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Culture War Roundup for the week of July 17, 2023

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Good point, thanks for the counter. You're correct that a lot of the misery from the 1980s was about a lack of jobs in the factories / mines, not the opposite.

I was thinking about the Blair years; the implicit promise behind the pledge that 50% of people would go to university was, "Someday everyone will go to university and work in creative / research industries. You and your children will never have to work in a factory again." The idea that, as a country, we might want to develop these industries post 1995 was mostly mocked when it occasionally reared its head.

There are a couple of other complicating factors IMO: one is dumping, as you say; the other is a long history of organised labour. The problem with having an industrial sector with expensive machinery in the UK specifically is that you know it will be taken hostage sooner or later. Take the current situation with the trains: the Conservatives are trying desperately to get drivers out of trains and ticket officers out of ticket offices. It's not because they'll save that much money, or because these people are useless (they're technically disposable but still very nice to have). It's to prevent strikes. Contrast with Japan, where they still have manned ticket offices at every (urban) station and train drivers with white gloves; employees will never seriously attempt to overthrow the system and can therefore be trusted with it.

Yes, one also sees a huge contrast in labour use between Hong Kong and the UK.

I also agree about the Blair years. For one thing, there was a double-pronged kind of Dutch Disease (sounds painful...) in that period: the pound was highly valued due to the high exports of oil and financial services, but this meant that manufacturers (a) struggled to export and (b) faced competition from cheap imports. Service industries like retail or hospitality, which couldn't be imported, had an advantage in this climate. Since oil price would always remain high and the UK financial service sector would not crash, this was a perfectly satisfactory situation, and there was no reason to do anything to conunter the Dutch Disease e.g. spend money on a sovereign wealth fund in the manner of Norway or Singapore. Instead, the Blair/Brown governments rationally chose to "invest in people" (spending on public services) since they could better determine the future needs of the UK economy than the chaotic and irrational market economy. This long-term thinking helped to lead to the brilliant situation of the UK economy today.