Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.
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Not much. The fundamental problem of the war hasn't been solved: neither country can conduct large-scale offensive operations. Russia has rebuilt enough of its armor for a mechanized push, but it can't execute one because any concentration of tanks and IFVs is too obvious.
Ukraine is losing, but it is not losing fast enough. Right now their strategy is to retreat as slowly as possible while attacking Russian refineries and now power plants, basically asking the question, "how much Russian infrastructure are you willing to sacrifice just to prove you can beat us?" The Russian strategy is to trade pieces while they are ahead in material, as this increases relative advantage.
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