Tuesday November 8, 2022 is Election Day in the United States of America. In addition to Congressional "midterms" at the federal level, many state governors and other more local offices are up for grabs. Given how things shook out over Election Day 2020, things could get a little crazy.
...or, perhaps, not! But here's the Megathread for if they do. Talk about your local concerns, your national predictions, your suspicions re: election fraud and interference, how you plan to vote, anything election related is welcome here. Culture War thread rules apply, with the addition of Small-Scale Questions and election-related "Bare Links" allowed in this thread only (unfortunately, there will not be a subthread repository due to current technical limitations).
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Notes -
I’m not gonna put money on it til I see some better crosstabs, but if the break from predictions is more on the basis of education than by gender (with the recognition that abortion isn’t as overtly gendered as people expect), I’m gonna point to the student loan relief thing pretty heavily. It was an incredibly obvious and high-value give, timed almost immediately to the election for optimizing turnout, and I think skipping over it is missing a major component
Which is also not great, since it’s dubious as a policy and law matter in ways that something like abortion policy isn’t, and that may have corrosive effects when the next close election finds a President looking for 20k USD giveaways.
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