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Transnational Thursday for January 15, 2026

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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I'm going to go with a perhaps controversial opinion here and say there is no doctrine here at all, Trump is acting opportunistically and for his own reasons that range from a a simplistic and transactional view of geopolitics down to petty ego. He's surrounded by yes men and getting high on the news coverage of himself, it seems most likely he's seen information about resource deposits and decided he has to have it, plus securing his place in history as a US President that expanded the nations borders with a big chunk of land.

The only "doctrine" you might be able to find will come from the courtiers whispering into his ear, trying to aim the loose cannon roughly at problems they want dealt with, but even then that's going to be filtered through Trumps own strange lens and more probably than not there will be different parties trying to push him in different directions.

This Greenland stuff is madness, there's no reasonable justification for it from a military or political standpoint, anything the US wants from Greenland they almost certainly could have negotiated for and gotten without any real hassle and certainly without threatening the existence of NATO and setting off alarm bells in Europe.

I'm going to go with a perhaps controversial opinion here and say there is no doctrine here at all

I was going to post something similar about Trump not having any coherently formulated foreign policy but I think you can still make the argument that his various decisions do reflect an underlying pattern, even if that pattern is purely reflective of his psychological profile rather than an explicitly thought-out philosophy. Whether the most appropriate word for this is doctrine or something else is maybe a different discussion.