DelendaEst
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User ID: 1199
DelendaEst
16d ago
Assuming the UK and the rest of Europe don't deal with their Muslim problem and population replacement continues apace it will not be too much longer before there are a few muslim societies with nukes and modern militaries which are willing to declare war on Israel. I think that is the biggest risk factor for number 2.
DelendaEst
20d ago
This is why the ideological capture of places like Reddit and old Twitter was such a problem, as long as it is viewed as the "neutral" option network effects make it hard to leave and make any alternative which is founded explicitly as a refuge from the bias fated to become the opposite bias but 10 times worse. The right failed to do this several times with truth social and parlor and gab, and its why the left hated Elon buying Twitter so much as this gave the right one of the neutral spaces and the left's attempt to make a new site has gone little better than the right's attempts.
DelendaEst
22d ago
I think its an effort thing. Dem mayors instruct their police to not even try to stop rampant arson and not to bother investigating afterwards, and on the off chance they do then the Dem DA doesn't prosecute it. But Biden had the FBI spend a shit ton of man hours combing through every source possible for every minor rioter who could be charged with anything at all.
I would prefer we use at least a minor portion of that effort arresting arsonists and burying them under the jail. As it stands, the effect is "rioters who are pro-dem causes get to have authorities look the other way, right wingers get the Eye of Sauron for 4 years straight", with the added bonus of lefties bringing J6 up every time they want to say their enemies are worse than them, and the dem friendly media reported on every single arrest and trial for a J6er, keeping it in the mind of the public.
Again, I don't care about the J6ers, they are morons let them hang. But selective punishment on this scale, and where what I think is the far worse crime gets the pass while the lesser gets the book thrown at them, is worse. If you guys wanted me to care about J6 so much you had a whole summer to exact some kind of punishment on rioters, you didn't, and now here we are.
DelendaEst
23d ago
I will be fine with rearresting all of the Jan 6 people once about 100,000 BLM rioters have been arrested, tried, and sat in jail for as long as the median J6 rioter did before being pardoned. Until then every time someone on the left brings it up all I hear is "rules for thee, but not for me."
And I really do mean it, I will be fine with that. I do not support the J6 people and do want them punished, all rioters should be. But while the feds under Biden spend years making sure every one of them was punished other dems have turned an intentional blind eye to their own thugs, a pattern that persists in DAs refusing to charge lefties who punch pro-lifers on camera. I want rioters punished, but I will not accept ONLY right wing protestors being punished. Pardoning them was wrong, accepting second class status is worse.
So I agree, be the change you want to see. You guys put 10,000 heads on spikes is a good first step.
DelendaEst
23d ago
If it had JUST been the office joke I would be 95% of the way there with you (not 100 though, because jokes like that are often the outer tendrils of real belief), but the full context of saying his opponent should be shot, their kids should be shot in front of them, and then doubling down on that when called out means that no, this is not OK. Focusing on the office joke is obfuscation.
DelendaEst
29d ago
I feel like that is deeply uncharitable, and reads like deflection. Lefties claiming Robinson is unable to be coded because despite everything we know about him personally his parents are conservatives is moronic. But a villian accusation for gay white supremacists is literally cross pressured, though to be honest I personally think it is 85%+ left coded and saying it is too muddled to call is me being charitable.
DelendaEst
30d ago
This reads like schizophrenia to me, but on balance it seems more right-coded than left-coded, concerns over "white supremacists" notwithstanding.
I'm not sure you can code that left or right at all, but on balance to me anything with "white supremacists" as the villian is left coded, as is the fact that he said LGBTQ. I'd assume a right coded terrorists would just call them gay, fags, queers, or default to the villian of the moment and focus on the trans.
DelendaEst
1mo ago
But this IS the reason that gerrymandering feels bad, the reason that people instinctively dislike it. Its not that people hate the squiggly lines in and of themselves, they dislike that the lines lead to unfair vote distributions. So it is not immediately obvious to me why having even worse distributions without squiggly lines is better.
DelendaEst
1mo ago
Gerrymandering: California will soon vote on whether to redistrict itself for the express purpose of counteracting a Republican gerrymandering plan in Texas. The rewards from gerrymandering are extra House seats which could tip the balance of House control -- a tasty prize. Democrats had unilaterally disarmed themselves with bipartisan commissions in many states, but that did little to convince Republicans to ease up. Democrats could probably go even if they play hardball, which is a lot better than the status quo where they’re down somewhere between 8-20 seats depending on the fairness metric used.
I disagree that California's independent commission constitutes unilateral disarmament. In 2024 the difference between the percentage of the vote that went to the out party (Rs in California and Ds in Texas) an the percentage of house seats they won was more "unfair" in California, and a commission which is 1/3 D 1/3 R and 1/3 "neutral" parties who all agree with the D side all the time is not exactly the platonic ideal of fair districting. And there are D states where Rs are wildly underrepresented, but the district lines look fair and the Ds say "well its not gerrymandered, what do you want?" as if the problem was squiggly lines on a map and not the unrepresentative outcomes. I am not saying that refusing the gerrymander and have independent commissions is BAD, but getting worse outcomes than Texas and then acting holier than thou about Texas's districting is laughable.
The correct solution for all states with more than 1-2 seats is multi-member districts which would get the ratios better and allow everyone to be represented, but that never seems to be on the table unfortunately.
DelendaEst
1mo ago
I thought the same thing at first, had to re-read the first paragraph like 3 times.
DelendaEst
1mo ago
If a tranny shooting up a catholic school isn't leftwing violence then neither is a white guy shooting up a black church, and we both know that would be included.
DelendaEst
1mo ago
Did you do any spot checking to make sure known incidents were included? I saw claims that the ADL dataset didn't include a trans shooter at a Christian school under leftwing violence despite that incident being included in their timeframe, and that sort of miss makes the whole project seem not just methodologically biased but pure BS from top to bottom.
DelendaEst
1mo ago
Yes, America wasn't facing a China sized existential threat at the time of these turmoils.
Those turmoils were in the 60s and 70s, peak USSR cold war era. US and China, while clearly rivals, are more economically and diplomatically interconnected than US and USSR ever were, and children are not doing duck and cover drills because of constant fear of Chinese nukes, nor are we engaged in Vietnam level proxy wars vs China's client states.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
I am not surprised that Americans are 60% of the market, Americans are much richer and OF is a global market without price discrimination. Even if Indians and Africans are willing to spend double the percentage of total resources on OF they will still be much lower as a total amount just because they have so much less.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
In the 50s there were comic book companies which had series which only had like 24 issues which they cycled through publishing on the same theory, that boys who discovered comics at 12 would age out into baseball and girls by 14 so there was no point in having more than 2 years worth of material.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
I think this is arguable either way. The worst negative effects of weed do seem not as bad as the worst effects of alcohol, but I think fully swapping it would speed overall social degeneration even worse. Weed use is correlated with sitting around at home playing video games, alcohol is correlated with going to bars and clubs which while not amazing value adds are at least social situations where single people can meet each other.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
I think that given that at every turn the british response to real problems has been to lie about them until forced to come clean it is understandable that many will not give credence to the official narrative.
Also, that thread of /r/scotland is not all speaking with one voice, there are plenty of people who DO think this was rapey brown guy, they are just downvoted and at the bottom. This could be evidence that those people are crazy and the majority knows it, or it could be exactly what happens on every reddit thread related to the culture war where the left perspective is upvoted and the right perspective is downvoted and the truth of the matter is secondary to this pattern at best. So calling this conclusive opinion of the locals is not convincing to say the least. Frankly, trying to use a reddit thread to establish general consensus around the left wing view makes me less likely to believe that is the case, as if it were it seems like you could find a better source.
And while I totally agree that little girls carrying blades about is not normal, to me this makes the rapey migrant explaination MORE likely. If someone is carrying around multiple hard to conceal weapons it is indeed very odd, and begs the question of WHY. And given the context of the video the most simple explanation is "because she and/or her sister had been harassed before so she chose to arm herself this time."
You may well be correct, but given the full context I don't think it is fair to call the unconvinced "paranoid".
DelendaEst
2mo ago
I strongly agree with this, especially for someone with the cultural attitudes of the median motizan. The gatekeepers to the existing paths to success are largely all held by people who are actively looking for NOT YOU and view keeping you out as an active good, and while alternatives such as Baen exist they are but one port and that is just a different tournament model of which of the legions of authors applying to them get picked.
Kindle Unlimited and other self published routes have a bad rap in a lot of places because the lack of gatekeepers means the quality can be pretty low, but there are a lot of people who have been a success who would not have been able to make it otherwise. You probably don't want to do this because it seems low status and sends a signal that your book isn't good enough for traditional publishing, but try to be Larry Correia. He self published his first book, marketing it primarily by sharing it on the gun enthusiast forums he participated it, and now is very successful in the trad publishing world (largely through Baen, but still) on the basis of that success. If you self publish and make a follow up post with the link here I will pre-commit to at least giving it a look.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
I think the logic largely goes like this:
- The solution is just to jail the blacks who are committing all the crime and loudly say its a bad thing and then do nothing to the non-criminals
- The left has made clear that is not an option, as long as the levels are disproportionate doing anything about the problem members is not allowed, and loudly decrying them is absolutely verboten.
- Fine then, if the existence of a black population implies a large level of criminality and disfunction which we are not allowed to address then the problem is the existence of the population.
Its the same way that most people are not immigration absolutists but if the left and center refuse to deal with them problem and indeed insist on making it worse then I guess I'll vote for the right, even though they will go much further than I'd prefer. Or if the right insists on full abortion bans then I'll vote for the left and their up to the moment of birth plans, even though I'd prefer reasonable limits.
If the left was open to fixing the actual problem then throwing the baby out with the bathwater would be less popular. Though the fact that in this case the non-problem population is also very loudly offended by the idea of solving the problem makes it worse.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
Asking for a ranked list sounds like a great solution, sometimes it is wrong even when its not being sycophantic (which I don't mind its not magic and the information I am giving as someone with no clue what I am doing is imperfect at best) so that sounds like a two birds one stone kind of fix.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
My last experience with this was having it help me figure out a home repair issue. I am not handy at ALL but I thought I knew what might be wrong with a broken garage door opener, but only in a very general way and I was not sure how to effect the repair. It was able to help me get everything fixed through a mix of describing the issue and supplying plenty of photos, but everytime I gave my current guess of the state of the situation it would affirm me even though I was only right about 2/3 of the time.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
Even with claude I have the issue that if I give it what I think an issue is it will tunnel vision on that. I'd appreciate more pushback when I am wrong when I am trying to work through a problem. Trying to add some uncertainty to the tone of my request can help but is often not enough.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
Poor James never knew how close he came.
According to OP James has a pattern of stealing women from his lovelorn roommate. Such a fellow is lucky to still have all his teeth, and if he continues in that vein will not have them all for long.
DelendaEst
2mo ago
I completely agree. I am conservative while strongly disliking MAGA and as a result pretty much everywhere else I go online it is very clear that I am the outsider and there is nothing I hate more than "as we all agree" style posts. Part of why I like the Motte so much is that it is one of the few places I feel closer to the median, like I actually belong, and one of the things I would like for my space is to not replicate the indignities of enemy territory but with the sign reversed.
The disabled vets thing on his channel always gets me. I certainly don't begrudge generous payouts to people who got seriously hurt fighting for their country, but there are people getting 3-4K per month who were helicopter repair techs in the military and auto repair techs now. That just seems bananas, and as he always mentions he has NEVER seen a vat come through his show who does not have 20K+ in disability so it doesn't seem like it is correlated to any actual metrics of desert.
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