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It's a nice story, but I think if Blues collectively had the patience and discipline for this strategy, the world would look very different than it does. Also, it would probably help to have kids; I get that this is what big tech, social media and the educational system are for, but... eh. I'm skeptical it plays out the way they're hoping.
The more immediate problem is that Progressives want the future they've been promised, and there is absolutely no way it can be delivered. I think that's going to be a problem for them going forward, and increasingly more so as even their most extreme solutions simply fail. Meanwhile, trust in institutions erodes, and the tighter they squeeze with the consensus machine and social norms, the more society slips through their fingers. Trust in media, academics, elites, Science itself continues to erode, as does social cohesion generally.
In any case, we pays our money and we takes our bets, no? Maybe you're right after all. Time will tell.
I mean, I'm somebody whose to the left of like, 95% of the population, and while I'm obviously not happy with the current situation, it's far better than it was ten, twenty, or thirty years ago. Now, when I was twenty, I was more upset, just like 20-year-olds are now. That's the job of 20-year-olds. But, you get older, and you don't change your views, you just get smarter about implementing them.
The kid gap is somewhat overrated, and even then, we'll just bring in more immigrants (totally legal and unionizable), who will end up voting left-leaning for a few generations because the Right's voting base will require their politicians to be mean to them.
Now, I don't think it's going to be a KO win for us on the left, just like radical abolitionists didn't get everything they wanted, nor did socialists in the 1910's, MLK or Malcolm, or various other left-leaning leaders. But, I think while everything is dangerous in the short term, in the medium and long-term, everything you just listed makes it incredibly difficult to actually have a unified political movement.
On a purely political level, I'll take the trade of 3 high-propensity middle to upper-middle class voters in the suburbs over a rural low propensity low to moderate-income voter not only because they're far more likelier to turn out, but because in 2023, they're far more likely to actually be more left-leaning on economics and social views. Hell, there are thousands of those voters that just made sure abortion will be legal in Wisconsin, and there might be something resembling legislative democracy on the state level as well, whom previously might have voted for Scott Walker a few times.
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