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Chrisprattalpharaptr

Ave Imperaptor

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joined 2022 November 15 02:36:44 UTC

				

User ID: 1864

Chrisprattalpharaptr

Ave Imperaptor

1 follower   follows 1 user   joined 2022 November 15 02:36:44 UTC

					

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User ID: 1864

But the Democrats seem to actually want one party rule

Is this referring to something specific?

If they win in 2028 they will have the means to achieve it.

How?

They have said they want to stack the court.

The court is already stacked, just in your favor.

They have said they are going to prosecute people in the Trump administration. Doesn't this concern you at all?

Setting aside who 'they' actually refers to, the bigger concern is that the Trump administration has done so many prosecutable things. Of the four lawsuits against Trump, I'd agree the New York one was frivolous, but the other three were all for behavior that should be far beyond the pale for any president. Unfortunately, to a degree I didn't really appreciate before the Trump presidency, impeachment is the only way to actually punish said behavior.

Trump will probably pardon himself and his family on the way out - thanks Biden, for that precedent.

This has been touted as a positive for the last four years as conservatives have been cheering for Trump to bypass the 'deep state' and rule as he sees fit. Imagine president AOC (the only prominent democrat I can think of offhand that enrages conservatives to the same degree that Trump enrages liberals) wielding that power, all while her supporters cheering for her to own the cons. That's not one party rule, that's the shoe being on the other foot. You may not like it, but you can't argue that it's unfair.

What's more likely to happen? If democrats get the trifecta and a filibuster-proof majority in the senate in 2028, we probably see some legislation on par with obamacare prior to getting wiped out in the 2030 midterms. Nothing much changes (see: Build Back Better). Doubly so if they don't get the filibuster-proof majority. Some tax increases. Maybe a supreme court seat.

So no, not particularly worried overall. I don't expect to see anything that realistically affects me or my family in any major way. Without knowing the details of your life, I doubt I'd see anything that realistically affects you or your family beyond the much-derided 'gas prices are 1$ more expensive than before the war' tier.

Which actually brings a final note on Texas and some similar upsets. I'm not convinced these are as tectonic as they will no doubt be claimed to be, because on top of a rough year the Republican party was having its own internal civil war of sorts. This is most notable with Paxton, who was a truly bad candidate, but almost as importantly his primary opponent Cornyn, who was one of the vanishing breed of pre-Trump establishment republicans.

I agree, and the panic this morning is reminiscent of democrats in 2016 or the first months of 2025. The hyperbolic claims of imminent one party rule are so similar you could just ctrl+f republican, replace it with democrat and end up with more or less the same comments. The electorate that just handed democrats majorities in the senate and house is the same electorate that chose Trump in 2024 amid a COVID/inflation/immigration backlash, and is the same electorate that will probably choose a republican in 2032.

That said, what I haven't seen anyone comment on (and I'd be curious to get the thoughts of someone with skin in the game @Bleep) is the potential for democrats to have significantly more leverage in redistricting. I suppose Hinojosa can veto any maps the legislature makes and send it to the courts? This is the only realistic way I can see any semi-durable change coming out of this cycle.