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Culture War Roundup for the week of July 21, 2025

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Israel is lying about [x]. Even though a number of countries, notably Iran and the U.S., would know the truth and Israel would risk leaks.

Here's the core of the issue: you claim bombs were used, yet none of the strikes documented by satellite imagery are consistent with bombs, let alone the repeated bomb strikes one would expect if the IAF actually had total control of the skies. That being the case, it doesn't matter what Iran does or doesn't choose to dispute. If Hamas makes some outlandish claim and Israel doesn't directly dispute it are we supposed to automatically assume it to be true?

Iran (and Hezbollah) were not defeated; they chose not to deliver further damage to Israel. The country they have sworn to destroy.

You're saying that Israel was not defeated, they just chose not to deliver further damage to Iran despite failing to have destroyed their nuclear program or their ballistic missile capabilities after securing total control of their airspace.

Again, the decisive factor here is the US. Iran doesn't want an existential fight against the global hegemon and Israel can't maintain an extended exchange if the US doesn't directly intervene. That's really the only explanation that covers why neither side has resumed fighting yet.

What was their goal this time? Was it the same as 2006? (No.)

It was to force Hezbollah north of the Litani and to allow Israelis in the northern communities to return. The IAF is still bombing territory south of the Litani and somewhere between 20% and 50% of the former inhabitants of said communities have left permanently so that's a failure on two counts.

Well at least you're willing to acknowledge one part of the Israeli government did a good job.

Israel has always been excellent at assassinations, the trouble is that assassinations don't win wars.

For "exercises"? AYFKMRN? We know who the dead generals are.

Yes, the Iranians were conducting missile exercises when Israel struck.

No reason? He has a whole wing of advisors who wanted the U.S. to take no part. As far as Trump is concerned, the nuclear program was bombed, so mission accomplished.

Yes, that explains why Trump would step out, but why would Israel? In your world they had Iran totally at their mercy yet they still had nuclear material and ballistic missile capabilities. Why would they step back and allow the Iranians to restock, resupply and rebuild their defenses moments after securing total control of their skies? They bomb Syria regularly (who hasn't fired a shot back in return), they even bombed Qatar, why did they stop bombing Iran?

Bibi will only test Trump so much.

He just bombed Qatar! How in the world would bombing supposedly defenseless and hostile Iran cause Trump to do anything that bombing one of his biggest financial backers wouldn't?!

The Iranians have formed a war council because they expect the war to recommence. Israel is, one presumes, presently plotting for such an eventuality. As they did that last time.

Netanyahu would love to try again if he thought Trump could be dragged into doing the dirty work but there's little indication that Iran fears Israel on its own.

Again, no truce was "cut." Nothing was negotiated. It's a de facto ceasefire.

Do you deny that Iran's economy was massively impacted during the conflict because of the reliance on the oil industry, or is that also propaganda?

Massively impacted, sure. More massively impacted than the country that has been fighting multiple wars nonstop for two years using reservists? Probably not.

Had the conflict continued roughly as it had, who was going to run out of money first?

Israel has an unlimited line of credit with Uncle Sam so of course they're never running out of greenbacks but in an extended war of attrition the real question is who would run out of valuable infrastructure.

The entire country of Israel has just a few dozen major sites containing the critical national infrastructure: power plants, water desalinization, refineries, etc. The Iranians hitting the Bazan refinery alone stressed their entire supply chain; given a few months of daily strikes Israel would be unlivable, though the US would come to the rescue before then.