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Culture War Roundup for the week of November 7, 2022

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The value of a dollar comes from, er, somewhere? You need dollars to pay taxes? Everyone else wants dollars so you want them to trade them with those suckers who want them? Something about oil? [...]

That all makes sense so far.

Does it though?

The value of the dollar comes from our belief that it has value, primarily. Also because people have debts denominated in dollars and need them to pay those debts down, including foreign entities in the offshore dollar market or 'eurodollar system'. The US dollar is the global reserve currency and so USD is always in demand for international trade. Part of the issue we have today is the opacity of offshore dollar markets and the distortion of price signals due to all the international demand for dollars, as observed in the recent volatility in currency markets.

When people say 'print' money, what they really mean is borrow. The confusion -- and apparent ignorance about the effects of government borrowing -- comes from the trends in interest rates over the past 2 decades, namely being so low that interest on debt has been basically negligible. That is just starting to change as more debt gets refinanced at current rates which have risen rapidly this year. If rates stay elevated for some time, the government interest expense is going to be a problem.

Central banks are exploring CBDCs for the reason you describe, more direct control over the money supply. Multiplying balances by a constant is unfair if the value is greater than one, enriching the wealthy exacerbating inequality. If the value is less than one, you are basically implementing a flat wealth tax.

The objection is, can you trust the government with that level of surveillance and control?