ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
No bio...
User ID: 626
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
17d ago
If the “bait” is so fine grained that you need a fifty page analysis about it whether or not it’s bait,
Whatever gave you that idea? Literally everything he posts in top level is bait. Watson was a subject of past culture war debate, and the rat-sphere was sympathetic to him, so he attacked him because he wanted to own the chuds. It's as simple as that. If you think that's uncharitable, then the fact that he refuses to adress responses that show he's just plain wrong, proves it.
Meanwhile the discussion gets slower and more sclerotic every week and there are fewer and fewer top level posts.
I'm not here to serve as entertainment. Letting people rile others up for shits and giggles, because you find the conversations "sclerotic" would just shit this place up. You can literlly just go on over to rdrama if you're so bored.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
17d ago
My point was that given the ancient Greeks were complaining that their youth sucked, and I've now seen two generations of older people say their youth sucked (boomers/Gen X > millenials & everyone > Gen Z), it seems very likely that every generation likes to think the ones after them suck.
I can't help but notice that we aren't currently living under the hegemony of Greece.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
17d ago
I did see it, I mean I noticed no precedent of the "come on, it's just a tiny percentage" people having had their own tiny percentage they visibly cared about a lot.
Wait, so you're not even arguing for the argument that "It is quite fair to be livid about similarly miniscule numbers" , you're just hypocrisy-policing? If that's what you're going for, are you telling me you never saw anyone being bothered about school shootings?
First, I don't recall you agreeing with me when it was about the tiny number of transed kids.
Uh... surely you must have seen one of my many top-level comments on the subject. If anything I don't remember you saying all that much about it.
Second, you appear to be one of the three principled autistically-consistent-argument-appliers among seven zillion culture warriors, so unilateral disarmament is not in my interest.
Well, if you're just pursuing your interest, why not say that from the top, instead of acting like you're bothered by a violation of a principle?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
17d ago
What's interesting about posting try-hard "provocative" top level posts, and ignoring literally everyone who points that out several of the premises are wrong?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
19d ago
I didn't have a precedent to refer to before.
How exactly did you run into this forum being absolutely livid about the small number of kids being transed without seeing the "come on, it's just a tiny percentage of people affected"?
Only if it actually becomes a commonplace bipartisan argument.
I literally just agreed with you, what more do you want?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
19d ago
It is quite fair to be livid about similarly miniscule numbers
The thing is I've been told that it's not, and I never saw you step in before. Can I count on you saying something the next time someone uses this argument?
Anyway, sure, give these people some restitution. Unlike transgender care, this is actually reversible.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
Unless this idea includes legalizing polygamy, it's probably not going to be an issue.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
Of course it would also be hilarious to see this backfire when a flood of Muslim women arrives completely on board with the "get married and have at least two children" plan.
How is that "backfiring"?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
Outside of the bailey of "transwomen are women," there is a motte of the leftist position of transwomen in women's prison of trying to protect transwomen from being raped in men's prisons.
That strikes me as rather schizophrenic. If men (/who end up in prison) are so rapey, it doesn't strike me as a great idea to put them in women's prisons.
Personally, I was thinking build a few trans-specific prisons.
Yeah, that's fine. I'd still be a bit miffed about having to bend over backwards for a segment of the population that will probably return their gratitude by calling me a nazi, but whatever, it's an acceptable compromise.
Outside of the bailey (...) there is a motte
The motte is inside the bailey ;)
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
It does not -- if I want a pickup, I will go buy a regular 1/2 tonne 4x4 from a major manufacturer -- Ford alone sells nearly a million of these per year.
That just means they're not very good trucks and are losing the competition. When the Model Y was the best selling car in a given year (or quarter, I forget), Elon was rightfully crowing about it. Same rules apply when things don't go his way.
Hard to know until you try!
And know that we know, we can call it a dumpster fire.
Anyways, it really depends on how much the bet cost and what the margins are like on the trucks that they are selling -- 'making less money than planned' is not a dumpster fire;
Opportunity costs are a thing.
Also, when you are trying to wow your investors with a shiny new product and how much it will sell, don't even get the order of magnitude right, and then see the sales cut by half the following year, yeah, that's a dumpster fire. The same thing with Optimus, if (or rather when) it turns out it's a dud, it will be pure cope to claim "well, it's not selling that much worse than Boston Dynamics".
I don't know what these figures are, do you?
No, sadly the world doesn't run on open source, and companies tend to be pretty cagey about their failures.
You will note a distinct lack of recalls related to issues of spontaneous combustion on that list
Well... that's technically correct, but it's not clear whether that's because they don't have an issue, or just don't want to make the recall public.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
The recovery of my nuked work is going well, it's indeed quite a bit easier to retrace my own steps than it was fumbling around for a solution, but I'll probably need another week to wrap it up.
How have you been doing @Southkraut?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
Trans-friendly feminism is suddenly making some sense.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
And why not just segregate prisons by sex like we've been doing all this time? Literally what's the upside of doing it your way?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
20d ago
Are we still doing the 90's "women can do anything men do, just as well" thing? They can't even match men in Call Of Duty, I doubt either the skill or apetite for actual warfare.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
21d ago
IDK man -- "not going as well as we'd hoped" with a brand new market segment isn't quite a "dumpster fire" in my book
Well, when you're telling investors how great your company is going to be doing, because of a hot new product you're working on, which then proceeds to flop (as per the expectations you set yourself) I would call it a dimlater fire.
There's also something special-pleadingy about calling it a whole new market segment. It's a pickup truck. It competes with kther pickups.
maybe electric pickups are just not hot sellers?
Yeah... maybe it was a bad idea to bet on an electric piclup, then?
Now this is a (Big 3) dumpster fire!
Oh, the Cybertruck fits that criterion as well:
https://mashable.com/article/every-cybertruck-recall-full-list
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
21d ago
I was responding to your point where 'Losing the Space Race Boogaloo to China seems like a fairly big deal.' but I don't see how this could be SpaceX's fault, even if Starship fails, the US is only ahead in space because of SpaceX.
If the Space Race is about the moon, I'm not even sure the US is ahead of China, and I don't see how you don't see it's SoaceX fault. They were supposed to have a whole bunch of milestones checked off by now, and they didn't make it to orbit yet.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
21d ago
and I'm just mentioning their technical achievements, which are secondary to what's actually best about them. The list above is a side effect of the work done lowering the cost of space access.
I agree they're secondary. Most of these aren't what I meant by distance. Distance would be things that are preventing their competitors from taking contracts that would otherwise go to them.
Starship HLS, definitely less than 20 per
How would you know that? The performance of Starship is currently unknown, any slip in how much fuel they'll be able to deliver, or how often they can do it, will result in the total number of necessary launches increasing. That's outside of details like we don't even know if they can do it.
and reduce risks is also the way to do it.
I'm a little skeptical that additional launches being necessary will result in lower risk.
Flipping a red state blue might prove some sort of a point, comparing voting percentages of local politicians to national ones feels quite silly.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
21d ago
Yes, if only they had a twitter feed more appealing to leftwingers, these blue states would surely flip red.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
22d ago
For all your whining about Jews enacting the Great Replacement of the White race, I would wager that orders of magnitude more have fled from Kiev to the safety of London to escape the war than have fled from London to Kiev to escape the Great Replacement.
Does that actually prove one is less likely to result in the end of a nation than the other?
If you listen to Tesla's earning's calls prior to it's launch, it was supposed to be their "best product ever", they haven't mentioned them a single time in quite a while, and the last time I remember he referred to it as "digging our own grave" with it.
EDIT: Musk was saying they're aiming for 200K sales annually, it looks like they're at ~60K total.
When you accused RandomRanger of "shifting the goalposts" was that an honest concern of yours?
Yes.
I never said a word about Tesla.
I know, it's called analogy. It meant to illustrate the fact that just because you reached a milestone before your competitors, doesn't mean you will forever stay ahead of them.
I'm curious about when you think Tesla's competition was a decade behind Tesla,
I dunno, I suppose when BYD first launched and Elon responded by maniacally laughing, but not having much of an argument for why they're bad.
but mostly I'm just going to assume that you're shifting to Tesla because, when in the grip of Musk hate, all his companies look alike?
Well, I do think that different companies managed by the same man are likely to suffer from the same management flaws. I don't think that's unreasonable.
I also don't hate Elon. I told you multiple times that I'd much prefer a world where I'm completely wrong about him. He's supporting most of the causes I support as well, and it would be a lot better fornmenif he proves to be a genius and vindicates ball these causes by proxy, rather than a hype peddler who's about to run out of luck and drag down all these causes with him.
I suppose I do get mildly annoyed that criticizing him inevitably summons fanboys acting like someone just murdered their dog.
Not a hyperbole decade, a look-at-the-calendar-and-subtract decade. RocketLab is trying, and with luck they'll succeed with the first Neutron flight next year and they'll only be 11 years behind.
This argument only makes sense if they managed to maintain the distance over those 11 years, and I'm that instead of doing that, they're sinking their advantage into boondoggle called Starship (which is when comparing SpaceX to Musk's other companies comes in handy, because the man really seems to like boondoggles). Starship is not going to the moon, it's definitely not going to Mars, it might end up doing it's LEO Pez-dispenser bit, but even that is not certain, and it's an open question if it does so in a cost-effective way.
Ideally we'd have a second homegrown SpaceX, but we don't, and until we do they're both metaphorically and literally carrying us.
No amount of SpaceX is going to help you, if what they're doing is retarded. You're not going to the moon with something that requires over a dozen refuellings, a space station that makes you wait a week if you miss a rendezvous, and a lander that is so tall it needs an elevator and lots of prayers to not tip over.
Not all of that is on SpaceX, but if they're so brilliant they should have raise some objections to the idea.
I am non-ironically excited for the possibility that Blue Origin's upcoming second attempt to accomplish a booster landing is about to succeed. It's unlikely to have any more significant delays (we're just a few days out from the first launch window), and so long as it has no delays worse than have already occurred, their landing attempt will come slightly before the ten year anniversary of SpaceX accomplishing the same. It is awesome that the leading team among SpaceX's most serious long-term competition may now be less than a decade behind them!
Uh-huh. How did the competition "being behind" Tesla detract from Cybertruck, Semi, Robotaxi, FSD, and Optimus being dumpster fires, and the Chinese offering as good or better cars for cheaper? How does "being ahead" supposed to magically help Starship?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
22d ago
Do you assume women's prisons are meaningfully less violent than men's prisons?
Yes, and even if they weren't they can't do as much damage as a man, even on hormones.
I'm pretty sure he could also be accused of not even trying, perhaps even outright abating. Why should we assume he was trying to right the ship based on nothing but which party he's associated with?
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