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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 3, 2022

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This is my belief about the dangers of AI - it's not the AI itself (because I don't think we will get self-aware, having goals and wanting to meet them, agentic like a person AI) but the people who use it, control it, and think they can depend on it to solve problems like "best economic policy" or 'let's create the technocratic utopia'.

Let's say Boston Dynamics creates a genuinely humanoid robot that can do all the things humans do, and Amazon buys a ton of them to replace the human workers in its fulfilment centres (particularly since they have concerns about labour shortages ). Great, this is way more efficient, Amazon can now sell us "same hour delivery", costs go down and productivity goes way up, things are better all round for everyone!

Except the laid-off warehouse workers, because where are they going to find jobs? How are they going to live? Even 'learn to code' isn't enough anymore, because we have AI to do that, too. And Amazon is not going to pay them wages or the equivalent in UBI out of the goodness of its heart, why would it? It's a business, not a charity. The government may have to do this, and it will raise money by taxing Amazon, and Amazon will use the usual legal loopholes and run-arounds to avoid paying more tax than the minimum necessary (tax avoidance, not tax evasion is the distinction I have been told) so where will the money come from? If we think the pensions shortfall is going to be a massive shock, wait until you can't even work until you're 80 as a Walmart greeter to supplement your pension or whatever money you have to live on, because there's a BD robot doing that now,

tax avoidance

Tax avoidance works because we have literal laws on the books that let them do it, usually for quite good reasons. If the tax revenue is insufficient we can simply eliminate these ways to reduce tax burden or raise taxes.