other things you mention?
wayfarer
4d ago
There's nothing valuable in the Baltics whatsoever.
are you arguing that Russia will definitely not invade or that whether Baltics will be invaded or not does not matter at all?
wayfarer
10d ago
Also, believing that does not block "CIA is watching me 24 hours a day by satellite" anyway.
If I am not captured by CIA visual/radio/etc monitoring continuously, with breaks between captures measured in minutes not days or hours (over a typical day) then I would be deeply surprised.
Non-bizarre delusions are potentially possible, although extraordinarily unlikely. For example: “The CIA is watching me 24 hours a day by satellite"
you are missing "targeting specifically me", otherwise it is not really a delusion
and in some cases it would be still true even with amendment
wayfarer
11d ago
Note that it is about small subset of "aliens". It is supposed to be:
- aliens capable of Weird Stuff
- detected by USA military
- coverup done by US military for long time
- not detected by others or they joined coverup
- all released evidence is clearly faked, unconvincing or dubious
- and so on
If FTL is possible then I expect to aliens be undetectable or just trample over us.
Not fit in weird area required for stories by UFO enthusiasts to be true at all.
I entirely believe in existence of elephants. But if my aunt starts claiming that he has herd of twenty elephants in her house, then last thing I would expect to be there is herd of living elephants.
wayfarer
11d ago
As to why the DoD/USG decided to plant misinformation in a subset of the troops and release them in to the general population to spread their stories, this was never clear.
as a joke?
Either it was entirely deliberate to end with them confused and sincerely believing aliens.
Or more likely someone was too nosy, got "I research aliens, now fuck off" as a joke and has not realized that it was a joke.
wayfarer
11d ago
Maybe I am not a human, but I dropped it as not worth watching quite soon. By first or second episode?
I watched "Your Name" and it was pretty but pity that all this animation effort has not went toward something more worth it. Maybe modern audience does not care about plot at all, but I am not obligated to spend time on stuff like that.
wayfarer
14d ago
are historically used to them and because fear of foreign threat is an emotionally powerful motivator.
also, because it is quite hard to find alternative solution (other than "I guess we surrender if we end in a serious war") but states with such approach tend to disappear for obvious reasons
do you really advocate that some people are property?
personally I will take transing fans, russian agents, antifa and flat earthers over slavery enthusiasts*
anyone that advocates for slavery or considers it as acceptable is worse that serious communists (conscription being a special case, I guess - if you want to argue it is a form of slavery)
*not that I would want either in position of authority or within 100 000 km from me
writers in many cases do not get to choose covers and in some were extremely disappointed with what publisher did to their book
though I am not fan of this saying either
More options
Context Copy link