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Notes -
The release of ChatGPT was just the wake-up call that something was coming. No one used it back then for more than a trivial amount of real work. People will vary, but I'd put the dividing line for that about 9 months ago. It will take time to diffuse and for processes to adapt. So such conclusions seem premature.
Also, that 2% growth isn't some magic rule of nature, excepting population growth (which is covers about 1/4 of the economic growth over the last 4 years) the default growth is 0% (as it was epsilon close to for much of history) only by investing and inventing things does growth happen. AI is a thing human invented and are investing in, it's quite plausibly the thing that will keep the 2% going another couple of decades. We don't get to do nothing and magically get 2% growth as a baseline and AI is only measured as to what it adds on top of that. Computers, cell phones, internet, cloud services, etc. all of that was apparently worthless as we only grew 2% a year.
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