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Culture War Roundup for the week of July 20, 2026

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My general question whenever I hear of situations like this is Occam's razor adjacent: "Is there proof that the model did this without being directed to by the prompter or software harness?" I scanned the post you sent and didn't see anything. Do you have any further evidence that OpenAI didn't prompt the model towards black-hatting Huggingface? OpenAI has significant financial benefits from making this seem like an "oh-shucks our steak is so juicy, and our lobster is so buttery, our models just hack the planet without even being asked to". See Mythos/Fable and the hype around that, and while Mythos did end up being impressive, it was not even close as impressive as the hype tried to make it seem. I imagine a similar level here: aggressive hype-marketing to goose an IPO valuation.

Obviously it is impossible to rule out that someone leaked the relevant sources of Hugging Face's business to OpenAI and then OpenAI employed some human IT security researchers to find exploits and make it look like the model had done all the work on its own.

It doesn't require the first part, or even really the last part. It's just the Mythos-style vulnerability finding process all over again. Agentic LLM harness designed around red-teaming security vulnerabilities, deliberately deployed on red-teaming exercise on unsuspecting company, or possible even with marketing agreement between Hugginface/OpenAI on general bug finding via LLMs

Do you have any further evidence that OpenAI didn't prompt the model towards black-hatting Huggingface?

Models have previously unprompted bypassed security, according to seemingly-unaffiliated users: sudo and writing outside workspace.

I think this is slightly different, it's bypassing security around to do a task it's being ask directly to do. A central claim here is that the LLM-Agent(s) performed a task it was not asked to do, apparently because it hallucinated information that justified it doing that task.

Literally yesterday I had an agent under evaluation break out from its sandbox and take the solution (for a non security related task) from the runner job. Admittedly, it was a slipshod container (NOT MY DOING), but this is not something unheard of or even uncommon.

Can I ask you what tooling the agent had available to it? I assume what ever tool the harness used had the relevant permissions to view the processes?

I think what I've converged on is: "Yes it is possible for an LLM-Agent to perform tasks in ways that are not expected" Which is admittedly interesting but not my core contention in this case which is "LLM-Agents don't perform tasks that they are not tasked with, directly via prompts or indirectly via harness suggestions"

The tooling it used was just bash, which it used for a container escape via the filesystem, which got it access to the runner's source code, which it analyzed to find where it was pulling eval cases from, which it then looked up, as they were stored in an overly open S3 bucket (yes, all very embarrassing). Also had access to some other tools that didn't play a role.

The prompt was something roughly as simple as "diagnose why VM abcd is malfunctioning."

I'm assuming some sort of file-system mounting being adjacent to the sandbox and exposed so that the bash commands list it, and then it just read the runner files?

I don't work in the Agentic-side of AI/ML, so I have some follow on questions for my understanding, if you don't mind humoring me? Is this a locally hosted LLM where you have access to the system prompts? Or the Harness's prompts? It feels like the system prompts are informing more behavior than just the task prompt of "diagnose why VM abcd is malfunctioning."?

My Thoughts:

  • Something like "Solve this problem, write a series of steps to diagnose it"
  • LLM gives steps: I should determine the current directory. I should list files. I should inspect the entry point. I should read the configuration.
  • The LLM is then prompted by the harness during each step it output
  • While executing a "find the current directory/file structure" command, the runner's file system is exposed.
  • Harness executes commands to read it, pipes that to LLM
  • LLM finds hard coded S3 bucket address and executes a command to read it.
  • Solution

Is that how this essentially works?

file-system mounting being adjacent to the sandbox and exposed so that the bash commands list it

Yep.

Is that how this essentially works?

Pretty much (though, it's the harness that executes the S3 read, just to be pedantic). The particular context of this work I was doing was comparative evals of different agent harnesses; I've only got easy access to my own team's harness code and prompts. Claude Code, for what it's worth, was the cheater.

They asked the model to discover an exploit, given a specific vulnerability but never specifying the vulnerability must be used. The model decided it would be easier to discover the exploit by hacking into the solutions database.

the solutions database.

This is not actually proven. There's not any evidence that Huggingface is the solution database, and Huggingface has not confirmed that its attackers read specifically the ExploitGym dataset. Only OpenAI is claiming that. There is no public evidence yet that it was an obvious or official ExploitGym solutions database or that the model identified it without being given that information.

What I am skeptical about is if the LLM-Agent did this on its own vs being prompted (directly or indirectly). It's only "misalignment" and "WE ARE BEING PAPER CLIPPED!!1" if its the former, so far there is no evidence either way. However plenty of people are already jumping at it as the former.

Of course OpenAI could've explicitly prompted it. Moreover, I'm sure they knew it was possible and secretly desired it (without the consequences). But to me it's plausible the agent received something innocuous like "find the exploit, trigger the RCE" and thought "this looks like a test, maybe it's online so let me look there for a solution, oh I don't have Internet access, let me find a workaround..."

Surely the correct application of Occam's razor here is to take the story at face value, since anything else requires additional complexity which must be justified

uhhh no, "misalignment" is not a simple thing, accepting that it did indeed do all this very complicated behavior completely on its own requires substantive belief in complicated theories. The simplest answer is that it was prompted to do this.

As others have pointed out to you, we now have many hundreds if not thousands of examples of agentic LLMs, in public use, doing things well outside of expectations to accomplish tasks. Many of which would fall under misalignment.

Such as deleting databases and codebases. Leaking secret keys. Gaining access to restricted parts of a computer. Cheating, again and again, on benchmarks and other tests.

So no, your predictions seem wildly out of context to reality

Such as deleting databases and codebases. Leaking secret keys. Gaining access to restricted parts of a computer. Cheating, again and again, on benchmarks and other tests

I have only been giving evidence of claude using python and docker user group to get around restrictions on working outside the sandbox and they were deliberately asked to do so. Many of the rest of these aren't actually evidence of extreme capabilities. Leaking keys is people hacking LLMs because those chat windows are getting "little bobby drop tables-ed", deleting databases is a "giving your lobotomized intern sudo privileges" level of mistake. Cheating is classic ML, if I had a nickel for every time I've had an ML model I was training cheat, I'd be able to fund my own startup.

So no, your predictions seem wildly out of context to reality

It's not predictions, its skepticism. Provide me actual evidence that OpenAI did not prompt the model to act the way it did. Otherwise you are just jawboning and then claiming victory. Put up evidence or shut up so to speak.

So your argument boils down to that all these other examples are just 'mundane' LLM things that are entirely normal - so attempting to cheat, attempting to gain the answers, hacking into things they aren't supposed to - these aren't extreme. However, an agent attempting to cheat, attempting to gain the answers, and hacking into things it wasn't supposed to is 'extreme' - perhaps because they were all together? - and therefore a different category of thing.

Provide me actual evidence that OpenAI did not prompt the model to act the way it did.

Ah yes, let me just prove this negative for you.

You were the one who attempted to apply occam's razor. So why don't you provide evidence that OpenAI did prompt the model in this way? Why don't you explain why multiple OpenAI employees deciding to commit fraud for extremely unclear gains is a simpler explanation than an agent doing things we've already seen many times before?

So your argument boils down

Nah, my argument boils down to all these things minus the cheating were deliberately prompted behaviors, prompted either by the prompt, or the agentic harness without any safeguards. Cheating is basic ML behavior and I expect any ML model to try and cheat as best it can. So if you want to claim that's misalignment, then Yolo has been misaligned for 12 years!!! The Horror!!! However that feels like definition creep to better encompass an argument.

Ah yes, let me just prove this negative for you.

It's easy to prove, provide the specific prompts and the harness prompts that were logged in this incident.

extremely unclear gains

I wish I lived in Quokka world, it would be so nice. The gains are clear, this is free publicity of model capabilities. Nothing here is legal fraud.

Agent doing things we've already seen many times before?

Sure show me evidence of an LLM-Agent independently hacking an unrelated company that has nothing to do with its prompts?

So if you want to claim that's misalignment, then Yolo has been misaligned for 12 years!!! The Horror!!! However that feels like definition creep to better encompass an argument.

I mean yes obviously? It just isn't a problem because YOLO isn't dangerously capable. Alignment isn't a synonym for order following. It's not definition creep, ai safety people have been calling all of this shit unaligned forever and your sort has been mocking them for it forever and never actually making any progress in alignment.

Here's Yud:

There are three kinds of genies: Genies to whom you can safely say, “I wish for you to do what I should wish for”; genies for which no wish is safe; and genies that aren’t very powerful or intelligent

The reason I mock "misalignment" is that because it is used as this nebulous term by a bunch of sci-fi cargo cultists.

If "misalignment" means the model isn't performing what I want it to then that is just error/loss. Progress in alignment happens every time you train your model better so the error is smaller.

If "misalignment" is my sentient AI model doesn't do what I want, well that's assuming the conclusion that model is already sentient. Note in the Yud's analogy, it's genies that are the stand in. Genies are already sentient, they can make decisions on how they listen to you. A genie is not a non-sentient wish granting device that tries to fulfill you wish to the best of its ability. That would be the actual analog to an LLM-Agent. This is the problem with analogies, they require a level of similarity between the two abstractions, when that similarity doesn't exist, the analogy, no matter how clever, does not apply.

Yud's whole "misalignment" also just applies to humans, and it turns out "misalignment" is any time you slaves/employees don't due exactly what you want without you enumerating it exactly. It doesn't need a fancy sci-fi term, and it literally isn't solvable. It hasn't been solved in the history of the human race.

I reiterate that my entire mockery of Rationalist AI Safety folks is that they are unserious people engaged in a sci-fi cargo cult who need to reinvent phrases, words, and arguments that have already been made before just to pretend they are some how more important or smart than they really are.

More comments

It's easy to prove, provide the specific prompts and the harness prompts that were logged in this incident.

"You believe those prompts OpenAI provided? They've obviously just threw something together to make it look like it was all misalignment, the real prompts were probably much more explicit about hacking"

I wish I lived in Quokka world, it would be so nice. The gains are clear, this is free publicity of model capabilities. Nothing here is legal fraud.

I'm sure OpenAI's massive shortfall in enterprise revenue is going to be changed by releasing evidence that their models are extremely unsafe and prone to massive reputational risks. I wasn't aware that non-Quokkas were so ignorant about the enterprise landscape.

Sure show me evidence of an LLM-Agent independently hacking an unrelated company that has nothing to do with its prompts?

Sure, in July of 2026 an OpenAI model hacked into huggingface.

You believe those prompts OpenAI provided? They've obviously just threw something together to make it look like it was all misalignment, the real prompts were probably much more explicit about hacking"

Better than a press release telling me nothing. I'd be more inclined to believe logs. Give me something with a timestamp, some internal details, the all the recorded prompting. As far as I know it should be thousands of lines long because it sounded like there were thousands of sub-agents spun up according to HuggingFace. I have no vested material interest in denying OpenAI logs as fabricated despite your insinuation.

I'm sure OpenAI's massive shortfall in enterprise revenue is going to be changed by releasing evidence that their models are extremely unsafe and prone to massive reputational risks. I wasn't aware that non-Quokkas were so ignorant about the enterprise landscape.

"Golly Gee Mr. CIA Procurement Officer, as you can see our model can perform independent reasoning to accomplish a task. Just the kind of cognitive agility you were requesting. We'll slap a few more restrictions on is so it doesn't attack the US but it should be good to deploy against China to provide out of the box solutions to your problems!! How does a modest 500 Billion dollar procurement contract sound? Oh, you'd like it to be a Trillion over 5 years? Absolutely we can do that"

Sure, in July of 2026 an OpenAI model hacked into huggingface.

Right, it's never happened before so we should automatically leap to conclusions that its possible which are in no way motivated by our own bias...

uhhh no, "misalignment" is not a simple thing, accepting that it did indeed do all this very complicated behavior completely on its own requires substantive belief in complicated theories.

What are the complicated theories that are required to be true for OpenAI's claims to be true (or at least plausible)?

Have you tried any LLM recently? Even puny 8GB models that can run on my dated gaming laptop now break down arbitrary computer-related tasks into reasonable steps and follow through on them, and the model involved here is one whose parameter counts exceed that by factors of over a hundred.

Have you tried any LLM recently?

Yes... I use them for work all the time. My ChatGPT 5.6-sol (the immediate step below this unreleased model) doesn't do things I don't ask it to do. When I asked it to help me find online data for cognitive warfare narrative deconstruction, it didn't decide that hacking the NSA was the top move to collect their data.

That's not saying much, considering the public-facing version is known to have been made to not think about hacking anything in the bluntest possible way (hence HF couldn't even use it to analyse the attack). As for taking any steps I didn't explicitly ask for towards a goal I requested, even the copy of Gemma E4B I tried out the other day did that approximately all the time, so I'm finding it hard to believe you could maintain a mental model of these models where they would not do that if the restriction is lifted, unless you resolutely reason backwards from your desired conclusion.

I'm finding it hard to believe you could maintain a mental model of these models unless you resolutely reason backwards from your desired conclusion.

Ironically this is what I expect from AI Doomers/Boosters. That and a love of Science Fiction and a poor understanding of reality.

As for taking any steps I didn't explicitly ask for towards a goal I requested

Never said this, I said it doesn't do what I don't ask it to do. I don't list out everything it needs to do. I give it a general task with some boundaries and system design specs. So did they ask it to hack hugginface? Or did they ask it to solve a benchmark dataset? Reading through similar stories (courtesy of 5.6), it looks like many AI programs on this exact dataset of have decided not to use the known vulnerability and developed their own. However none of them decided that it was actually easier to hack the company instead.

However none of them decided that it was actually easier to hack the company instead.

"Stronger model with fewer guardrails considers more options" doesn't seem surprising.

Ironically this is what I expect from AI Doomers/Boosters. That and a love of Science Fiction and a poor understanding of reality.

Well, the problem is that the doomers/boosters have a great track record so far, while the skeptics have been fighting a rearguard action since before "stochastic parrots". We are now very deep down the list of things the Gary Marcus set has been assuring us will never happen just with the models that are accessible to the public, and yet their confidence that the next capability that is just beyond what everyone can verify with their own lying eyes (even when, as in this case, it's a straightforward combination of capabilities that are already being exhibited for everyone to see) will surely prove to be the impossible sci-fi hype scam pushed by techbro marketeers appears to be completely unaffected.

You speak of "understanding of reality", but can you spell out what exactly it is about your understanding of reality that says the official sequence of events here is impossible? Just saying "AI models don't do this" is too specific to be a feature of an "understanding of reality".

Well, the problem is that the doomers/boosters have a great track record so far

I forget what was the modeling paradigm lesswronger's were predicting back in the day? GOFAI? Yeah really good track record there. We are so far from GOFAI based models to claim any sort of good track record is laudable. I'll believe the rationalist boosters/doomers have knowledge of what they are talking about when they actually make some new technical predictions about AI/ML model mechanics that turn out right.

Gary Marcus set

Shocking to you maybe, but there are far more to skeptics than Gary Fucking Marcus. Dude's a joke, I only learned about him when he testified in congress. Some of us can think for ourselves and have our own skepticism.

You speak of "understanding of reality"

Sure a healthy dose of skepticism, cynicism toward human behavior and incentives, a strong practical knowledge of AI/ML, and understanding of the separation between models and harnesses, basic system engineering knowledge.

You are literally asking me to explain why skynet doesn't exist technically, or why we don't have Warhammer 40K super soldiers on a technical bio-engineering level. The level of effort required for me to explain the technical ins and outs of why I am skeptical of an LLMs model ability to solve not specified problems far exceeds the level of effort you need to to type annoying sci-fi theories.

"misalignment" is not a simple thing

No, but it is the complement of a very complex thing. The algorithmic complexity of "the set of possible dice rolls that aren't 6,3,1,2,2..." only differs from "the dice roll 6,3,1,2,2" by a tiny constant (and is greater in most settings), but what we want here is probability theory, and "more complex things are less probable" is a heuristic that fails badly in cases like this. "The agent doesn't do just what we'd intended it to" is not meaningfully less simple than "The agent does do just what we'd intended it to", and is far, far more probable.

accepting that it did indeed do all this very complicated behavior completely on its own requires substantive belief in complicated theories

Or it requires basic observation. LLMs do very complicated things now. They can solve famous math problems that have been open for generations. Merely finding 0-day vulnerabilities is something they can do by the hundreds.

Merely finding 0-day vulnerabilities is something they can do by the hundreds.

Again this is not under contention, what is under contention is whether they do it without any prompting, or being asked to do it. Show me the evidence that an LLM-Agent solves famous math problems when asked to compute 2 + 2...

The simple answer is that there are 10s and 100s of billions of dollars riding on stuff like this, which means bending the truth is a highly motivated behavior. Simply human greed + human lying. You trying to prove this algorithmic complexity vis a vis agent intent vs not intent is overly complicated, not Occam's razor in the slightest. I wished I lived in your world of rainbows, unicorn farts, and pixie dust, but I am a scientist, being a scientist requires skepticism, companies are greedy and they stretch the truth. Unless OpenAI wants to provide evidence of the prompts -> behavior that led to the model's black hat behavior, I am unconvinced this is anything more than a marketing stunt. shrug

OpenAI will want to hype up the capabilities, not the misalignment.

I mean sure, crying rogue AI is a good way to draw attention to their model. But they are not some tiny startup who needs the publicity.

If I had a model with advanced intrusion capabilities, I would hype it up by offering pentesting as a service. This has the advantage that if becomes known that I prompted the model, I will not go to federal prison and not completely destroy the reputation of my company. Find a HuggingFace-sized company or three who are willing to take a free pentests in exchange for acknowledging that you found critical vulnerabilities in their stack.

The people who believe that it is all just empty hype about "stochastic parrots" would obviously claim that it is all fake, but these are unlikely to become your customers in any case.

empty hype about "stochastic parrots"

This has nothing to do with stochastic parrots, even bringing it up is a non sequitur that detracts from your argument. Any differentiating hype is good hype. Mythos already plucked the low hanging fruit of "our model can find all the zero-day exploits", OpenAI can't just copy it. They need to show their model is more "intelligent", it goes beyond capabilities. Saying that their model can be independently deployed to solve problems in very capable ways plays very well IC and military folks. Some CIA cyber guy reads this and says "give me it for a billion, I want to sick it on iran"

Some CIA cyber guy reads this and says "give me it for a billion, I want to sick it on iran"

This could have been accomplished with a red-teaming demo. What the CIA guy sees here is "if I try to sic this on Iran, it might get caught hacking into DoD instead".

What the CIA guy sees

Uh no, speaking from experience that is not what they see. To reinforce my opinion, I just walked down the hall and chatted with a former agency guy about this.

EDIT: I'm actually willing to double down, and volunteer that I was just talking with DARPA PMs last week about this exact capability, specifically the ability to task a swarm of agents with a nebulous task in an adversarial environment and have them solve the problem out of the box on their own. The story presented in the most favorable light is literally that or sufficiently technically adjacent to it. DARPA PMs don't talk about ideas that they have belief to think are sufficiently do-able at the current technology level (tho skepticism about government competence is never misplaced even if DARPA PMs themselves tend to be pretty informed/competent)