Tuesday November 8, 2022 is Election Day in the United States of America. In addition to Congressional "midterms" at the federal level, many state governors and other more local offices are up for grabs. Given how things shook out over Election Day 2020, things could get a little crazy.
...or, perhaps, not! But here's the Megathread for if they do. Talk about your local concerns, your national predictions, your suspicions re: election fraud and interference, how you plan to vote, anything election related is welcome here. Culture War thread rules apply, with the addition of Small-Scale Questions and election-related "Bare Links" allowed in this thread only (unfortunately, there will not be a subthread repository due to current technical limitations).
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Notes -
I think the stock market has priced in results close to Nate Silver's final predictions (likely GOP house win, toss-up Senate). I think a surprise Dem hold of the house is positive for markets because it avoids tail risks associated with a government shutdown and/or debt ceiling crisis. Given a GOP house, Senate control doesn't matter that much to the things markets care about - legislation is gridlocked anyway because Biden has a veto, the Deep State can run the executive branch even if people can't get confirmed, and there are no Fed Governors with terms expiring during the next Congress. So I predict no obvious market response as long as the GOP do take the house.
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