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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 15, 2024

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Any candidate without Trump's negatives running against Biden would poll well.

I don't know why Biden is doing badly enough with swing voters that his losing to a coup-plotting serial bankrupt rapist is a serious possibility, but he clearly is. Haley is clearly sane, hasn't wrecked the economy (whether the Biden economy is actually wrecked is controversial, but the median voter definitely thinks it is), and doesn't have a junkie failson in the pay of the Red Chinese. Given what the voters think about Biden, that makes her a good alternative.

I don't know why Biden is doing badly enough with swing voters that his losing to a coup-plotting serial bankrupt rapist is a serious possibility, but he clearly is.

If nothing else, the various mask-off moments of the last few months have some moderate voters questioning what fraction of Biden's coalition supports antisemitic violence (the Ivy League drama isn't helping) and some number of far-left voters threatening to sit-out because he hasn't cut off arms deliveries to Israel. The administrations mostly noncommittal responses haven't been seen positively on either side.