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Of course it works. All the time. For countless people.
We have tons of evidence of people not taking the advice, that's very different. We don't conclude from people driving drunk that "don't drink and drive" is bad advice or that drinking heavily doesn't impair your ability to pilot a car.
Tons (heh) of people successfully lose weight long term all the time.
The systematic review by Curioni and Lourenco (2005) found that weight regain in individuals included in both diet and exercise programs approached 50%. Not great, but far from "diet and exercise works for absolutely no one". And given that the review only included studies with obese and overweight people (who in all likelihood have a history of following unhealthy habit and likely exhibit low willpower), we can take that as the upper bound.
The data does not seem to support this extreme conclusion.
To some extent, we very much do, given that appetite does adjust to changed habits. We can also just ignore it, you know? We control our urges all the time.
Obesity certainly isn't monocausal, but I haven't seen sufficient evidence to exclude the latter explanation as a factor.
I don't find that baffling. Laissez-faire education styles, social mores that promote the externalisation of personal issues, and the abundance of superstimuli are all plausible factors for this.
Another very plausible factor.
Look man, if you want to conclude that telling people to exercise more and eat less isn't really that effective an intervention at the population level, that's fine. I think you have your work laid out for you. But to assert that therefore, it is literally impossible to lose weight and that CICO isn't a simple law of physics is throwing the babe out with the bathwater.
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