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Notes -
(Cries in Yudkowsky)
I think this is what makes "FOOM" still something of a risk. What are the odds that we really discovered the most computationally efficient implementation of intelligence on the very first try and step one really was "just download the internet and try to compress it"? When we solved problems like magnetohydrodynamics simulation, we had some much more clever initial ideas, yet we still managed to improve them another order of magnitude (just software; another OOM in hardware) in each of the next few decades. There's still a fundamental limit to how efficient any particular algorithm can be, but it's not out of the question that, once we have a ton of artificial researchers that don't need to be handheld on every short task, we'll get a similar 1000x sort of speedup, much sooner.
If we just match our own sapience, then the hallucination problem really can't be solved, rather than just mitigated. Humans still do that shit all the time. I once missed a problem on a Differential Equations quiz because I evaluated "1 × 2" as "3" in an intermediate step.
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