ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
No bio...
User ID: 626
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
44m ago
Are you doing the meme? What sort of question is that? I'm relatively well positioned, but I wouldn't want to lose my job in an environment where a good chunk of the workforce has also been fired, for example.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1hr ago
Ha. Norm MacDonald continues to be relevant.
I don't think that's fair. I'm not trying to make you feel sympathy for Trump, I'm trying to say what comes after him will be worse. See for example the thread after Labour won the most recent election in the UK, and compare to how eit panned out.
what are we supposed to think? Sorry, Trump was just holding the hot potato, blame the wreckers?
The busness cycle is usually beyond any president, so partially yes, but it's clear he also made many unforced errors here.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
11hr ago
How have you been doing @Southkraut?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
11hr ago
I had to scrap my previous approach to the bullet simulation optimization, as I did everything in one go, and manage to break everything else (not terribly surprising, as I extended I bunch of existing data structures, via a lot of copy-pasting). So I reverted that and started over with a more gradual approach, and managed to at least not break anything, but the bullet collision detection still was not working. I avoid using AI for this project, as part of the point is keeping my mind sharp, but after finding a few stupid copy-paste mistakes manually, and stalling after that, I figured it's either building some elaborate debugging tool, or asking Claude, and I caved. It indeed pointed out some other stupid copy-paste mistakes, and now everything works.
Disappointingly, it doesn't seem to be much of an improvement. Ok, so I get 60 FPS with +/- 360K monsters for a few seconds, whereas previously the maximum was 250K, but the GPU get's hot and stalls out rather quickly. I was hoping it would make the simulations with lower monster counts more sustainable, but I can't say I see the difference. One day I have to test it on Windows (my Linux distro is acting a bit weird with the GPU, and most games are kinda choppy), or my old desktop which actually has a decent graphics card.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
12hr ago
Wasn't the "basic sanity check" for the Internet back in the 90's also passing? It's entirely possible to land on a piece of viable technology, and still crash the economy by investing in it too much and too early.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
13hr ago
Depends on what you mean by "conventional". Just imagine the gaming rig you can build with that.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
13hr ago
A hard nope from me, but yeah, it's a South Park-esque douche vs turd contest.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
14hr ago
The datacenters which were built will still be there and still be useful for 'conventional' computing.
I think that was the case for every bubble investment. The factories, houses, shitty dotcom-era websites were also still there and available, the question is whether they can justify their cost. The wasted capital usually gets picked up eventually, unless the investment is something truly retarded like tulips.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
14hr ago
Apart from the "psycho" part, I would agree with your characterisation.
You think stabbing someone, and then recording yourself mocking them as they bleed to death is not "psycho" behavior?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
14hr ago
Does anyone else feel like we're heading for a good old-fashioned, 2008-tier, financial crash? I recall people bringing up the possibility ever since Covid bucks started rolling out, but even though we were due for one, and even though the money printer was going brrrrr, the crash has so far failed to materialize.
At the time, I was of two minds about this. On one hand, all the libertarian theory I used to subscribe to said money-printing => boom, boom => bust. On the other hand, the problem for me was it never felt like a boom, and I think this is changing now. A key feature of the pre-crash boom is "malinvestment"; capital going into often downright deranged projects, that are later abandoned half-finished. Well, I feel like the datacenter craze qualifies, and with the wave of AI IPOs that are coming just as major indices are changing their rules, to allow for these companies' near-instantaneous inclusion (an investment so good, you can't pass up on it. Literally, if you're American), it seems like we're solidly in the "irrational exuberance" phase.
Add this to the list of things I hope I'm wrong about, because if we get a proper crash, the political fallout is going to be massive. The script writes itself: Trump / tech bros / capitalism bad, even more gay race communism now.
To whitepillers: is there an argument for why I'm wrong that doesn't boil down to "you don't get it, chud, it's the New Economy! The Singularity is just around the corner! All the rules are obsolete!"? This argument is verboten, because this is pretty much what people say with every bubble.
To fellow blackpillers: any ideas on how to brace for impact? Any IT guys here old enough to make it through the dotcom bubble? How did you do it? Any advice you would have given your past self?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
23hr ago
I don't know that there is a natural end to any political movement, beyond what reality permits. Sadly, it seems like we need to constantly exercise our agency, prudence, etc.
That's just the thing that pushed me over the ledge and made me post. It's not that it may change, with the IPO, it will. It's mandated by law. Major indices are changing their rules so that these new stocks are included nearly immediately, so anyone doing passive investment - your retirement fund likely included - will be buying them.
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