DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
Tell me about it.
User ID: 745
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
24d ago
So how has this intelligent reasonable agency worked out for you? Not tired of winning yet?
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
24d ago
Realistically, there aren't $500B of goods in the warehouses awaiting delivery to the US. The produced stock is not that large.
What I find curious in these arguments is the idea that China rigidly produces some “goods”, as in a fixed nomenclature, rather than it operates factories and employs people who can do much of anything with their capital.
China can absorb this production capacity, but it needn't be the civilian China. They can use the tried and true way of defense spending. Their trade surplus with nations other than the US allows enough margin for that.
We are aware that at the time the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth wasn't the «poor little plucky Poland, the sacrificial lamb of Europe, bullied and partitioned by cruel great powers» which I'm told is your national narrative, but a more developed and organized, competent expansionist power and that, indeed, it «could have been» that we'd have lost sovereignty indefinitely and been supplanted in history by the mighty Polish Empire. This feeds into schadenfreude and relief about your subsequent decline and losses of sovereignty. Pre-Romanov era Poland is viewed as a quite serious actor, without any condescension.
So, there's enough of a cause for pride to both sides I guess.
P.S. I also should look into how the Polish side sees that episode.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
25d ago
Russians are proud of the episode in its fullness, not just the part where Kremlin gets occupied but before it's liberated, of course. I could have phrased this better but whatever.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
25d ago
I was not goading, I explained why I will not engage further (it's one thing to disagree even virtiolically, but if someone simply lies about my words, this is obviously a dead end). I don't even see what he replied.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
25d ago
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
you yourself seem to pattern-match as "Nazism" when Europeans advocate for that same premise.
Lie. Blocked.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
No. Where's the 3D model?
Do you mean that this “artist's rendering” of F-47 is 2D? Well, I admit this possibility didn't occur to me, but now that I look closer…
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
I think that if we are trying to genuinely compare apples to apples, PPP is inadequate between significantly different developed systems and we may indeed have to fall back to Marxism-Leninism and factors of production. In the end, what is being discussed is whether China will be able to finance their debt, and any analysis must have to backchain to the possibility to say anything about that.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
National Socialism with Chinese Characteristics...
It's a funny joke but really, they're not any more National Socialist than any normal European state was before WWII. They are quite different from historical Nazis. They have a representation for minorities (even repressed ones) and affirmative action, they have legalized gender transition, they employ open furries in the PLA (explicitly as fursuit engineers, to develop next generation combat armor). Their notions of “degeneracy” or “racial hygiene” would be quite alien to Germans. The basic level of care for the ethnic majority is just what a state is supposed to do. And Socialism – that they owe to being literally Marxists, with a big portrait of Marx in their main hall of power and stuff. They're far more Capitalist than the Third Reich was, too. Xi has restored the cult of personality, though. Seriously speaking, it's its own complex thing, and should be considered on its own merits in its own historical context, not as a copy or a pastiche of Western paradigms. When all is said and done they're just a modernized Chinese empire.
You simultaneously mock Europeans for being "not capable of resisting a tiny tribe of natural wordcels"
I apologize. My sarcasm there may have been too confusing. I don't think Jews are solely guilty for the quality of your media. Jews, from what I can tell, genuinely like their sermonizing slop, but so does the audience, and creators are increasingly Gentiles too. I think you just have ran out of gas. Particularly Americans. Your culture is vulgar and plain bad, and you should feel bad about it. Your mavericks are sleazy hustlers at best and psychopaths at worst, and you do not resist your worst impulses to bow before the undeserving strongman. You come up with zany and harmful ideas and then force them upon everybody else. Thus, you are what has to be resisted now, at least until you improve somehow.
You just hate Europeans, particularly the West Europeans, you see them as your enemy and you always have.
I don't hate Europeans. I am disappointed in you. In you collectively and in you, SecureSignals, personally. You are less than what I figured, you don't deliver on the crucial advertised open-mindedness and ability-to-change-opinions features, and you take pride in stuff that's completely meh or plainly disgusting. You're like some purebred dogs. Remarkable, peculiar, WEIRD phenotype, but no spark, or almost never. Disappointing.
and I do not want to see them under Chinese hegemony
And at the rate you're going, you may well see Chinese hegemony. It is indeed unfortunate because the Chinese themselves never had it in them to establish one, I don't think. Too insular, too mercantile, too autistically uncharismatic, and frankly not capable enough to dismantle natural affinities and alliances. They'd have secured their backyard and grew content to have limited trade with barbarians, and this was the scenario I still consider preferable. But a few more iterations of low-IQ, smug WINNING and ROCKING THE BOAT, and who knows, they may have to pick up the crown tossed their way.
And the ironic thing is that all this is because you'd have wanted your own hegemony, because for all the denialism – the dream, the hope of being Intrinsically Racially Superior, crushing lessers under the jackboot, still lives and yearns for confirmation. Alas.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
What matters is not whether I go full Moldbug, but whether Trump will go full retard. He does suggest that the EU buys impossible volume of oil, no? How is my plan much worse?
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
Do you imply that F-47 is not “NGAD”? The one from 2020 presumably was like that Boeing art.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
Didn't Russia fight a violent internal war against minority separatist groups? I seem to recall that happening.
Yes, we won. I refer to the “decolonizing” partition plans during this war, like this one. In reality, the colonized Buryats and all others eagerly enlist and fight in Ukraine (and get killed disproportionately). My point is that even a moderately effective state can easily suppress ethnic minority separatism within its borders, so hoping that China will somehow collapse due to ethnic tensions is not serious.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
Except all the best and brightest that America brain drains from every other country. Where did Xis daughter go to school again?
I have nothing against Xi's daughter but I don't think she's very smart. Neither is Xi, for that matter. Rich and powerful Chinese sending their kids to the US is a common pattern when they are incapable of scoring enough on Gaokao to get into a serious Chinese school like Tsinghua.
Brain drain is drastically slowing down. I see accomplished Chinese American scientists actually returning home. The US isn't that attractive any more, and it doesn't want to be attractive. Nature is healing.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
Tibet is extremely sparsely populated, so their birth rates are irrelevant. There's like 3.4 million ethnic Tibetans, they can have 5x Han TFR and that won't matter.
All of this is just more cope. I think that for a few decades, there was a foreboding feeling in the west that eventually China will become the dominant superpower, and accordingly much mental energy was dedicated to crafting memes that dispel this impression. Like the idea that ethnic minorities in China will help in breaking it apart (this won't work any better than in Russia), or that low TFR or One-child-policy or pollution or real estate market collapse or COVID lockdowns or the crack in the Three Gorges Dam or the debt or x y z will signify the end of the Mandate of Heaven, or… I hope that soon people will realize how pathetic all this cope is. China is not a paper tiger, it's not all fake and propaganda, in fact they barely care what you think about them, it's a well-organized state, their bureaucrats are smarter than yours, they have repeatedly shown more capacity to remove threats to national stability than you have, and they are systematically patching all remaining vulnerabilities. In a sense, you project your own state's inability to manage itself onto China to see how it might conveniently take itself out of the picture.
Now, if you actually go and look at China's population pyramid, I think it's fairly clear the demographics for them are more of a long-term issue than anything, in the short term they can plausibly kick the can down the road and hope AI or robots or something will save them.
This is exactly what they are doing now, but that's also what the US is purporting to do. The problem is that they're very dynamic, in all possible way, and they'll clearly be able to produce millions of robots. Hell, even their Android ROM companies become behemoths that ship high-end race cars and develop humanoid robots (at market cap $127B). Apple (cap $2.6T) has given up on a car after a decade or so of work and is barely able to maintain its phone software. This isn't how things should look when you have a strong position and they're on the verge of collapsing.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
These prototypes look nothing like the 3D models you have now, however.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
I know. This was a completely different America, it's like saying that Moscow was once conquered by Poles or something (Russians are very proud of that episode, thanks to propaganda in history lessons, but obviously there is no memory, institutional legacy or military tradition that survived) – a dim fact people learn in school. America that lives today was born in the Civil War and was fully formed in McKinley's era, probably. Since then, it was straight up dunking on weaker powers. With some tasteless underdog posturing from time to time, of course.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
This is of course a projection of your own tribalism and your own deluded moral framework.
Your problem is that your only guiding light, the only salvation you see for your people, is Nazism, and Nazism is still quite degenerate and NGMI. I won't talk of its moral merits, it's just strategically bad because it's aestheticized desperation and refuge from hopelessness in animalistic impulses. A stronk chieftain (high agency!), will to power (rock the boat!), blood-based tribal identity, vibes over facts… in effect, reject modernity, retvrn by rolling back the evolutionary clock 9000 years, to where an average European was a fat bipolar slob with 65 IQ. Nazism was swiftly crushed by Capitalism and Communism. 80 years later, they remain the dominant forces on the planet and continue their dialectic and coevolution. You like to think that Judaism is still more important, the root of all evil. Well, it's underrated for obvious reasons, I'll give you that, but Earth is a big place, and your struggle with Joos is ultimately quite parochial.
I have observed many sincere Nazis over the years and most are suicidal. It doesn't have to be this way. Accept that the dream of Aryan greatness is dead, but you can live if you accept this world on its own terms, where your people have some advantages and disadvantages entirely irrespective of “jewish manipulation” or “suicidal empathy” or what have you, and need to manage them soberly. In particular this requires a good understanding of where you stand relative to that huge chunk of humanity in East Asia. One approach is to cope with 4chan gifs of tortured dogs and industrial accidents, or the book of Ralph Townsend. Another is to grow the fuck up.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
There are so many things wrong with what Trump is doing that I find it silly to write a serious response. Literally an LLM would manage. For one thing, accept Von Der Leyen's offer of mutual tariff drop, that's enough of a “win” for your base and an actual economic boon! Apologize to Denmark and negotiate expanded military presence in Greenland under the existing framework. Offer China a mutual reduction in tariffs for sectors where you actually cannot back up your confidence. Tell Bukele to send back the wantonly arrested innocents for a fair trial. Stop gutting STEM research institutions. Crush or pay off the longshoremen, abolish Jones act. Buy a shitton of equipment for manufacturing drones. Put a few bombers on Guam instead of in Afghanistan, send a garrison onto Taiwan. It's not really complicated, he's done too many errors.
Was it a good idea to help build China into the unrivaled manufacturing and arguably economic colossus that it currently seems to be? I'm pretty sure it wasn't a good idea to try to invade and destroy multiple other countries in the name of "spreading democracy", but maybe you disagree? Was Biden on the right track?
Many questions. Was it a good idea to help build China? Probably not, but was it a bad idea to exploit their growth for salvaging your own one? I guess not again. Invasions? I think that was dumb. Biden? Yes, I think that Biden, or rather the system behind his limp body, was highly effective in reaching at least some subset of relevant goals of the Empire, it was going pretty smoothly. I am surprised to see them so thoroughly vanquished so fast.
How to deescalate? Oh, that's a big one. I think it's psychologically impossible, the US isn't willing to be #2, even if that carries none or minimal material demerits. Neither is Xi willing to give up on his system, or on Taiwan. History will decide.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
I try to be more positive lately.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
It seems you've collected every possible cope and trope, congrats.
“immigration”
Yes, Venezuelans will surely bail you out in the arms race with China, if you don't deport them to El Salvadoran prisons first.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
it gets you from 125% of US to ~155% - not a significant change to debt/GDP.
Fair. This author thinks that the real scale is Chinese economy is 2x of the US or more, all things considered.
With housing especially, if you consider the value of location at all, its hard to see how international "quality" comparisons could be made.
I think American housing value is inflated by the peculiar, unique necessity of getting away from Undesirable People while still being in the vicinity of jobs, schools and other desirable factors.
Why are they not captured?
For example, how do you compare the utility of a high-status American SUV and a noname Chinese SUV with some crazy AI-driven suspension or drone launch pad, especially if they do not meaningfully coexist on either market?
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
Losing means a Guangxi Massacre in every American town and city.
It's not clear what must happen for the world to end up like this, but America is a nation of dreamers; I suppose you can effect even this result if you keep pressing on. However, my optimistic theory of American loss is that due to constant bluffing and irresponsible policy epilepsy the USD loses its status as reserve currency, your fraudulent markets deflate, your internal racial contradictions bloom, and after a while you get a lot quieter and less obnoxious as your living standards crash down to roughly Polish level, which is actually very neat and, given your current course, more than you deserve. The traffic to your shores dies down, as mandated by the Great Leader Donald Ieyasu Trump; the rest of humanity, free of the loathsome star-spangled yoke, peacefully trades and gets richer, while you lick your wounded pride and dream of revenge.
A median scenario is that you simply accept the existence of a bigger guy on the block (bloodlessly, or after trying your luck one last time in the South China Sea) and retreat to your hemisphere, living much the same lives as today.
And I suspect that you know this. But it's too painful to imagine such a world, a boring high-probability world where the sky didn't fall, but you're no longer the uncontested Main Character Nation. Visions of massacres and genocides are anesthetic in comparison, they return you to the familiar domain of Marvel movies. Any Avengers-Level Threat, by laws of narrative, ultimately gets defeated, so there really aren't any stakes or hard decisions to make this way.
DaseindustriesLtd
late version of a small language model
26d ago
I do know this and I wonder how that coexists with the common East Asian respect for the Hebrews. Have they considered playing one great tribe against another? Or learning the Manchu ways to beat them at their own game, like Koreans try with Talmud? I should ask.
What is the argument for the need to make a choice? Does the US pay much attention to the war between Congo and Rwanda (despite clearly laying blame on one side)? Actually have you even heard of it?
No, not at all. Or only on the crudest level of analysis. There is no way to argue that Israeli policy is the only reasonable response, not even Israelis would say that. There are many possible options. Eg China has shown its take on the situation, in Xinjiang.
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