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Notes -
for (1), that is not something 'everyone in the field' accepts. A majority of, afaik, lesswrong posters or ai safety people believe AI takeoff takes longer than a few years. It's entirely plausible this won't be true, and doesn't matter for (2). For (2) - yeah, ai can make better AI (in the long term, i.e. hundreds of years at least, so not a 'foom' thing) faster than humans can - and just make more, via 'copying bits' and 'chips' ... make better humans? And AGI, it is claimed, will be significantly more capable than humans?
how do you expect that to happen exactly? What information does Xi or Putin recieve that makes either of them willing to sacrifice his major cities in a nuclear exchange with the US in order to stop AGI? Less ridiculously the general sense is 'why won't people stop AGI before it takes over'? How does one stop it when slightly-less-than-AGIs drive much of the human economy, computers and GPUs are everywhere, and a lot of people want to make stronger AI for power/profit/benefit humanity/general capability/etc?
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