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I'm wondering how the Chinese "lego-compatible" ecosystem fits in here? It seems like an easy win FIRST and some up-and-coming brand.
My oldest is 8 and has been playing around with knock-off technic legos for about 2 years. They're about 30% the price of name-brand, and the pieces themselves seem basically just as good. The instructions and designs are definitely not as good as lego, but this seems like a place where FIRST could put in Western-quality work for cheap.
Some of the knock-off stuff is legitimately better than lego too. We have ~5 sets of fake-duplo marble runs that are legitimately much more fun to play with than anything lego makes in the duplo age range (both for kids and adults).
I think they definitely need to be a part of whatever FIRST goes with. Even if not!FLL wanted to keep the Lego relationship going, the possibility Lego might just stop selling to them (or worse, sell and then delay a shipment at the last moment) because they're direct competitors is a Sword of Damocles for the entire ecosystem. And the clone vendors are just way too attractive to ignore, since in many cases it's cheaper to buy from them than to get raw plastic feedstock.
The trouble's the practical side of that:
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Where do you buy this stuff?
Search amazon for "duplo marble run" and you get all sorts of cool knock-off duplo sets that are so much better than anything lego makes: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=duplo+marble+run
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It depends a lot on what you're looking for. DeCADA is one of the higher quality vendors and has a real store, but mostly sells full kits and only a little cheaper. Mould King is closer to Lego Mindstorms is capabilities and has a more serious price delta, but they've had some occasional missteps with early kits. If you just want bricks and parts, either to build your own set or as replacements, GoBricks is the biggest bulk manufacturer with a good reputation, although I have no idea how well they'd scale to FIRST's demand.
And if you just want bulk and don't care what, AliBaba has absolute tons... but the quality can be flaky.
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