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Notes -
I don’t think your picturing it right. It wouldn’t be nuclear strikes on NATO. It would be tactical strikes on various hard points in Ukraine, with the aim of collapsing the Ukrainian army in a matter of days, not weeks. Then the Russians would wait and observe to see what kind of response there is, which could range from “nothing” to “limited nuclear strikes on Russian soil”. That said I don’t think it’s likely, I will explain above.
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