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That's a nice thought, but it's usually not how things tend to work.
A one party system is even more stable than a two-party system. Why haven't the Chicago democrats splintered? Why are so many blue cities corrupt shitholes and still elect Democrats every time?
Once one party controls the spoils system, there is no point in being a member of any other party. You want a policy goal? You need to work through the only party that has a political chance. There are tons of places where the primary is the real election. This goes doubly so if the ruling party uses the legal system to persecute other parties. (Because that's also on the menu in 2029 if Democrats get a trifecta).
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