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Chrisprattalpharaptr

Ave Imperaptor

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joined 2022 November 15 02:36:44 UTC
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User ID: 1864

Chrisprattalpharaptr

Ave Imperaptor

1 follower   follows 1 user   joined 2022 November 15 02:36:44 UTC

					

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User ID: 1864

Verified Email

Just because an 85 IQ citizen decides they want to invite another random person from anywhere in the world into my country, their descendants get to be citizens forever and they can leech off the state for the rest of their lives consequence free (any thresholds for sponsorship are laughably low)? Seems dumb.

A rounding error compared to the 55 million Americans with IQs 85 or below who pump out babies year after year. Any policy that wants to restrict immigration due to IQ concerns without first sterilizing those individuals is pointless. Hell, in most states literal retards are allowed to have as many children as they want.

In parallel, a lack of policies that force high IQ women such as yourself to have at least four children with a high IQ partner is far more detrimental than immigration. IQmaxxers focused on immigration rather than pre-existing low human capital are either misguided or deficient emotional decouplers.

Actually, no I know what my father did in the 90s and how much he made. He was working at IBM through a period of massive layoffs. But again. All these comments quibbling the complaint are just making my point and the point of the folks responding to the responses.

Yes, you can't be wrong, regardless of what people reply it just proves that you're more right. Disagreeing with you is pointless, only productive conversation can be had if we first agree with your premise.

Every response that tries to justify the current state as not real, is avoiding the actual discussion of political policy goals or visions of the good. Kamala LOST in part because 'inflation isn't real ackshully' was a losing message.

The point is not to justify the current state, the point is that, have you considered the tiny, infinitesimally small chance that maybe you're wrong in evaluating the current state? A lot to ask, I know. And much like Kamala, suggesting someone on the internet adopt humility is ever the losing message.

But anyways, setting all that aside and having a discussion on the level you want to discuss, I agree there's no reason we shouldn't push for making things more affordable. What's your populist plan for doing that? And what's your answer to the question I posed at the end of my post? I'll read whatever you write with an open mind, convince me that you actually understand why things have gotten worse, and what the fix would be. I don't believe that the MAGAs or the Bernie bros or whatever flavor of populist you identify as have the answers to those questions, nor do I believe that you'd actually improve things given power.

There is a populist movement that wants specific political goals, and one party is saying "yes! socialism", and the other is saying "no you suck! you're not allowed to have that. You can have high gas prices instead."

Perhaps next time they'll be able to elect the populist politician running on the 'Push the 10$ burrito button' platform, and then he'll actually push it instead of the retards in office now who just admire it on their way to the office every morning.

I don't have an answer to your question and I confess to finding both the enshittification and 'life is better now, actually' arguments to be convincing on different days and depending who's making the argument, but consider:

In the 90s my parents moved us into a new construction. Today, I live in smaller a house, on a smaller lot built in the mid-70s. In realtive terms, I live in a house that is not only smaller, but nearly 50 years older than the one my father did.

In the 90s software dev was probably a more rarefied and in-demand skillset than in 2026 where we pump out over 100,000 CS degrees a year. On top of that, the barrier to entry for literally everything has plummeted as the internet disseminates information so efficiently. Used to be you had to actually go out and learn things from people or hunt them down in library stacks, whereas now I can instantly pull up dozens of videos on youtube teaching me to do literally anything known to man or ask an AI and get an expert-level answer in seconds. Relatedly, software dev has been outsourced to lower-income countries - my friend's (somewhat famous enterprise software) company does almost all their programming in the middle east or eastern Europe.

All that to say, you and your father could be equally talented and if he were working today he'd also be managing a team of 25. Or maybe he'd be an ML engineer and still easily affording his new construction house and herd of children, taking the kids out for 200$ worth of burritos every Sunday night.

The other angle of this argument is typically that our wealth was sent to China to enrich the elites. But if you look at everyday Chinese, their lives may be better than their parents generation but they definitely aren't good. The successful ones work crazy hours and there's a much larger precariat than here without a social safety net. If your father's generation was so much better off, where did the money go? Or did we just globally become less productive?

Boba tea. Women love it, I'm perplexed by the appeal.

Try Taro flavor, with white-people levels of sugar. It's like a mild, creamy slushy.

@The_Nybbler last week.

Birthright citizenship is obviously supported by both Constitution and statute, but I imagine there's a lot of wrangling over the wording of the opinion of the court (which may be unanimous, maybe 8-1 if Alito is as much of a hack as one ex-poster claims).

Looks like your departed poster (darwin?) didn't go far enough and there's three partisan hacks on the court.

And, of course, it's censored; I haven't been able to get a single bit of erotica out of it. All I wanted was for Fable to write me a lemon where Asuka and Shinji are smallfolk in Westeros and Lord Targaryen gets to bless their union by taking Asuka into his bed on her wedding night; is that too much to ask?

Claude was undoubtedly dismayed by the glaring omission of Kaworu, and the fact that the Targaryen male line has been full of crazies or pussies since the blackfyre rebellion. 'Lord Targaryen' over Bobby B? Really? I'd even rather read about Ned Stark pontificating about honor and duty while he fucked Asuka than some Targaryen complaining that she wasn't his sister.

Apparently we've moved on to the Spit.

Interesting. I've been curious about the lives of people on the ground in China for a long time and recently stumbled across this youtube channel. It's...honestly been some of the most depressing videos I've ever watched. The grandfather who smokes two packs a day and hides his daily handle of baijiu from his family while watching the kids, truckers working the apps for 16 hours and living in their cabs, the gaokao grind for children, small business owners who never take a day off. Maybe amusingly to the crowd here, the only happy people I saw was the DINK couple working part-timeish with a dog and a parrot. Are these accurate? Is it a working class phenomenon, is the guy running the channel nutpicking, is the entire country just miserable?

College is 4 years to party, chill, smoke weed, play video games and do nothing (delete as appropriate) at the government’s immediate expense.

Am I the only person who actually worked/learned something useful in college? Most of what I did then is more or less useful for me on a daily basis as a foundation. I didn't go to a great school, although I was (un)fortunate enough that there was no obligation to take a minimum of humanities classes and I managed to take >95% STEM classes. I don't, for example, use what I learned in phys chem all the time but every now and then Michaelis-Menten kinetics or Gibbs free energy pops up and it was useful to have taken that class.

Don't the engineers and other STEMlords have to work, and don't they learn things that are useful for their careers? Is it just Americans that are lazy and credentialist?

Unfortunately it seems his disappearance has more to do with getting modded by Amadan and deleting his posts out of spite or not wanting anyone to follow him to wherever he goes next or whatever.

I see, I missed that. In that case I apologize for the insinuation.

Amadan does a lot of uncontroversially decent modding, but also blatantly violates at least the spirit of the rules often himself, especially that "be no more antagonistic than is absolutely necessary" bit.

A few sharp words is a small price to pay for someone voluntarily spending hundreds of hours of their life arguing with the trolls. Not to mention it's usually in response to another antagonist.

Your Quarterly Ukraine War check-in

Three and a half months ago, we checked in on the war in Ukraine. That post was itself a check in to follow up on dire predictions from the pro-Russia posters in fall of 2025 that the loss of Pokrovsk was heralding the collapse of Ukrainian front lines and encirclement of Ukrainian troops. Amusingly, @No_one went back and deleted all of their posts after the last check in, so I can only leave you with this:

Going by the aphorism 'If you're reading this, it's for you', it looks like the American press is preparing the public for a closing act of the majestic capeshit arc that started with the Maidan massacre. Ukrainians are generally eager to negotiate, nobody believes in winning anymore

I expected the Iran war to be a major tailwind for Russia (oil prices, sanctions relief, US distraction) but on the contrary, the western information space seems to argue that things will remain stalemated for the foreseeable future. Ukraine seems to be pumping out drones (is this all that matters now?), and has started hitting Russian oil refineries. People have been hyping up what seems to be a mostly symbolic bombing of Moscow. The map hasn't moved, supposedly Russian recruitment is down. The Russian spring offensive has been underway for several weeks and made no progress:

Russian forces have so far failed to make meaningful gains in their ongoing spring-summer 2026 offensive, Ukrainian forces have contested the tactical initiative in several areas of the frontline, and Russian forces have failed to defend the Russian deep rear against increasingly devastating Ukrainian strikes.[8]

On the flip side, people write articles about how bad the Russian economy is, and then drop this line near the end:

Russia’s national debt is low at around 17% of GDP, the banking system is stable, employment rates are high, and wages are still creeping up.

I'd be interested to hear whether anyone has insight into the rhetoric on the Russian side or the pro-Russian perspective at the moment.

So - any new/modified predictions? We had @ABigGuy4U saying collapse in July-August (still a few months to go), @Lizzardspawn saying to look at the frequency of blackouts in Kiev (still unchanged at 6-8 hours a day afaict).

But that just takes us right back to the big obvious question. If India has so many great engineers, doctors, scientist, etc, why can't they achieve great things in India? Why do they need to come here with all the externalities they bring with them?

25 years ago we were saying this about China and laughing at their shitty plastic exported toys. It's entirely possible that 30 years from now, your children will be sitting in your chair bitching about our industries being hollowed out by Indian companies.

Intel granny, is that you?

It's possible that the internet joke is, uh, false.

Having had and trained dogs before, my suspicion is that male dog on human bestiality cases involve adolescent dogs and that adult males require the stimulation of an ovulating female canine- a quick google search shows that introducing one is de rigeur for canine artificial insemination.

If you spend 10 minutes looking on the internet in earnest, it's trivial to find amateur pornography videos disproving this.

The location is decent because there's nothing there currently. It's a big ugly gaping hole

In that case, why don't we just put it in [insert hated state here].

The problem is that most tourists come to the mall around federal triangle or judiciary square. Assuming you want to see the Washington monument and Lincoln memorial, you'll have to choose between walking around the tidal basin to the Jefferson memorial and crossing the bridge to see the arch/Arlington cemetery. Or taking one of those shitty bus tours. Would be much better if they could get it somewhere with higher foot traffic around the mall, but again I assume the building regulations around DC screwed them...

Have you seen the plans for the triumphal arch?. On the one hand, I'm excited to have a giant arch with eagles and lady liberty in DC. On the other hand, the location sucks (I assume because of all the building restrictions in DC) and a large part of the appeal of the Arc de Triomphe is the history and era in which it was built. Just as building an imitation of an antique with modern methods is viewed as tacky and tasteless, we might end up with the Trump Taj Mahal 2.0 in our capital rather than the Arc de Triomphe.

Lowered birth rates sound awful at first, but we've already made significant advantages into artificial wombs for preemies and the idea that this tech could eventually extend to the very beginning of a pregnancy until birth doesn't seem unreasonable anymore.

It doesn't? Pumping oxygenated air into an existing umbilical cord is different from growing one de novo along with a placenta. The best people have done to oxygenate/feed a blastocyst is mechanical rollers (I assume this is the paper you're referring to). IVF followed by gestation is still an entire other, much more difficult, level.

Don't believe anything you hear until it's in clinical trials, unless you're a biotech investor/entrepreneur. Otherwise, it may as well not exist for the public.

If nothing else, I admire your contrarianism. Most 'contrarians' come here to have other 'contrarians' affirm their views and agree with them. At least the graph of tankers flocking to America this week was a point in your favor.

The Iranian government has very little ability left to project force in the region anymore, what little they have left is rapidly dwindling.

In that case...haven't we won already? Why do we need to stay? Couldn't we just leave and Iran won't be able to project power in the strait, or bomb Israel, or whatever else? Can you make concrete predictions about when the US military can pull out given that we've destroyed their military, their leaders and their ability to project power?

This brought to mind the sci-fi tropes of “tech-mining,” delving the ruins of the past for lost and valuable resources. It’s a big part of certain genres of post-collapse sci-fi. Starsector (probably by way of Revelation Space)

Right author, wrong book. You basically described the setting of Revenger.

Trudeau is a terrible politician and leader

Trudeau won the largest majority government in 30 years, 3 elections and on average posted better approval numbers than any American president since Bush (lol).

May the Canadian liberal party continue to be cursed with terrible politicians.

That being said, the Fox News comment section isn't even defending this. I know that's not representative of conservatives or even MAGA by a long shot, but I still like to check it out to get a feel for what the most extreme right-wing true believers have to say.

Why would you think Fox News would represent the most extreme right-wingers?

From Breitbart:

Critics have already emerged to state that if this system survives the negotiation period now beginning – and this is far from clear – it resembles a strategic defeat for the United States. Yet the Trump-directed military strikes have focused on Iranian military facilities and have avoided the underpinnings of Iran’s economy, such as its energy system and oil infrastructure, which Washington has made clear leaves Tehran the carrot of a route to engagement with the global economy and recovery post-war. Conceivably, allowing Iran to take a cut of passing oil trade in the future gives it more incentive to engage with the global community, given its ongoing prosperity would be tied to the Strait remaining open.

See, the SoH toll is a good thing!

Comments section (are these real people? AI? Russian bots? I'll never know) is euphoric:

StevenSocial 4 hours ago
Dow up +1,400 points at the open
SUCK IT LIBS!!!!

Chief Cochise 3 hours ago
STUNNING How Great our Military is Thanks to President Trump....
As you know, historians have recently ranked Pete Hegseth the greatest Defense/War Secretary in US History. You know about his STUNNING and FLAWLESS military missions throughout the world that has made him a legend.

--Operation Midnight Hammer, Iran -- FLAWLESS, NO Casualties
--Operation Golden Dynamite, Venezuela -- FLAWLESS, NO Casualties
--Operation Epic Fury, Iran --99%+ FLAWLESS, 98% of Iran's military Wiped OUT, 7 Fatalities in Action, 6 others by accident. ALL >OBJECTIVES MET.

--Daring Rescue Missions in both Iran and Venezuela SUCCESSFULLY CARRIED OUT

Rbago
3 hours ago
Barack's $1.7B didn't talk.
Trump's bombs did.

DrJayBee
3 hours ago
20 years into the future....
-"Son, we defeated a terrible regime in Iran. They were spreading terrorism around the world."
-"Daddy, what did you do to help defeat Iran?"
-"Well, son, it was brutal. Just awful! I could barely take it. My generation had to pay an extra 50 cents per gallon of gas for almost 60 days."

I was wondering how conservatives would face the reckoning from this debacle; our regulars here who routinely claimed the 'Uniparty' (encompassing Bush, Obama, Biden and some unclear number of their predecessors up to their favorite historical president) was responsible for Iraq/Afghanistan while Trump executed a clean break with 'America First' have been oddly silent for the last month. If the conflict rekindles and turns into another Forever War, I predict Trump will be relegated to the Uniparty With Jewish Characteristics, while Jay Dee or his successor is packaged as another Clean Break from RINOs. If this is truly the end of the war, I expect them to double down on the glorious special military operation narrative.

If you're expecting a mea culpa or acceptance of the fuckup...I'd take the other end of that bet any day of the week.

At least nobody's had molten silver poured down his throat this time.

Have you seen the price of silver these days?

How many male, rust belt town kids, who kept going to Church weekly well into 20’s vote Democrat? Might be able to shorten that today to - male and has had manual labor jobs for at least a summer.

How about - how many male, rust belt town kids, who went to church throughout their childhood and then went to the northeast/west coast to a prestigious college end up voting democrat?

I would guess with probably a 50% probability that without moderation Reddit would become the Third Reich in 6 months. Leftist places online seem to need to be protected to exists.

The only reason I would pass on that bet is that there are hyper-motivated NEET-autists (see: 4chan) who would spam Hitler memes and scare off the normies. It wouldn't become the Third Reich because a bunch of middle-class redditors had a change of heart and started goose stepping down Park avenue.

I'm exactly the kind of liberal centrist Freddie despises.

That's exactly the type of cover Freddie would use for opsec. @Goodguy

Did I miss some flameout that prompted this?

Of those who unironically use low human capital as an insult.

Those people aren't progressives, and they're still around. It's the ones who were nodding along with Hanania right up until he started saying Orange Man Bad. And the econ-pilled ones who were mad about tariffs.

@Amadan is the embodiment of the Platonic philosopher-king, and their judgement is infallible, like the pope speaking ex cathedra. The jannies of the Motte are of a different breed than the soft, nepotistic babies of Reddit. They are veterans of forum warfare. The Navy Seals of the mop force. If you take a look at Amadan's profile and sort by top rated, you will see a long list of people they've dunked.

My pet theory is that @Amadan is Freddie DeBoer. Hear me out.

He's obviously invested in TheMotte, but rarely makes a top-level post (has he ever?) on a new subject - and he can't, because it would inevitably be about basketball or education policy or half-asian babies and destroy his opsec. When he talks about his politics, it's always how he's a true leftist but the progressives put him up on the wall for wrongthink (Freddie saying HBD-adjacent things, being cancelled). He clearly has a job that allows him to piss away hours in the middle of the workday on the sisyphean task of internet jannying. 'Classical-liberal' politics. It all fits. Giants walk among us.

The whole point of the Motte is to talk to weirdos and freaks such as myself with as much politeness and decorum as can be managed.

I'm confident most progs manage to be at least as decorous as this post.

Perhaps your words aren't as convincing to others as you thought it was. Get gud. Skill issue.

The world is too complex for anyone to properly grasp. The purpose of echo chambers is to selectively filter/spin stories that flatter their ingroup, or make the outgroup look bad. I'm fairly confident that if you perfectly swapped someone's social environment to be full of partisans of the opposite valency, and fed them a curated media diet you could change their politics fairly easily over time.

In other words, a lone prog crusader isn't going to convince TheMotte any more than you're going to turn Reddit pro-Trump, regardless of how eloquent either of you are.