Skylab
Beware of he who would deny you access to information...
1yr ago·Edited 1yr ago
corollary- a proposition that follows from (and is often appended to) one already proved.
If we grant that Ivermectin's effectiveness is a red tribe talking point, then it follows that Ivermectin's ineffectiveness is culturally important to blue tribe.
However- in a sane world, we would still expect a few Joe Rogan's and Bret Weinstein's to weigh in on their far out beliefs on a podcast. What we wouldn't expect in a sane world is for the FDA to snarkily take a side using a national institution of science, well before the fog of war had cleared.
However, the FDA receives much of their funding from Pfizer/Moderna/JnJ and there is a revolving door among board members.
I doubt Rogan is getting paid by Ivermectin advocates. There's no money in it. You could argue that he gains more followers by choosing the fault line, a kind of reverse audience capture.
I find it easier to place the cultural war aspect of Ivermectin into the category of, probably more effective than it appears since even the FDA will go out of its way to smear the cheap and safe drug as "horse dewormer."
Again, maybe I'm wrong but that was my internal assesment. It was odd to see someone making a symmetrical but opposite argument.
I find it easier to place the cultural war aspect of Ivermectin into the category of, probably more effective than it appears since even the FDA will go out of its way to smear the free and safe drug as "horse dewormer."
Yeah, I don't see how this follows. I would expect both P(FDA smears Ivermectin | Ivermectin doesn't work) and P(FDA smears Ivermectin | Ivermectin works) to be close to 1 under our conditions of Ivermectin's culture war role and the FDA, so P(Ivermectin works | FDA smears Ivermectin) is basically the same as the prior P(Ivermectin works).
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Notes -
corollary- a proposition that follows from (and is often appended to) one already proved.
If we grant that Ivermectin's effectiveness is a red tribe talking point, then it follows that Ivermectin's ineffectiveness is culturally important to blue tribe.
However- in a sane world, we would still expect a few Joe Rogan's and Bret Weinstein's to weigh in on their far out beliefs on a podcast. What we wouldn't expect in a sane world is for the FDA to snarkily take a side using a national institution of science, well before the fog of war had cleared.
However, the FDA receives much of their funding from Pfizer/Moderna/JnJ and there is a revolving door among board members.
I doubt Rogan is getting paid by Ivermectin advocates. There's no money in it. You could argue that he gains more followers by choosing the fault line, a kind of reverse audience capture.
I find it easier to place the cultural war aspect of Ivermectin into the category of, probably more effective than it appears since even the FDA will go out of its way to smear the cheap and safe drug as "horse dewormer."
Again, maybe I'm wrong but that was my internal assesment. It was odd to see someone making a symmetrical but opposite argument.
Yeah, I don't see how this follows. I would expect both P(FDA smears Ivermectin | Ivermectin doesn't work) and P(FDA smears Ivermectin | Ivermectin works) to be close to 1 under our conditions of Ivermectin's culture war role and the FDA, so P(Ivermectin works | FDA smears Ivermectin) is basically the same as the prior P(Ivermectin works).
( P(W|F) = P(F|W)P(W)/P(F) = ~= (1/1) * P(W) = P(W) )
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