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PaperclipPerfector  15d ago (text post)   501 thread views

Transnational Thursday for July 3, 2025

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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I heard -20C colder winters... ports getting fucked up due to ice... food production likely tanking.

Probably a lot of free variables in that problem. Press reports on climate modeling usually don't mention the gigantic error bars their predictions come with (especially for exotic long-horizon events like AMOC).

Also, -4°C was the average yearly temperature across the continent for a AMOC collapse. That doesn't contradict -20°C in winter in certain coastal regions (probably those most benefiting from Gulf stream heating right now) in the case of a full AMOC reversal.

But yeah, -20°C would be the end of agriculture. Let's hope for a worst case that is closer to... British Columbia.

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