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Notes -
To the common layperson, LLMs haven't really advanced that much since 2022 or 2023. Sure, each new model might have fancy graphs that show it's better than ever before, but it always feels disappointingly iterative when normal people get their hands on it. The only few big leaps have come from infrastructure surrounding it that lets us use it in novel ways, e.g. Deep Research is pretty good from what I've heard. DR isn't revolutionary or anything, it just takes what we already had, gives it more processor cycles, and has it produce something with lots of citations which is genuinely useful for some things. I expect further developments will be like that. It's like how electricity was sort of a flop in industry until we figured out things like the assembly line.
"AGI" is basically a meme at this point. Nobody can agree on a definition, so we might have had it back in 2022... or we might never have it, based on whatever definition you use. It's a silly point of reference.
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