DiscourseMagnus
5d ago
DiscourseMagnus
6d ago
Oh, certainly; didn't mean to stand up for any form of "almost all true", just sliding priors around.
DiscourseMagnus
6d ago
I definitely think it's worth separating formal and informal rape accusations here; I expect the BS ones predictably fall off as the standards of evidence rise, producing very different samples.
DiscourseMagnus
7d ago
DiscourseMagnus
7d ago
This is an even dumber stuck prior to have than assuming they're almost all true.
DiscourseMagnus
7d ago
It's asinine to even suggest that they can be separated. Why, pray tell, was Acton living in a tent? Ah, I see.
DiscourseMagnus
7d ago
My contempt for Ramaswamy following this debacle is normally reserved for the other side at its worst; it and the Jay Jones incident from last year are the most FUBAR I have seen our October-surprise-type politics get, and he should lose in a landslide to mitigate the damage to the social fabric. Unfortunately Jones didn't, but I don't mean to change the subject. At least Ramaswamy is polling poorly. May he poll ever worse.
DiscourseMagnus
12d ago
Agreed, but I think it's interesting that he's open to but not committed to things like public executions.
DiscourseMagnus
18d ago
...would Hasan want privacy for his execution?
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
I also think it's notable that "lab leak" covers intentional release in China by anyone.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
Interestingly, I saw a lot of suggestions from the right (clearly influenced by the juror interviews) that the main pro-Clancy constituency is older leftist women. If true, I can think of a lot of reasons this might be so: more time since they've been children themselves, sour grapes about not having had children, in the generation most influenced by Ehrlichian antinatalism, uh, "witch archetype"...
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
were apprehended with the help of Pakistani security services.
Despite, not with. Much of the trick to catching bin Laden was cutting Pakistan out of the loop on promising leads to his location.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
Basically similar to Jews.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
I have no firm opinion as to whether she intended to survive, but the argument in your comment seems self-contradictory. Surely her medical expertise wasn't worth that much if she failed to foresee that the fall could paralyze her.
It seems likely (though I hope it won't) that this will become a partisan political issue, like everything else of importance. If so, though, it hasn't happened yet.
EDIT: Nevermind, since posting this he's pivoted to the retarded comforting normie "x-risk from AI is a lie to impress investors" narrative.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
While I don't think "unreasonable" is the right word for the existing standard, the resulting dynamic does seem kind of perverse, in that when someone starts one of these threads for a major news item, the responses are blatantly not actually responding to the OP, they're using it as a generic jumping-off point for discussion of the news item. Nor would it be particularly reasonable to expect them to respond to the OP; indeed, the design of these sorts of OPs is clearly optimized to meet some minimum standard for not setting off moderator action while functioning as a generic jumping-off point for discussion of the news item. It feels like a standard intended to discourage (but not prohibit) people from starting threads saying "let's talk about the latest big news item", rendered absurd by the overwhelming demand for such threads.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
You should be glad "woke" didn’t make that their thing; the pattern of the post-woke right suggests that the baby would have been thrown out with the bathwater as everything was made a partisan issue.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
Insofar as this is true, it's another compelling argument against the existence of the insanity defense.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
Again, it's not an issue of nerds vs. popular kids; it's nerds vs. other nerds. The most strident voices against techno-fascism are themselves "nerds" by any definition. Many are autistic, and will say so right in their Tumblr/Bluesky bios. (And when you meet them in person, you can tell it's true.) They have prickly mannerisms and are not exactly "people persons".
I do not find this narrative credible in the slightest. Sure, some of them are self-hating autistic nerds turned into pathetic thralls, but this is not the demographic that leads or defines them. Quite the opposite, in fact; insofar as they're led and defined by neurodivergents with prickly mannerisms, they're hypersocial psychopaths. Sometimes they feign autism as an elaborate gambit, as they feign many other conditions like Tourette's or DID. But this infamously does not look like the actual condition. They constantly engage in elaborate and deceptive social maneuvers to destroy their enemies by petty conspiracy, and they're quite good at it; they sometimes appear incompetent at it only because they're unstable enough to frequently run up against each other. They are the opposite of autistic, and the opposite of nerdy (which never really meant anything aside from being a cruder term for autism).
They're defined by worshiping status in the Hansonian sense, which of course requires perpetually lying about it and pretending it doesn't exist, anti-autistic taqiyya. They hate truth and the idea that anyone would ever believe in truth and not act as part of an evil collectivist hivemind. They salivate over the thought of eugenically eradicating autism, which is to say the propensity to not think and talk in consummate liar.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
I mean, it seems pretty obvious that it's because, despite all the political rhetoric to the contrary, the leftists don't hate them for being rich, they hate them for being nerds. Indeed, the leftists hate the less-rich employees at the companies a lot more than they hate the CEOs, because they're much nerdier than the CEOs. They hate random nerds in their everyday lives who are much poorer than them a lot more than they hate the CEOs, because those are also much nerdier than the CEOs. The existence of somewhat nerdy CEOs is just very flimsy cover.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
My model of Altman is much more pessimistic than yours; I think he has even worse delusions of grandeur than Amodei and is simply a sociopath who is happy to greatly increase the odds of AI doom in order to slightly increase his personal odds of winding up as an immortal singularitarian god king or feudal lord.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
Isn’t the classic Less-Wrongian one superpersuasion? They even paid more attention to it than IT security because they assumed the labs would be sane and airgap their shit.
DiscourseMagnus
1mo ago
I think 4.8 was actually the most combative Opus. 5 is less of an improvement than I would have liked, but it was still like night and day when they released it.
DiscourseMagnus
2mo ago
While Iran is obviously full of shit and their word is worth basically nothing, their continued existence as an enemy power would seem to be pretty strong evidence against the maximalist US claim that they're defeated, have no military power, have no leverage, etc.
Slight takeoff on the premise, but recently it occurred to me that the oracle might have informed JFK that his cause of death would be a collision in an automobile.
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