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User ID: 3680

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0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2025 May 06 16:29:10 UTC

					

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User ID: 3680

Smaller varietals or in the same bunch?

Malaysia is funny in that you've kind of got 4 side by side comparisons in the form of Singapore/Malaysia/Brunei/Indonesia where when you crank up the level of Chinese influence you see notably higher affluence.

Also Malaysia's politics are a mess where the Malays get significant advantages enshrined in the state and can't even maintain parity with them despite also having a de facto racial monopoly over Malaysia's oil wealth etcetera. Also frankly the Malay population was kind of off on a branch of fairly weak and superstitious Islam until relatively recently and they tend not to like it when Arab immigrants come in and question their lack of piety

The majority of senior leadership now lived through getting yeeted into the fields by the cultural revolution. They have nil interest in letting honest to God socialist zealots ever get anywhere near the steering wheel ever again.

I mean if God himself interceded with Western Democracies tomorrow and raised everybody's life expectancy to 110 it'd probably be bearish. The chances of getting retirement age reform through would be minimal and the social benefits calculus would be even more fucked

AI for military planning feels like a bit of a non sequitur. Both in the sense of 'what degree did they contribute' and in the sense of the USA being in a position of such profound advantage in technology and force projection that they could probably get a way with 'Rank these 5 sites in order we should hit them' and have it be a productive question to ask. It's not like AI is gonna bridge the gap and allow a country to suddenly swing way above their weight class

Most of the constituent people in the dictatorship want relative stability and less threat of being spontaneously blown up so they can funnel money to their Coachella-bound children. Actual pitched war is very stressful

Muslims in America are vastly more educated and affluent than they are in the current European wave. It's pretty apples to oranges when you're managing to effectively skim the absolute cosmopolitan cream of Islamic countries and also can stop critical mass forming in localities.

I'd be interested to see the exit rate for populations like Minnesota's Somalis in a century as they seem to have formed more of a parallel society/economy and therefore I'd expect have less pressure to drift or opportunity to marry out. This is also generally an issue with a lot of backward looking studies of immigrants since it's very much apples to oranges in the selective pressures and ability to retain connection to external cultures than it was even 25 years ago

I mean I'm not saying she had to be sitting naked on his desk or anything, but an awareness of how to play the game and a bubbly personality can do a ton. Even in the linked photos of the woman she's smiling and leaning in in most of them to randoms.

Women aren't aware of how far being moderately pleasant and proactive can get them if not absolutely hideous

The power of being proactive, pleasant and introduced from the right angles for a woman cannot be understated.

It is scaling incredibly poorly and proving a considerable dead weight. Especially when any milquetoast charitable gesture like expanding Disability coverage or refugee status inevitably ends up getting abused to the enth degree as it naturally snowballs.

Socialite women occupy their own realm of polite communique to people they don't care if live or die.

People thinking about what they'd think prediction markets should be == functional actual product

I agree the menu is bloated way beyond sanity by the arms race between the majors (though most of the liquidity still goes to the liquid markets funnily enough). Accurate gambling odds vis a vis the PM thing is a completely different thing since the big PMs are barely moving any money on their original political markets.

It's funny since they could but they'd have to dramatically pare back the menu. So majority of people who complain about limits are picking off relatively niche markets which are only offered due to being able to limit counterparties

Having worked at betting exchanges before you kinda don't want people who win too heavily for ecosystem maintenance. Generally that's gonna impact result knowers most of all, whether inside information or latency

Vietnam doing pretty fantastic. Long-term success has more to do with the people than the speedbumps

Iranian refugees are already a thing with a large overseas diaspora. A functional European state could also deal with them by saying 'No go away', acting as if the majority of refugees are created by actual pitched conflicts as opposed to random economic opportunism in the year 2026 is a circle jerk

Yeah Catch 22 is great and I wouldn't consider it guilty of being overly complex or allegorical. You can read it pretty straight up as 'man beset by the system' and it works

Is Catch 22 postmodern? Like it's definitely written from a position of irony but from my memories of reading it in high school it wasn't that complicated or byzantine

Considerably longer than a month out of a combination of bloody-mindedness and their neighbors being incompetent at warfare

Only being 2x a bunch of random European Ashkenazis seems less than expected

Liberal normies don't get to go for many groups at risk of being called out for whateverism. Thus whenever a target like Antivaxers or MAGA or Israel recently they tend to channel a ton of suppressed anger into a rare conduit

Israel is now an acceptable mainstream target for left-wingers (who don't get that many acceptable targets) so they'll go full 15 minutes hate on them. Many such cases

You're missing what a bubble is.

A technology can have profound long-term effects that are positive for everybody, yet still generate a bubble for investors who rush to try and take advantage of that effect and don't end up actually investing in the correct manifestation to make any money. The bubble is from the POV of those attempting to speculate on something, the actual relevant technology is immaterial