ControlsFreak
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User ID: 1422
Unsurprisingly, given that Scott is the Rightful Caliph, I agree that accusations of stochastic terrorism are usually bunk. Moreover, he properly identifies the true fault line:
This liberal solution isn’t trivial. It requires the separate liberal norm of always being against extra-state violence - a norm which is currently less than entirely secure. 39% of young people have a favorable opinion of Luigi Mangione, and during the George Floyd protests several mainstream newspapers flirted with condoning violence in the name of racial justice. If your worldview says that it’s acceptable to lynch sufficiently bad people, then yes, accusing people of being bad is equivalent to calling for their murder, and you have no alternative but to make sure nobody is allowed to criticize anyone you like. This puts you in the position that Winston Churchill called “riding a tiger from which you dare not dismount”; you had better invest all your energy into making extremely sure that you and your friends are the ones calling the shots about who can and can’t be criticized. It sounds exhausting, which is why the liberal solution - bilateral controlled tiger-dismounting - is the choice of most functional societies.
I guess the major question is whether we just need a separate keyword to describe "not sufficiently against extra-state violence in a coherent and consistent way". Follow-on questions that I care less about would be whether people who satisfy this separate keyword are necessarily open to the charge of stochastic terrorism on the terms of their own position on that matter.
It's been a while, but back in the day, Logical Increments was often pointed to as a pretty good guide for approximately how to get in at various price points. It looks like it's still being updated. Not sure if the specific recommendations are now dominated by ads or anything, but even if so, it helps give you a sense of what is a reasonable expectation at different price points. If you're interested in gaming, they give some FPS performance at various resolutions in some games. I have no idea if the games they're referring to are meaningful today. I think they get their performance numbers from other sources. You can use it as a jumping off point for any other specific tradeoffs you prefer. When I last did it, I used them to get myself into the ballpark of about what I wanted and then used PC Part Picker to narrow in on specific components and do a bit more optimization on current prices.
As far as predicting the future, I can't do that. But just briefly looking, it seems like capable enough gaming PCs are currently not obscenely unreasonable. Probably still on the "somewhat overpriced" side, but honestly not as insane as one might think.
I would say that I began my career doing more problem solving, and I try to retain some of that, but I do a lot more problem setting now. Do you have any specific questions?
Not being sure what you're looking for, I'd maybe say, "You can just do things." Nothing is really stopping you from thinking deeply about the "why" of what you're doing. The scope of your thinking may be limited by the number of folks you can influence into working on the problems you think should be set. There are more formal ways to be able to exert such influence (e.g., you're given some sort of formal authority over resources/people who pretty much have to follow the direction you set), but informal methods work pretty well, too (e.g., you persuade others over time that they should pay attention to the concerns you pose, especially as they see examples of how you posed a problem and it led to important results).
There's a lot of haranguing about who "won" and who "lost", as though there is some pigeonhole principle with those two possibilities. It's entirely possible that the US did not (or will not) accomplish its objectives (paying costs along the way) while Iran also was badly damaged. War is generally a negative-sum affair. That is not to say that some years from now, we will look back and think that such a case became reality; either side could still sufficiently "win". Just to say that it's also possible that neither party really "wins".
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The topic of the use of LLMs in various situations is always super complicated. Sometimes it's magic; sometimes it's bollocks and all that.1 I don't yet have fully-consistent rules for myself, as things are always changing as well. Terrance Tao just listed a possible set of criteria to consider:
I don't know if these are the right set of rules (#5 in particular seems insufficiently justified). But I guess the culture war is all about bickering over lists like this (or, I guess, whether any list like this should be used vs. just letting an LLM do literally everything for you everywhere).
1 - For example, in writing this, I noticed that I always screw up the markdown for numbered lists inside of blockquotes. I typically still just leave blank lines between lines/paragraphs in blockquotes; no particular reason why I do it, but it's most noticeable when it breaks numbered lists. An LLM trivially told me a couple different ways I could do it that will display properly. On the other hand, I spent a decent amount of time yesterday trying to troubleshoot something that was crashing intermittently. It gave me some certainly reasonable troubleshooting steps, but when the basic, good ones ran out, it sort of went insane. It never occurred to the LLM to note that there were some additional debug tools I could enable; I happened to find that in a web search leading to a forum leading to documentation shortly after giving up on the LLM.
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