site banner

Culture War Roundup for the week of January 1, 2024

This weekly roundup thread is intended for all culture war posts. 'Culture war' is vaguely defined, but it basically means controversial issues that fall along set tribal lines. Arguments over culture war issues generate a lot of heat and little light, and few deeply entrenched people ever change their minds. This thread is for voicing opinions and analyzing the state of the discussion while trying to optimize for light over heat.

Optimistically, we think that engaging with people you disagree with is worth your time, and so is being nice! Pessimistically, there are many dynamics that can lead discussions on Culture War topics to become unproductive. There's a human tendency to divide along tribal lines, praising your ingroup and vilifying your outgroup - and if you think you find it easy to criticize your ingroup, then it may be that your outgroup is not who you think it is. Extremists with opposing positions can feed off each other, highlighting each other's worst points to justify their own angry rhetoric, which becomes in turn a new example of bad behavior for the other side to highlight.

We would like to avoid these negative dynamics. Accordingly, we ask that you do not use this thread for waging the Culture War. Examples of waging the Culture War:

  • Shaming.

  • Attempting to 'build consensus' or enforce ideological conformity.

  • Making sweeping generalizations to vilify a group you dislike.

  • Recruiting for a cause.

  • Posting links that could be summarized as 'Boo outgroup!' Basically, if your content is 'Can you believe what Those People did this week?' then you should either refrain from posting, or do some very patient work to contextualize and/or steel-man the relevant viewpoint.

In general, you should argue to understand, not to win. This thread is not territory to be claimed by one group or another; indeed, the aim is to have many different viewpoints represented here. Thus, we also ask that you follow some guidelines:

  • Speak plainly. Avoid sarcasm and mockery. When disagreeing with someone, state your objections explicitly.

  • Be as precise and charitable as you can. Don't paraphrase unflatteringly.

  • Don't imply that someone said something they did not say, even if you think it follows from what they said.

  • Write like everyone is reading and you want them to be included in the discussion.

On an ad hoc basis, the mods will try to compile a list of the best posts/comments from the previous week, posted in Quality Contribution threads and archived at /r/TheThread. You may nominate a comment for this list by clicking on 'report' at the bottom of the post and typing 'Actually a quality contribution' as the report reason.

6
Jump in the discussion.

No email address required.

This is correct, but I do not think BurdensomeCount's thinks redistributive welfare state and gini index are interchangeable (I don't). This is my main objection.

Fair enough. But see my point on the correlation between welfare spending and Gini below.

There are lots of countries with large percent of GDP in wellfare system having very high Gini index regardless.

I have organized and sorted the data for you in my previous post, can you pick out a few countries (other than the US) that are high on the list and has a large percentage of GDP in welfare system?

I've also tried to add some stats on welfare spending, there isn't much, so I put togther a new table below using what sources I could find. Newly added data in new columns is from here: https://data.oecd.org/socialexp/social-spending.htm

If the country is missing that means there was no data on the percentage of GDP spent on public spending.

The correlation between Gini and % spending is -0.61, the correlation between % spending and GDP per capita is 0.36. Again, the same caveats as the previous analysis, except this time we also don't have much data on the highest gini coefficient countries so any analysis here shouldn't be used for any serious argument, but we now see a medium/strong negative correlation between public spending and gini coefficient. I mean is that such a surprise? If you don't like the use of gini coefficient then look at the correlation between GDP per capita and welfare spending and you see a small positive correlation. You could correctly point out that correlation != causation and the more likely explanation is that richer countries distribute after getting their wealth (to do a more appropriate analysis on this we would have to look at changes in GDP per capita over time) but my point is that welfare distribution is not a major factor in economic growth/development and there are more likely answers.

adding individual bell curves with averages far apart does not look like bell curve.

The populations are likely weighed heavily in one race or the other, not like those populations have equal distributions, and again this reveals very little about the tail end of the IQ distributions which is more important when we consider your argument on large gaps in ability leading to higher wealth gaps. Do any of the countries below have significant amounts of populations with differing means of IQ to properly explain the inequality outcome? I'm not saying your argument has no value, if we were looking at specific countries such as the United States there's definitely some merit, but as a general trend across all the countries, I don't think IQ gaps are the main or primary explanation for the higher Gini coefficient in these countries.

List of countries with high Gini index: Namibia Zambia Central African Republic Eswatini Colombia Mozambique Botswana Belize Angola Saint Lucia Zimbabwe

but this is by weighting each country equally regardless of population Looks like taking only countries with >100M, correlation gets positive.

That is such an arbitrary cutoff that conveniently cuts off all the high gini coefficient countries, don't do this.

Entity Year for Gini/GDP Data Gini Coefficient GDP Per Capita Population % of GDP on Social Programs Year for % of GDP Data
Colombia 2020 0.54173976 $13,387.70 50930656 2.342 2021
Costa Rica 2020 0.49250317 $19,824.35 5123107 0.963 2020
Mexico 2020 0.4539873 $18,327.99 125998296 0.52 2020
Chile 2020 0.4492094 $23,017.69 19300318 3.732 2021
Turkey 2019 0.41909108 $28,150.06 83481688 0.218 2020
United States 2019 0.41535568 $62,478.25 334319680 22.7 2021
Israel 2018 0.38577175 $39,936.77 8456487 18.343 2021
Lithuania 2019 0.35253152 $37,184.45 2849083 19.839 2022
Italy 2018 0.35222572 $42,045.92 59877432 30.059 2022
United Kingdom 2017 0.3514883 $46,372.39 66064808 22.1 2021
Latvia 2019 0.3448954 $31,038.68 1916552 19.695 2022
Australia 2018 0.34333763 $49,052.82 24979228 5.128 2019
Spain 2019 0.34305838 $40,760.31 47131372 28.086 2022
Luxembourg 2019 0.34241262 $114,542.50 619981 21.872 2022
Canada 2017 0.33308205 $48,317.18 36554344 7.426 2020
Switzerland 2018 0.3314105 $70,558.56 8514431 17.038 2022
Greece 2019 0.33104455 $29,721.59 10574026 24.115 2022
Japan 2013 0.3285473 $39,569.64 127678920 0.352 2020
Portugal 2019 0.32762748 $34,945.66 10289921 24.639 2022
France 2018 0.32380688 $45,245.96 64277812 31.633 2022
Germany 2018 0.31698412 $53,431.40 82896696 26.722 2022
South Korea 2016 0.31404856 $39,814.66 51309984 14.843 2022
Estonia 2019 0.30767542 $36,153.43 1327039 17.187 2022
Ireland 2018 0.30602926 $83,340.39 4834506 12.779 2022
Poland 2019 0.30239472 $33,159.75 38493600 22.706 2022
Austria 2019 0.30211553 $55,806.44 8879939 29.356 2022
Hungary 2019 0.29950473 $32,649.14 9771799 17.194 2022
Sweden 2019 0.29305574 $52,850.57 10267922 23.671 2022
Netherlands 2019 0.29248333 $56,784.04 17363260 17.565 2022
Norway 2019 0.27742285 $64,385.01 5348285 20.676 2022
Finland 2019 0.27737328 $48,583.43 5521539 29.02 2022
Denmark 2019 0.27723646 $56,813.97 5795879 26.164 2022
Belgium 2019 0.27219802 $51,977.18 11510569 28.965 2022
Iceland 2017 0.2613158 $55,638.49 343641 20.778 2022
Czechia 2019 0.25262198 $40,989.73 10536876 22.012 2022
Slovenia 2019 0.24384232 $39,034.23 2112905 22.839 2022
Slovakia 2019 0.23232324 $31,973.46 5453932 19.057 2022