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Both sides want ships to pass through while neither side wants a deal that the other can accept. In the last 24 hours 11 ships have transited. Other fuels have gone through saudi arabia to the red sea. Iranians are trading at record rates through the caspian sea, pakistan and through central asia. Iraq has a land boarder with Turkey.
The doomsday scenario is overblown. We are not going to see a mass collapse of the economy after oil spikes to 250 dollars. What we will get is a dragged out forever war that is going to drain the US navy causing years of maintenance backlog while keeping oil at 100+ dollars per barrel and inflation a few percent higher than projected with meagre economic growth. Trump is stuck, and the war isn't going to end due to a shock. The US is going to go woke again because Trump decided the middle east was more important than the US.
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