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Notes -
Anything is possible. But you are starting from three cases and making up a concept of a reality of 350M.
Furthermore, even a significant correlation would not mean a causation. For example, I would expect that white anti-vaxers are more prone to violence than the general white population, simply because being an anti-vaxer is a more common belief among the poorer classes, and for reasons of either nature or nurture, these are statistically more prone to violence. Of course, some anti-vaxers may specifically commit violence motivated from these beliefs, but most of their violence will be for unrelated reasons.
Likewise, I think it is possible that a trans identity is more appealing to people who are generally less neurotypical, and that this includes some disorder groups (such as psychotic disorders) which are (possibly) correlated with higher likelihood of violence.
A straightforward "normal people become trans, and then become more prone to violence" seems less likely (except that FtM on T might probably catch up to cis men).
Sure, the people who get radicalised by online Trantifa fora are a heavily selected bunch, much like the lonely frustrated young men who get radicalised by incel fora or far-right fora. I don't recall ever even suggesting that the pipeline looks like "normal person -> trans -> assassination/mass shooting". While the proportion of people identifying as trans has shot up in recent decades, I'm pretty sure virtually everyone doing so is still "weird" on one axis or another. (I'm not including the NBs here.)
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